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Islanders at Canadiens
NHL

New York Islanders at Montréal Canadiens

Final/OTTV MSGSN, TSN2·Centre Bell

Recap

written from the game data

The Montréal Canadiens beat the New York Islanders 2-1 in overtime, Nick Suzuki scoring at 2:39. The Canadiens scored first and never trailed. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nick Suzuki's goal at 2:39 of overtime, which took the Canadiens' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Islanders, 3.4 to 2.6; shots on goal were NYI 31, MTL 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Islanders win a replay of these chances 63% of the time. Ilya Sorokin stopped 25 of 27 (.926), 0.6 goals saved above expected; Samuel Montembeault stopped 30 of 31 (.968), 2.4 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Patrik Laine (1 G), 2. Nick Suzuki (1 G, 1 A), 3. Samuel Montembeault (30 saves, .968).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MTL
    P. Laine1 G
  2. ★★
    MTL
    N. Suzuki1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    MTL
    S. Montembeault30 saves, .968

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
NYINYI051170603131
MTLMTL071110712227

Scoring

3 goals

2nd period

  1. MTL
    P. Laine(1)PPG
    L. Hutson (16), N. Suzuki (16)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +13 ptsVideo
    0-1
    7:23
  2. NYI
    A. Lee(11)
    snapxG 0.43win prob +22 ptsVideo
    1-1
    18:55

Overtime

  1. MTL
    backhandxG 0.21win prob +49 ptsVideo
    1-2
    2:39

Penalties

NYI 4 PIM·MTL 6 PIM

1st

  • 1:21NYIMaxim Tsyplakov · Trippingdrawn by Lane Hutson2 min
  • 19:54MTLJayden Struble · Interferencedrawn by Oliver Wahlstrom2 min

2nd

  • 6:49NYIHudson Fasching · High stickingdrawn by Cole Caufield2 min
  • 7:45MTLJosh Anderson · Interferencedrawn by Jean-Gabriel Pageau2 min
  • 15:47MTLArber Xhekaj · Trippingdrawn by Brock Nelson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MTL goalNYI goalFinal: MTL 100%

Biggest swing: Nick Suzuki, OT 2:39 — MTL 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Suzuki · Goal · xG 0.21N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.20C. Caufield · On goal · xG 0.19B. Gallagher · Missed · xG 0.17A. Newhook · On goal · xG 0.13J. Slafkovský · On goal · xG 0.11C. Caufield · On goal · xG 0.11L. Hutson · On goal · xG 0.10P. Laine · Goal · xG 0.10C. Caufield · Missed · xG 0.09N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.08J. Armia · Missed · xG 0.08B. Gallagher · Missed · xG 0.08B. Gallagher · Missed · xG 0.07K. Guhle · On goal · xG 0.06C. Dvorak · On goal · xG 0.06P. Laine · Missed · xG 0.06N. Suzuki · Missed · xG 0.04K. Dach · Missed · xG 0.04J. Armia · Missed · xG 0.04J. Armia · On goal · xG 0.04B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.04C. Dvorak · Missed · xG 0.04P. Laine · On goal · xG 0.04B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.03B. Gallagher · Missed · xG 0.03J. Struble · Missed · xG 0.03M. Matheson · Missed · xG 0.03D. Savard · Missed · xG 0.03A. Xhekaj · On goal · xG 0.03M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.03A. Xhekaj · On goal · xG 0.03D. Savard · On goal · xG 0.02M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.02M. Matheson · Missed · xG 0.02A. Xhekaj · On goal · xG 0.01E. Heineman · On goal · xG 0.01J. Struble · On goal · xG 0.01A. Xhekaj · On goal · xG 0.01D. Savard · On goal · xG 0.01A. Xhekaj · On goal · xG 0.01J. Armia · On goal · xG 0.00
MTL2 G · 2.6 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYIvsMTL
3.41 G
All situations
2 G2.6
2.01 G
Even strength
1 G2.0
1.40 G
Power play
1 G0.6
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 80 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYI63%37%MTL

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.29 – 2.53

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYIvsMTL
31
Shots on goal
27
44%
Faceoffs
56%
0/3
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
6
32
Hits
37
9
Blocked shots
19
10
Giveaways
13
3
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
New York Islanders skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8N. DobsonD011030.16200—24:40
28A. RomanovD000010.02320—22:59
6R. PulockD000010.02130—22:46
14B. HorvatC000010.042005021:59
21K. PalmieriC000040.49200019:45
29B. NelsonC000040.590003319:24
27A. LeeL101+140.7510010019:10
10S. HolmstromR000-120.24000—18:48
36I. GeorgeD000+110.01000—17:31
7M. TsyplakovR000020.16502—15:47
34G. HuttonD000020.06310—15:19
24S. MayfieldD000000.00220—15:16
44J. PageauC000020.493003314:28
32K. MacLeanC000010.062007513:19
26O. WahlstromR011+110.17010—11:31
20H. FaschingR000000.04102—11:16
53C. CizikasC000000.003004311:12
17M. MartinL000020.10200—10:13
New York Islanders goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30I. Sorokin(O)27252.9262.56+0.5662:39

Season series

NYI leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).