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Rangers at Hurricanes
NHL

New York Rangers at Carolina Hurricanes

NHL scoreboard
New York Rangers
3
Carolina Hurricanes
▸4
FinalTV FDSNSO, MSG 2·Lenovo Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the New York Rangers 4-3. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Rangers led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jackson Blake's goal at 12:01 of the third period, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 54% to 85%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 3.1 to 1.9; shots on goal were NYR 22, CAR 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 58% of the time. Igor Shesterkin stopped 27 of 31 (.871), 1.7 goals below expected; Spencer Martin stopped 19 of 22 (.864), 1.1 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Jack Drury (1 G, 1 A), 2. Jackson Blake (1 G), 3. Jesperi Kotkaniemi (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    J. Drury1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    CAR
    J. Blake1 G
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    J. Kotkaniemi1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYRNYR1112506322
CARCAR1131929431

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. CAR
    J. Drury(3)
    M. Necas (24), D. Orlov (11)
    snapxG 0.02win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    4:53
  2. NYR
    J. Brodzinski(2)
    J. Vesey (1), R. Lindgren (2)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-1
    17:38

2nd period

  1. CAR
    S. Jarvis(6)PPG
    M. Necas (25), S. Aho (17)
    snapxG 0.18win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-2
    1:12
  2. NYR
    B. Berard(1)
    W. Cuylle (9), Z. Jones (6)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +18 ptsVideo
    2-2
    9:13
  3. NYR
    A. Edstrom(2)
    R. Smith (9), A. Fox (18)
    snapxG 0.29win prob +23 ptsVideo
    3-2
    18:49

3rd period

  1. CAR
    J. Kotkaniemi(3)
    E. Robinson (9), S. Gostisbehere (12)
    wrap-aroundxG 0.03win prob +31 ptsVideo
    3-3
    9:54
  2. CAR
    J. Blake(7)PPG
    J. Drury (5), J. Roslovic (2)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +32 ptsVideo
    3-4
    12:01

Penalties

NYR 8 PIM·CAR 4 PIM

1st

  • 7:56NYRZac Jones · Hookingdrawn by Jackson Blake2 min
  • 11:13CARJack Drury · Slashingdrawn by Reilly Smith2 min
  • 19:12NYRWill Cuylle · Holdingdrawn by Brent Burns2 min

2nd

  • 15:33NYRK'Andre Miller · Trippingdrawn by Jackson Blake2 min

3rd

  • 3:34CARWilliam Carrier · High stickingdrawn by Vincent Trocheck2 min
  • 10:30NYRVincent Trocheck · Hookingdrawn by Seth Jarvis2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CAR goalNYR goalFinal: CAR 100%

Biggest swing: Jackson Blake, 3rd 12:01 — CAR 54% → 85%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Martinook · Missed · xG 0.50W. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.42J. Slavin · Missed · xG 0.27S. Jarvis · Goal · xG 0.18M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.13S. Jarvis · Missed · xG 0.11J. Blake · Goal · xG 0.11S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.11B. Burns · Missed · xG 0.11M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.10S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.08J. Kotkaniemi · Missed · xG 0.07S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.07J. Drury · On goal · xG 0.07W. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.06J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.06B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.06J. Blake · On goal · xG 0.06M. Necas · Missed · xG 0.05J. Blake · On goal · xG 0.05S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.05J. Kotkaniemi · On goal · xG 0.03S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.03D. Orlov · Missed · xG 0.03J. Kotkaniemi · Goal · xG 0.03W. Carrier · Missed · xG 0.02A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.02D. Orlov · Missed · xG 0.02J. Drury · Missed · xG 0.02J. Drury · Goal · xG 0.02J. Drury · On goal · xG 0.02A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.02J. Kotkaniemi · On goal · xG 0.02J. Roslovic · On goal · xG 0.01J. Slavin · Missed · xG 0.01S. Gostisbehere · Missed · xG 0.01D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.01W. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.01B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.01J. Martinook · Missed · xG 0.01A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.01W. Carrier · Missed · xG 0.01S. Walker · Missed · xG 0.01D. Orlov · Missed · xG 0.01J. Chatfield · On goal · xG 0.01S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.01A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.00S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.00
CAR4 G · 3.1 xG · 48 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYRvsCAR
1.93 G
All situations
4 G3.1
1.43 G
Even strength
2 G1.6
0.40 G
Power play
2 G0.6
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 85 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYR42%58%CAR

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.85 – 2.26

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYRvsCAR
22
Shots on goal
31
58%
Faceoffs
42%
0/2
Power play
2/4
8
Penalty minutes
4
28
Hits
17
20
Blocked shots
8
17
Giveaways
15
6
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
New York Rangers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
23A. FoxD011+210.04000—23:18
16V. TrocheckC000030.513427022:56
8J. TroubaD000-210.09430—21:21
55R. LindgrenD011+110.00320—20:57
93M. ZibanejadC000+110.010006020:13
10A. PanarinL000010.04020—20:02
50W. CuylleL011+120.10522—19:40
13A. LafrenièreL000010.05100—19:29
79K. MillerD000-100.01322—19:25
6Z. JonesD011+120.18112—15:18
91R. SmithR011000.00300—14:56
4B. SchneiderD000+110.01220—14:20
65B. BerardL101+120.0801010013:47
24K. KakkoR000010.010104311:01
39S. CarrickC000000.052002510:26
84A. EdstromC101030.48000009:53
26J. VeseyL011000.01000—08:55
22J. BrodzinskiC101020.1910010008:50
New York Rangers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31I. Shesterkin(L)31274.8712.30-1.7057:42

Season series

CAR leads 4-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).