Carolina Hurricanes at Vancouver Canucks
Recap
written from the game dataThe Carolina Hurricanes beat the Vancouver Canucks 4-3 in overtime, Sebastian Aho scoring at 0:47. The Hurricanes scored first and never trailed. The Hurricanes led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Sebastian Aho's goal at 0:47 of overtime, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals were close — CAR 3.1, VAN 3.0; shots on goal were CAR 32, VAN 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Pyotr Kochetkov stopped 24 of 27 (.889); Kevin Lankinen stopped 28 of 32 (.875), 0.9 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Quinn Hughes (1 G, 1 A), 2. Sebastian Aho (1 G), 3. Kevin Lankinen (28 saves, .875).
Three stars
- ★Q. Hughes1 G, 1 A

- ★★S. Aho1 G

- ★★★K. Lankinen28 saves, .875

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
7 goals1st period
1-05:40
1-17:17
2-115:33
2nd period
3-11:53
3rd period
3-27:56
3-316:55
Overtime
4-30:47
Penalties
1st
- 11:29
J.T. Miller · Holding the stickdrawn by Brent Burns2 min
2nd
- 4:49
Andrei Svechnikov · Interferencedrawn by J.T. Miller2 min
- 8:06
Tyler Myers · High stickingdrawn by Sebastian Aho2 min
- 9:25
Pius Suter · Trippingdrawn by Martin Necas2 min
- 17:23
Jesperi Kotkaniemi · Cross checkingdrawn by Kiefer Sherwood2 min
3rd
- 8:47
Shayne Gostisbehere · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Sebastian Aho, OT 0:47 — 49% → 100%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 3.14 G
- All situations
- 3 G3.0
- 2.34 G
- Even strength
- 3 G2.6
- 0.70 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.4
- 0.10 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 81 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 3.00 – 2.96
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 32
- Shots on goal
- 27
- 48%
- Faceoffs
- 52%
- 0/3
- Power play
- 0/3
- 6
- Penalty minutes
- 6
- 23
- Hits
- 28
- 12
- Blocked shots
- 8
- 13
- Giveaways
- 11
- 3
- Takeaways
- 3
Box score
every player line
Season series
CAR leads 2-0
4@
3OTthis game
0@
2Final
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
