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Islanders at Blackhawks
NHL

New York Islanders at Chicago Blackhawks

FinalTV NHLN, CHSN·United Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Chicago Blackhawks beat the New York Islanders 5-3. The Blackhawks scored first and never trailed. The Blackhawks led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Connor Bedard's goal at 19:06 of the third period, which took the Blackhawks' chances from 52% to 98%. Expected goals were close — NYI 2.8, CHI 2.8; shots on goal were NYI 33, CHI 23. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Islanders win a replay of these chances 59% of the time. Ilya Sorokin stopped 18 of 22 (.818), 1.7 goals below expected; Arvid Soderblom stopped 30 of 33 (.909). Three stars: 1. Teuvo Teravainen (1 G, 2 A), 2. Connor Bedard (1 G, 1 A), 3. Alex Vlasic (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CHI
    T. Teravainen1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    CHI
    C. Bedard1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    CHI
    A. Vlasic2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYINYI16114113333
CHICHI2101627523

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. CHI
    wristxG 0.11win prob +13 ptsVideo
    0-1
    9:08
  2. NYI
    Unassisted
    slapxG 0.02win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-1
    18:43
  3. CHI
    slapxG 0.10win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-2
    19:40

2nd period

  1. NYI
    deflectedxG 0.15win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-2
    2:25
  2. CHI
    C. Bedard (19), A. Vlasic (14)
    slapxG 0.11win prob +19 ptsVideo
    2-3
    15:19

3rd period

  1. NYI
    wristxG 0.13win prob +23 ptsVideo
    3-3
    0:47
  2. CHI
    snapxG 0.18win prob +46 ptsVideo
    3-4
    19:06
  3. CHI
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.45win prob +2 ptsVideo
    3-5
    19:49

Penalties

NYI 4 PIM·CHI 8 PIM

2nd

  • 13:02CHITaylor Hall · Slashingdrawn by Scott Mayfield2 min
  • 13:53NYIMaxim Tsyplakov · Trippingdrawn by Connor Murphy2 min
  • 15:07NYIAlexander Romanov · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 18:03CHINolan Allan · Trippingdrawn by Maxim Tsyplakov2 min

3rd

  • 0:47CHIserved by R. Donato · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min
  • 16:40CHIRyan Donato · Trippingdrawn by Noah Dobson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CHI goalNYI goalFinal: CHI 100%

Biggest swing: Connor Bedard, 3rd 19:06 — CHI 52% → 98%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Murphy · Goal · xG 0.45I. Mikheyev · On goal · xG 0.27P. Maroon · On goal · xG 0.27I. Mikheyev · On goal · xG 0.21C. Bedard · Goal · xG 0.18R. Donato · On goal · xG 0.16I. Mikheyev · Missed · xG 0.14T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.13I. Mikheyev · Goal · xG 0.11L. Reichel · Missed · xG 0.11T. Teravainen · Goal · xG 0.11R. Donato · Missed · xG 0.10T. Hall · Goal · xG 0.10C. Bedard · On goal · xG 0.06F. Nazar · On goal · xG 0.05I. Mikheyev · On goal · xG 0.04T. Brodie · Missed · xG 0.04P. Kurashev · Missed · xG 0.04P. Maroon · On goal · xG 0.03J. Dickinson · On goal · xG 0.03C. Murphy · On goal · xG 0.02K. Korchinski · Missed · xG 0.02T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.01P. Kurashev · On goal · xG 0.01L. Crevier · On goal · xG 0.01J. Anderson · Missed · xG 0.01A. Vlasic · On goal · xG 0.01L. Crevier · Missed · xG 0.01T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.01R. Donato · On goal · xG 0.01A. Vlasic · On goal · xG 0.00
CHI5 G · 2.8 xG · 31 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYIvsCHI
2.83 G
All situations
4 G2.8
2.23 G
Even strength
3 G2.1
0.60 G
Power play
1 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 82 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYI59%41%CHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.77 – 2.26

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYIvsCHI
33
Shots on goal
23
56%
Faceoffs
44%
0/4
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
8
27
Hits
22
10
Blocked shots
10
7
Giveaways
13
2
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
New York Islanders skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8N. DobsonD101080.33310—24:26
6R. PulockD101+120.02000—20:56
13M. BarzalC000-220.042008020:45
28A. RomanovD000010.16322—19:49
21K. PalmieriC000-120.23100019:48
3A. PelechD000+110.01420—19:47
29B. NelsonC011010.400105319:21
27A. LeeL000-110.28000—17:44
25D. CholowskiD000-310.07120—17:34
44J. PageauC000-130.371009017:21
10S. HolmstromR101+120.24000—16:26
7M. TsyplakovR011000.00312—16:12
24S. MayfieldD000-110.03010—13:45
18P. EngvallL011+210.17200—12:15
32K. MacLeanC011+140.250001411:07
20H. FaschingR000-110.03100—10:47
17M. MartinL000-110.17400—09:58
53C. CizikasC000-110.012007109:16
New York Islanders goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30I. Sorokin(L)22184.8182.31-1.6959:17

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).