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Florida Panthers at New York Rangers

FinalTV MSG, SCRIPPS·Madison Square Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The Florida Panthers beat the New York Rangers 3-1. The Panthers scored first and never trailed. The Panthers led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Sam Bennett's goal at 6:59 of the second period, which took the Panthers' chances from 64% to 82%. Expected goals favored the Panthers, 3.2 to 2.9; shots on goal were FLA 29, NYR 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 24 of 25 (.960), 1.9 goals saved above expected; Igor Shesterkin stopped 26 of 29 (.897). Three stars: 1. Sergei Bobrovsky (24 saves, .960), 2. Carter Verhaeghe (1 G), 3. Sam Bennett (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    FLA
    S. Bobrovsky24 saves, .960
  2. ★★
    FLA
    C. Verhaeghe1 G
  3. ★★★
    FLA
    S. Bennett1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
FLAFLA21019010329
NYRNYR11005010125

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. FLA
    snapxG 0.16win prob +11 ptsVideo
    1-0
    0:44
  2. FLA
    snapxG 0.04win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-0
    2:42
  3. NYR
    backhandxG 0.28win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-1
    4:44

2nd period

  1. FLA
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +17 ptsVideo
    3-1
    6:59

Penalties

FLA 8 PIM·NYR 4 PIM

1st

  • 15:03FLASam Reinhart · Hookingdrawn by Braden Schneider2 min

2nd

  • 9:05FLACarter Verhaeghe · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Igor Shesterkin2 min
  • 14:16NYRKaapo Kakko · Slashingdrawn by Matthew Tkachuk2 min

3rd

  • 0:48FLADmitry Kulikov · High stickingdrawn by Artemi Panarin2 min
  • 4:33NYRJacob Trouba · Hookingdrawn by Dmitry Kulikov2 min
  • 16:57FLACarter Verhaeghe · Cross checkingdrawn by Sam Carrick2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYR goalFLA goalFinal: NYR 0%

Biggest swing: Sam Bennett, 2nd 6:59 — FLA 64% → 82%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.36A. Lafrenière · Goal · xG 0.28K. Kakko · Missed · xG 0.19C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.19F. Chytil · On goal · xG 0.18C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.15J. Brodzinski · On goal · xG 0.14B. Schneider · On goal · xG 0.11V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.11K. Miller · Missed · xG 0.10V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.10F. Chytil · On goal · xG 0.09A. Lafrenière · Missed · xG 0.08A. Fox · Missed · xG 0.08F. Chytil · On goal · xG 0.08C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.07J. Brodzinski · On goal · xG 0.07A. Fox · On goal · xG 0.06A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.04A. Fox · On goal · xG 0.04A. Panarin · Missed · xG 0.04J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.04A. Lafrenière · Missed · xG 0.03A. Lafrenière · Missed · xG 0.03J. Brodzinski · On goal · xG 0.03A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.02K. Kakko · Missed · xG 0.02K. Miller · Missed · xG 0.02C. Kreider · Missed · xG 0.02K. Miller · On goal · xG 0.02A. Lafrenière · On goal · xG 0.01B. Schneider · On goal · xG 0.01K. Miller · On goal · xG 0.01R. Lindgren · On goal · xG 0.01V. Mancini · On goal · xG 0.01R. Lindgren · Missed · xG 0.01R. Lindgren · Missed · xG 0.01A. Panarin · Missed · xG 0.01
NYR1 G · 2.9 xG · 38 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

FLAvsNYR
3.23 G
All situations
1 G2.9
2.83 G
Even strength
1 G1.9
0.30 G
Power play
0 G0.9
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 82 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
FLA57%43%NYR

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.17 – 2.77

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

FLAvsNYR
29
Shots on goal
25
39%
Faceoffs
61%
0/2
Power play
0/4
8
Penalty minutes
4
32
Hits
29
13
Blocked shots
13
12
Giveaways
11
6
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Florida Panthers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
5A. EkbladD000+100.00330—25:08
42G. ForslingD011+110.17210—24:38
77N. MikkolaD011+100.00010—21:14
7D. KulikovD011+120.08212—20:57
15A. LundellC101+110.180003520:12
13S. ReinhartC011+120.381225019:48
27E. LuostarinenC011+130.36500018:56
23C. VerhaegheC101+260.49004018:41
19M. TkachukL000+230.40200—18:19
70J. BoqvistC000-130.594004017:31
9S. BennettC101+230.151105016:23
17E. RodriguesC000-100.10300014:51
10A. GreerL000030.21400—12:04
34A. BoqvistD000000.00010—11:13
88N. SchmidtD000000.01100—10:01
26U. BalinskisD000020.06220—09:23
36P. GilesR000000.002104006:29
25M. SamoskevichR000-100.00000—06:12
Florida Panthers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
72S. Bobrovsky(W)25241.9602.85+1.8560:00

Season series

FLA leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).