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Blue Jackets at Avalanche
NHL

Columbus Blue Jackets at Colorado Avalanche

NHL scoreboard
Columbus Blue Jackets
▸6
Colorado Avalanche
4
FinalTV ALT, BSOH·Ball Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Columbus Blue Jackets beat the Colorado Avalanche 6-4. The Blue Jackets scored first and never trailed. The Blue Jackets led 5-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Egor Chinakhov's goal at 9:49 of the second period, which took the Blue Jackets' chances from 66% to 83%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 4.0 to 2.7; shots on goal were CBJ 23, COL 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 81% of the time. Daniil Tarasov stopped 26 of 30 (.867); Justus Annunen stopped 11 of 13 (.846), 0.9 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Kirill Marchenko (1 G, 2 A), 2. Egor Chinakhov (1 G, 2 A), 3. Nathan MacKinnon (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CBJ
    K. Marchenko1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    CBJ
    E. Chinakhov1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    COL
    N. MacKinnon1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CBJCBJ283718623
COLCOL11021317430

Scoring

10 goals

1st period

  1. CBJ
    Z. Werenski(2)
    E. Chinakhov (2), S. Monahan (1)
    snapxG 0.21win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    6:38
  2. CBJ
    K. Johnson(2)
    J. Christiansen (1)
    snapxG 0.03win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-0
    7:45
  3. COL
    N. MacKinnon(1)PPG
    I. Ivan (1), M. Rantanen (1)
    slapxG 0.20win prob +13 ptsVideo
    2-1
    19:52

2nd period

  1. CBJ
    A. Fantilli(1)
    K. Labanc (1), D. Tarasov (1)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +17 ptsVideo
    3-1
    1:56
  2. COL
    M. Wood(1)
    P. Kelly (1), C. de Haan (1)
    snapxG 0.27win prob +17 ptsVideo
    3-2
    2:11
  3. COL
    C. Mittelstadt(2)PPG
    R. Colton (1), C. Makar (3)
    backhandxG 0.37win prob +12 ptsVideo
    3-3
    3:42
  4. CBJ
    K. Marchenko(1)
    D. Severson (2)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +17 ptsVideo
    4-3
    4:33
  5. CBJ
    E. Chinakhov(1)
    S. Monahan (2), K. Marchenko (1)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +18 ptsVideo
    5-3
    9:49

3rd period

  1. COL
    R. Colton(1)
    N. MacKinnon (3), C. Makar (4)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +3 ptsVideo
    5-4
    18:40
  2. CBJ
    S. Monahan(1)EN
    K. Marchenko (2), E. Chinakhov (3)
    wristxG 0.81win prob +1 ptsVideo
    6-4
    19:48

Penalties

CBJ 10 PIM·COL 18 PIM

1st

  • 2:41COLChris Wagner · Interferencedrawn by Zachary Aston-Reese2 min
  • 2:41CBJMathieu Olivier · Roughingdrawn by Chris Wagner2 min
  • 2:41COLJosh Manson · Roughingdrawn by Mathieu Olivier2 min
  • 18:36CBJCole Sillinger · Trippingdrawn by Samuel Girard2 min

2nd

  • 3:31CBJDamon Severson · Slashingdrawn by Nikolai Kovalenko2 min
  • 11:01CBJErik Gudbranson · Hookingdrawn by Miles Wood2 min

3rd

  • 10:21CBJDamon Severson · Hookingdrawn by Nikolai Kovalenko2 min
  • 11:26COLMikko Rantanen · Hookingdrawn by Ivan Provorov2 min
  • 19:21COLCasey Mittelstadt · Holdingdrawn by Mikael Pyyhtia2 min
  • 19:48COLNathan MacKinnon · Misconduct10 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
COL goalCBJ goalFinal: COL 0%

Biggest swing: Egor Chinakhov, 2nd 9:49 — CBJ 66% → 83%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Mittelstadt · Goal · xG 0.37M. Wood · Goal · xG 0.27N. Kovalenko · On goal · xG 0.26N. Kovalenko · Missed · xG 0.23C. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.23N. MacKinnon · Goal · xG 0.20C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.17M. Wood · On goal · xG 0.16R. Colton · Missed · xG 0.13C. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.11C. Makar · Missed · xG 0.11M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.11M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.10N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.10R. Colton · Goal · xG 0.10C. Ritchie · Missed · xG 0.10M. Wood · Missed · xG 0.10R. Colton · On goal · xG 0.09N. Kovalenko · Missed · xG 0.09R. Colton · Missed · xG 0.09R. Colton · Missed · xG 0.08C. Mittelstadt · On goal · xG 0.08J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.07M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.07M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.07I. Ivan · On goal · xG 0.07C. Makar · Missed · xG 0.07C. Wagner · Missed · xG 0.05M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.04I. Ivan · Missed · xG 0.03D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.03L. O'Connor · On goal · xG 0.02L. O'Connor · Missed · xG 0.02C. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.02C. de Haan · On goal · xG 0.02M. Wood · Missed · xG 0.02N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.02M. Wood · On goal · xG 0.02J. Manson · Missed · xG 0.02L. O'Connor · Missed · xG 0.01P. Kelly · On goal · xG 0.01C. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.01M. Wood · Missed · xG 0.01S. Malinski · On goal · xG 0.01C. Wagner · On goal · xG 0.01C. de Haan · On goal · xG 0.01D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.01R. Colton · On goal · xG 0.00C. de Haan · Missed · xG 0.00
COL4 G · 4.0 xG · 49 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CBJvsCOL
2.75 G
All situations
4 G4.0
1.85 G
Even strength
2 G2.6
0.10 G
Power play
2 G1.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 82 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CBJ19%81%COL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.89 – 3.88

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CBJvsCOL
23
Shots on goal
30
44%
Faceoffs
56%
1/3
Power play
2/4
10
Penalty minutes
18
9
Hits
27
19
Blocked shots
13
13
Giveaways
11
8
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
Columbus Blue Jackets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
9I. ProvorovD000+110.13020—25:55
8Z. WerenskiD101+130.26000—23:12
78D. SeversonD011+110.09024—21:45
91K. JohnsonC101+120.12000021:30
23S. MonahanC123+221.010005220:20
4C. SillingerC000+150.402023820:05
82M. PyyhtiaL000+100.00120—19:08
86K. MarchenkoR123+220.23000—18:11
59E. ChinakhovR123+240.31110—17:57
2J. ChristiansenD011+200.00010—17:17
44E. GudbransonD000000.00022—16:54
19A. FantilliC101020.041303616:53
3J. JohnsonD000+100.00000—13:25
21J. van RiemsdykL000000.00000—12:00
62K. LabancR011010.12020—10:54
7S. KuralyC000000.002006709:17
24M. OlivierR000000.00242—09:16
27Z. Aston-ReeseL000000.00000—00:34
Columbus Blue Jackets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40D. Tarasov(W)30264.8674.01+0.0160:00

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).