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Predators at Canucks
NHL

Nashville Predators at Vancouver Canucks

NHL scoreboard
Nashville Predators
▸5
Vancouver Canucks
3
FinalTV FDSNSO, SNP·Rogers Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Nashville Predators beat the Vancouver Canucks 5-3. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Predators led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Roman Josi's goal at 14:21 of the second period, which took the Predators' chances from 47% to 68%. Expected goals favored the Predators, 2.7 to 2.0; shots on goal were NSH 22, VAN 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canucks win a replay of these chances 56% of the time. Juuse Saros stopped 24 of 27 (.889), 1.0 goals below expected; Kevin Lankinen stopped 17 of 21 (.810), 2.3 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Roman Josi (1 G, 1 A), 2. Steven Stamkos (2 G), 3. Aatu Räty (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NSH
    R. Josi1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    NSH
    S. Stamkos2 G
  3. ★★★
    VAN
    A. Räty1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NSHNSH1531512522
VANVAN1911216327

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. NSH
    Z. L'Heureux(1)
    C. Smith (2), M. McCarron (2)
    wristxG 0.34win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    5:28
  2. VAN
    A. Räty(1)
    E. Brannstrom (4), D. Heinen (6)
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-1
    11:34

2nd period

  1. VAN
    E. Pettersson(6)PPG
    Q. Hughes (15), C. Garland (9)
    slapxG 0.13win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-2
    9:51
  2. NSH
    S. Stamkos(5)PPG
    R. Josi (12), R. O'Reilly (8)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-2
    12:17
  3. NSH
    R. Josi(2)
    B. Skjei (5), F. Forsberg (6)
    slapxG 0.10win prob +21 ptsVideo
    3-2
    14:21
  4. NSH
    S. Stamkos(6)PPG
    J. Marchessault (7), F. Forsberg (7)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +13 ptsVideo
    4-2
    19:38

3rd period

  1. VAN
    K. Sherwood(4)
    D. Heinen (7), T. Myers (3)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +11 ptsVideo
    4-3
    14:00
  2. NSH
    G. Nyquist(6)EN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.41win prob +3 ptsVideo
    5-3
    19:39

Penalties

NSH 4 PIM·VAN 4 PIM

2nd

  • 8:29NSHColton Sissons · Roughingdrawn by Kiefer Sherwood2 min
  • 11:35VANNils Hoglander · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 18:59VANConor Garland · Holdingdrawn by Gustav Nyquist2 min

3rd

  • 4:14NSHserved by L. Evangelista · Too many men on the ice2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VAN goalNSH goalFinal: VAN 0%

Biggest swing: Roman Josi, 2nd 14:21 — NSH 47% → 68%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
F. Hronek · Missed · xG 0.19C. Garland · On goal · xG 0.16E. Pettersson · Goal · xG 0.13T. Blueger · On goal · xG 0.13C. Soucy · On goal · xG 0.12J. Lekkerimäki · Missed · xG 0.11J. DeBrusk · Missed · xG 0.10A. Räty · On goal · xG 0.10E. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.07A. Räty · Goal · xG 0.07J. DeBrusk · Missed · xG 0.06J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.06J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.06D. Heinen · On goal · xG 0.06D. Heinen · On goal · xG 0.05C. Garland · On goal · xG 0.05K. Sherwood · Goal · xG 0.05C. Garland · On goal · xG 0.04C. Garland · On goal · xG 0.04T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.04J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.03K. Sherwood · Missed · xG 0.03P. Suter · On goal · xG 0.03P. Suter · On goal · xG 0.03C. Soucy · On goal · xG 0.02J. Lekkerimäki · Missed · xG 0.02D. Heinen · Missed · xG 0.01C. Garland · On goal · xG 0.01N. Juulsen · Missed · xG 0.01D. Heinen · On goal · xG 0.01Q. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.01Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.01E. Brannstrom · On goal · xG 0.01N. Hoglander · Missed · xG 0.01E. Brannstrom · On goal · xG 0.01C. Soucy · Missed · xG 0.01Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.01E. Brannstrom · On goal · xG 0.00F. Hronek · Missed · xG 0.00K. Sherwood · Missed · xG 0.00
VAN3 G · 2.0 xG · 40 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NSHvsVAN
2.74 G
All situations
3 G2.0
1.42 G
Even strength
2 G1.7
0.32 G
Power play
1 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 79 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NSH44%56%VAN

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.66 – 1.94

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NSHvsVAN
22
Shots on goal
27
47%
Faceoffs
53%
2/2
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
4
25
Hits
26
19
Blocked shots
14
10
Giveaways
14
4
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Nashville Predators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
59R. JosiD112+120.12020—22:41
45A. CarrierD000-100.05110—20:42
3J. LauzonD000000.03550—20:12
76B. SkjeiD011+210.05000—19:47
7M. Del GaizoD000020.05120—18:25
14G. NyquistR101+111.08000—18:06
90R. O'ReillyC011+200.091005917:55
2L. SchennD000020.03400—17:13
9F. ForsbergL022+230.22210—17:03
91S. StamkosC202040.38000016:29
81J. MarchessaultR011+130.09200—16:27
10C. SissonsC000010.034125815:01
47M. McCarronC011-110.092203314:02
36C. SmithR011010.04010—13:56
82T. NovakC000000.000002912:40
77L. EvangelistaR000000.00000—12:17
68Z. L'HeureuxL101-110.38210—12:14
13J. ParssinenC000-100.00130011:33
Nashville Predators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
74J. Saros(W)27243.8891.97-1.0360:00

Season series

NSH leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).