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Penguins at Jets
NHL

Pittsburgh Penguins at Winnipeg Jets

NHL scoreboard
Pittsburgh Penguins
3
Winnipeg Jets
▸6
FinalTV SN-PIT, TSN3·Canada Life Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Winnipeg Jets beat the Pittsburgh Penguins 6-3. The Jets came back from two goals down. The Jets led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Adam Lowry's goal at 4:20 of the third period, which took the Jets' chances from 52% to 78%. Expected goals favored the Jets, 4.6 to 3.9; shots on goal were PIT 42, WPG 37. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Penguins win a replay of these chances 53% of the time. Alex Nedeljkovic stopped 31 of 36 (.861), 1.3 goals below expected; Eric Comrie stopped 39 of 42 (.929), 0.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Nikolaj Ehlers (2 A), 2. Mason Appleton (1 G, 1 A), 3. Eric Comrie (39 saves, .929).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WPG
    N. Ehlers2 A
  2. ★★
    WPG
    M. Appleton1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    WPG
    E. Comrie39 saves, .929

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PITPIT09216117342
WPGWPG011316310637

Scoring

9 goals

2nd period

  1. PIT
    K. Hayes(3)PPG
    R. Rakell (1), J. Puljujarvi (4)
    snapxG 0.12win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-0
    1:30
  2. PIT
    L. Eller(3)
    E. Karlsson (4), C. Glass (2)
    backhandxG 0.32win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-0
    5:21
  3. WPG
    K. Connor(4)
    N. Ehlers (4), C. Miller (2)
    snapxG 0.17win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-1
    12:18
  4. WPG
    M. Scheifele(5)
    C. Miller (3), L. Stanley (1)
    snapxG 0.47win prob +22 ptsVideo
    2-2
    17:36
  5. WPG
    V. Namestnikov(2)
    N. Ehlers (5)
    tip-inxG 0.22win prob +21 ptsVideo
    2-3
    19:29

3rd period

  1. PIT
    L. Eller(4)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.02win prob +24 ptsVideo
    3-3
    1:39
  2. WPG
    A. Lowry(2)
    M. Appleton (3), J. Morrissey (5)
    backhandxG 0.22win prob +26 ptsVideo
    3-4
    4:20
  3. WPG
    M. Appleton(2)
    N. Pionk (5)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +15 ptsVideo
    3-5
    7:41
  4. WPG
    N. Niederreiter(1)EN
    J. Morrissey (6), D. DeMelo (1)
    wristxG 0.90Video
    3-6
    17:30

Penalties

PIT 6 PIM·WPG 4 PIM

1st

  • 7:53PITMarcus Pettersson · Hookingdrawn by Gabriel Vilardi2 min
  • 19:39WPGColin Miller · Slashingdrawn by Rickard Rakell2 min

2nd

  • 18:13WPGAdam Lowry · Roughingdrawn by Drew O'Connor2 min
  • 18:13PITDrew O'Connor · Slashingdrawn by Eric Comrie2 min

3rd

  • 19:05PITBryan Rust · Holdingdrawn by Morgan Barron2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WPG goalPIT goalFinal: WPG 100%

Biggest swing: Adam Lowry, 3rd 4:20 — WPG 52% → 78%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Niederreiter · Goal · xG 0.90M. Scheifele · Goal · xG 0.47A. Lowry · On goal · xG 0.24N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.23V. Namestnikov · Goal · xG 0.22A. Lowry · Goal · xG 0.22K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.20K. Connor · Goal · xG 0.17N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.16N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.14N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.12N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.09G. Vilardi · On goal · xG 0.09M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.09M. Barron · On goal · xG 0.08D. Gustafsson · On goal · xG 0.07M. Scheifele · Missed · xG 0.07N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.07K. Connor · Missed · xG 0.07M. Barron · On goal · xG 0.07M. Appleton · On goal · xG 0.07M. Barron · Missed · xG 0.06K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.05D. Samberg · Missed · xG 0.05M. Scheifele · Missed · xG 0.05N. Pionk · Missed · xG 0.05N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.05J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.05D. Samberg · On goal · xG 0.05N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.04K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.04M. Appleton · Missed · xG 0.04C. Miller · On goal · xG 0.03C. Perfetti · Missed · xG 0.03D. Samberg · On goal · xG 0.02M. Appleton · On goal · xG 0.02N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.02C. Miller · On goal · xG 0.02L. Stanley · On goal · xG 0.02A. Iafallo · On goal · xG 0.02M. Appleton · Goal · xG 0.01C. Miller · Missed · xG 0.01J. Morrissey · Missed · xG 0.01C. Miller · Missed · xG 0.01L. Stanley · Missed · xG 0.01J. Morrissey · Missed · xG 0.01L. Stanley · On goal · xG 0.01D. Gustafsson · On goal · xG 0.01D. DeMelo · Missed · xG 0.01C. Perfetti · On goal · xG 0.00N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.00
WPG6 G · 4.6 xG · 51 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PITvsWPG
3.93 G
All situations
5 G4.6
3.52 G
Even strength
5 G3.6
0.51 G
Power play
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 110 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PIT53%47%WPG

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.87 – 3.65

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PITvsWPG
42
Shots on goal
37
55%
Faceoffs
45%
1/1
Power play
0/2
6
Penalty minutes
4
18
Hits
21
11
Blocked shots
25
15
Giveaways
24
3
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Pittsburgh Penguins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
58K. LetangD000-330.07210—22:36
65E. KarlssonD011-110.02000—22:05
28M. PetterssonD000010.03202—21:33
24M. GrzelcykD000-240.22110—21:10
87S. CrosbyC000-350.370005720:22
10D. O'ConnorL000-240.44002—17:50
17B. RustR000-300.42002—17:41
27R. GravesD000-120.03200—16:57
71E. MalkinC000-320.190003316:06
67R. RakellR011-210.32320—15:25
20L. EllerC202+160.650004515:19
19C. GlassC011+230.400106715:18
5R. SheaD000-120.04020—15:11
72A. BeauvillierR000+230.05010—13:40
55N. AcciariC000-110.184107713:17
18J. PuljujarviR011-120.18300—11:26
13K. HayesR101-120.341004009:54
48V. PuustinenR000-100.00020—09:54
Pittsburgh Penguins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
39A. Nedeljkovic(L)36315.8613.73-1.2759:21

Season series

WPG leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).