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Flyers at Wild
NHL

Philadelphia Flyers at Minnesota Wild

NHL scoreboard
Philadelphia Flyers
1
Minnesota Wild
▸4
FinalTV FDSNNO, NBCSP·Xcel Energy Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the Philadelphia Flyers 4-1. The Wild scored first and never trailed. The Wild led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Matt Boldy's goal at 15:21 of the second period, which took the Wild's chances from 73% to 88%. Expected goals favored the Wild, 1.8 to 1.4; shots on goal were PHI 22, MIN 22. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flyers win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Samuel Ersson stopped 18 of 21 (.857), 1.7 goals below expected; Marc-Andre Fleury stopped 21 of 22 (.955). Three stars: 1. Brock Faber (1 A), 2. Marcus Foligno (1 A), 3. Marc-Andre Fleury (21 saves, .955).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    B. Faber1 A
  2. ★★
    MIN
    M. Foligno1 A
  3. ★★★
    MIN
    M. Fleury21 saves, .955

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PHIPHI090419122
MINMIN181727422

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. MIN
    K. Kaprizov(19)
    J. Merrill (3), Z. Bogosian (4)
    snapxG 0.07win prob +9 ptsVideo
    0-1
    14:18

2nd period

  1. MIN
    M. Boldy(13)
    B. Faber (13)
    wristxG 0.20win prob +15 ptsVideo
    0-2
    15:21

3rd period

  1. MIN
    M. Rossi(11)
    M. Zuccarello (9), D. Chisholm (6)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +4 ptsVideo
    0-3
    9:34
  2. PHI
    T. Sanheim(6)
    R. Poehling (8), G. Hathaway (8)
    snapxG 0.02win prob +1 ptsVideo
    1-3
    14:18
  3. MIN
    K. Kaprizov(20)EN
    M. Foligno (7), J. Brodin (7)
    wristxG 0.58Video
    1-4
    17:50

Penalties

PHI 9 PIM·MIN 13 PIM

1st

  • 1:27PHIGarnet Hathaway · Trippingdrawn by Mats Zuccarello2 min
  • 2:29MINJared Spurgeon · Hookingdrawn by Scott Laughton2 min
  • 11:37PHIGarnet Hathaway · Fightingdrawn by Marcus Foligno5 min
  • 11:37MINMarcus Foligno · Fightingdrawn by Garnet Hathaway5 min
  • 17:41MINJon Merrill · High stickingdrawn by Scott Laughton2 min

2nd

  • 7:09MINMatt Boldy · Hookingdrawn by Noah Cates2 min
  • 13:44MINMarcus Foligno · Roughingdrawn by Travis Sanheim2 min
  • 13:44PHITravis Sanheim · Roughingdrawn by Marcus Foligno2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MIN goalPHI goalFinal: MIN 100%

Biggest swing: Matt Boldy, 2nd 15:21 — MIN 73% → 88%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
K. Kaprizov · Goal · xG 0.58M. Boldy · Goal · xG 0.20M. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.15K. Kaprizov · Missed · xG 0.11F. Gaudreau · Missed · xG 0.10M. Zuccarello · Missed · xG 0.09M. Rossi · Goal · xG 0.08K. Kaprizov · Goal · xG 0.08M. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.06D. Chisholm · On goal · xG 0.05F. Gaudreau · Missed · xG 0.04M. Boldy · Missed · xG 0.04B. Faber · Missed · xG 0.04K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.03R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.03B. Jones · Missed · xG 0.03M. Rossi · On goal · xG 0.02J. Brodin · On goal · xG 0.02M. Johansson · On goal · xG 0.02M. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.02D. Chisholm · On goal · xG 0.01F. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.01J. Brodin · Missed · xG 0.01J. Merrill · On goal · xG 0.01D. Chisholm · On goal · xG 0.01J. Brodin · On goal · xG 0.01B. Jones · On goal · xG 0.01J. Brodin · On goal · xG 0.01B. Faber · On goal · xG 0.00Z. Bogosian · On goal · xG 0.00
MIN4 G · 1.8 xG · 30 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PHIvsMIN
1.41 G
All situations
3 G1.8
0.91 G
Even strength
3 G1.2
0.60 G
Power play
0 G0.0
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 65 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PHI54%46%MIN

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.45 – 1.27

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PHIvsMIN
22
Shots on goal
22
57%
Faceoffs
43%
0/3
Power play
0/1
9
Penalty minutes
13
17
Hits
18
11
Blocked shots
16
15
Giveaways
15
6
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Philadelphia Flyers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6T. SanheimD101010.02132—24:07
11T. KonecnyR000-210.2901010022:21
9J. DrysdaleD000-110.04000—22:03
8C. YorkD000-220.07110—20:22
5E. ZamulaD000-100.00020—18:13
39M. MichkovR000-240.35000—18:09
14S. CouturierC000-100.000104818:08
55R. RistolainenD000-140.08100—17:21
86J. FarabeeL000020.03000—16:51
74O. TippettR000-120.18200—15:39
71T. FoersterR000-200.00010—15:09
48M. FrostC000-100.150008215:01
10B. BrinkR000-300.00200—14:08
21S. LaughtonC000+110.00000014:00
27N. CatesL000-130.140006712:52
25R. PoehlingC011+110.050005011:38
19G. HathawayR011+100.03917—11:12
24N. SeelerD000000.01110—11:00
Philadelphia Flyers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
33S. Ersson(L)21183.8571.27-1.7357:46

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).