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Jets at Flames
NHL

Winnipeg Jets at Calgary Flames

NHL scoreboard
Winnipeg Jets
▸5
Calgary Flames
3
FinalTV SNW, SN360·Scotiabank Saddledome

Recap

written from the game data

The Winnipeg Jets beat the Calgary Flames 5-3. The lead changed hands 3 times. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Cole Perfetti's goal at 16:16 of the third period, which took the Jets' chances from 53% to 90%. Expected goals favored the Jets, 3.5 to 2.3; shots on goal were WPG 35, CGY 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flames win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Eric Comrie stopped 26 of 29 (.897), 0.7 goals below expected; Dustin Wolf stopped 30 of 34 (.882), 1.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Kyle Connor (1 G, 1 A), 2. Connor Zary (1 A), 3. Nikolaj Ehlers (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WPG
    K. Connor1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    CGY
    C. Zary1 A
  3. ★★★
    WPG
    N. Ehlers1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WPGWPG21604315535
CGYCGY16112111329

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. CGY
    M. Backlund(2)
    K. Bahl (3), C. Zary (5)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +11 ptsVideo
    0-1
    0:28
  2. WPG
    N. Ehlers(4)PPG
    K. Connor (4), J. Morrissey (7)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +8 ptsVideo
    1-1
    1:51
  3. WPG
    K. Connor(6)SHG
    A. Lowry (4), N. Pionk (8)
    wristxG 0.22win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-1
    17:37

2nd period

  1. CGY
    R. Andersson(4)
    A. Kuzmenko (5)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +22 ptsVideo
    2-2
    17:28

3rd period

  1. WPG
    D. Samberg(2)
    N. Pionk (9), M. Appleton (5)
    slapxG 0.02win prob +25 ptsVideo
    3-2
    1:01
  2. CGY
    N. Kadri(4)
    A. Kuzmenko (6)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +27 ptsVideo
    3-3
    4:19
  3. WPG
    C. Perfetti(3)PPG
    N. Niederreiter (3), V. Namestnikov (4)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +37 ptsVideo
    4-3
    16:16
  4. WPG
    M. Appleton(3)EN
    N. Niederreiter (4), A. Lowry (5)
    wristxG 0.73win prob +7 ptsVideo
    5-3
    18:46

Penalties

WPG 12 PIM·CGY 22 PIM

1st

  • 1:44CGYAdam Klapka · High stickingdrawn by Josh Morrissey2 min
  • 16:10WPGNino Niederreiter · Hookingdrawn by Andrei Kuzmenko2 min
  • 19:14WPGNikolaj Ehlers · Hookingdrawn by Blake Coleman2 min

2nd

  • 11:00WPGDylan Samberg · Trippingdrawn by MacKenzie Weegar2 min
  • 12:37WPGNeal Pionk · Trippingdrawn by Connor Zary2 min

3rd

  • 6:47CGYMacKenzie Weegar · Roughingdrawn by Mark Scheifele2 min
  • 6:47WPGMark Scheifele · Roughingdrawn by MacKenzie Weegar2 min
  • 11:47CGYMartin Pospisil · Trippingdrawn by Nikolaj Ehlers2 min
  • 12:17CGYRasmus Andersson · Trippingdrawn by Mark Scheifele2 min
  • 14:59CGYNazem Kadri · Slashingdrawn by Neal Pionk2 min
  • 18:46CGYNazem Kadri · Misconduct10 min
  • 19:11CGYRasmus Andersson · Cross checkingdrawn by Morgan Barron2 min
  • 19:11WPGMorgan Barron · Slashingdrawn by Rasmus Andersson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CGY goalWPG goalFinal: CGY 0%

Biggest swing: Cole Perfetti, 3rd 16:16 — WPG 53% → 90%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Andersson · Missed · xG 0.21C. Zary · Missed · xG 0.16C. Zary · On goal · xG 0.14R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.11D. Miromanov · On goal · xG 0.11A. Kuzmenko · Missed · xG 0.11J. Huberdeau · Missed · xG 0.09M. Weegar · Missed · xG 0.09N. Kadri · Goal · xG 0.09M. Backlund · Missed · xG 0.08A. Mantha · Missed · xG 0.08C. Zary · On goal · xG 0.07A. Mantha · Missed · xG 0.07A. Mantha · On goal · xG 0.07C. Zary · On goal · xG 0.06N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.06M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.06N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.06B. Coleman · Missed · xG 0.05N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.04R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.04C. Zary · On goal · xG 0.04M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.03K. Bahl · On goal · xG 0.03M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.03N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.02M. Backlund · Goal · xG 0.02M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.02J. Kirkland · On goal · xG 0.02N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.02D. Miromanov · On goal · xG 0.02D. Miromanov · On goal · xG 0.02J. Hanley · On goal · xG 0.02M. Weegar · Missed · xG 0.02M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.02R. Lomberg · Missed · xG 0.01Y. Sharangovich · Missed · xG 0.01R. Andersson · Missed · xG 0.01R. Andersson · Missed · xG 0.01M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.01A. Mantha · Missed · xG 0.01A. Klapka · Missed · xG 0.01R. Lomberg · On goal · xG 0.01J. Hanley · On goal · xG 0.01J. Kirkland · Missed · xG 0.01A. Klapka · On goal · xG 0.01R. Andersson · Goal · xG 0.01D. Miromanov · Missed · xG 0.01J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.01K. Bahl · Missed · xG 0.00B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.00B. Pachal · Missed · xG 0.00
CGY3 G · 2.3 xG · 52 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WPGvsCGY
3.54 G
All situations
3 G2.3
1.01 G
Even strength
3 G1.5
1.02 G
Power play
0 G0.9
0.31 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 97 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WPG49%51%CGY

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.28 – 2.32

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WPGvsCGY
35
Shots on goal
29
47%
Faceoffs
53%
2/4
Power play
0/4
12
Penalty minutes
22
18
Hits
31
17
Blocked shots
18
15
Giveaways
17
6
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Winnipeg Jets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
44J. MorrisseyD011-220.09020—23:57
2D. DeMeloD000-200.00350—21:58
55M. ScheifeleC000-110.060324520:18
81K. ConnorL112050.92000—20:13
4N. PionkD022+230.05112—19:58
54D. SambergD101+320.04102—19:38
13G. VilardiC000-120.19000019:06
64L. StanleyD000010.02110—17:59
17A. LowryC022+220.111105016:37
27N. EhlersL101050.39012—16:01
22M. AppletonC112031.23210014:15
6C. MillerD000-110.05000—13:24
91C. PerfettiC101010.06010013:11
7V. NamestnikovC011010.041005012:10
62N. NiederreiterR022+130.12502—11:21
36M. BarronC000-110.06212010:55
9A. IafalloL000010.07000—09:41
15R. KupariC000-110.011005008:29
Winnipeg Jets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1E. Comrie(W)29263.8972.32-0.6860:00

Season series

WPG leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).