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Capitals at Rangers
NHL

Washington Capitals at New York Rangers

NHL scoreboard
Washington Capitals
3
New York Rangers
▸4
FinalTV ESPN, MNMT·Madison Square Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Rangers beat the Washington Capitals 4-3. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Rangers led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was K'Andre Miller's goal at 16:52 of the second period, which took the Rangers' chances from 69% to 88%. Expected goals favored the Rangers, 3.1 to 2.1; shots on goal were WSH 25, NYR 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Rangers win a replay of these chances 61% of the time. Charlie Lindgren stopped 24 of 28 (.857), 1.3 goals below expected; Igor Shesterkin stopped 22 of 25 (.880), 0.9 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Mika Zibanejad (1 G, 1 A), 2. Vincent Trocheck (1 G, 1 A), 3. K'Andre Miller (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYR
    M. Zibanejad1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    NYR
    V. Trocheck1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    NYR
    K. Miller1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WSHWSH171919325
NYRNYR2122808428

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. WSH
    C. McMichael(1)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.23win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    5:09
  2. NYR
    V. Trocheck(1)
    E. Gustafsson (1)
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-1
    7:56
  3. NYR
    M. Zibanejad(1)PPG
    V. Trocheck (2), A. Lafrenière (2)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-2
    14:28

2nd period

  1. WSH
    D. Strome(1)PPG
    T. Wilson (2), M. Pacioretty (1)
    tip-inxG 0.27win prob +12 ptsVideo
    2-2
    4:14
  2. NYR
    J. Roslovic(1)PPG
    E. Gustafsson (2), A. Lafrenière (3)
    snapxG 0.06win prob +18 ptsVideo
    2-3
    12:26
  3. NYR
    K. Miller(1)SHG
    M. Zibanejad (2), C. Kreider (1)
    snapxG 0.23win prob +19 ptsVideo
    2-4
    16:52

3rd period

  1. WSH
    T. Wilson(1)PPG
    H. Lapierre (1), J. Carlson (1)
    tip-inxG 0.14win prob +10 ptsVideo
    3-4
    11:45

Penalties

WSH 12 PIM·NYR 10 PIM

1st

  • 10:26NYRJacob Trouba · Interferencedrawn by Tom Wilson2 min
  • 13:02WSHNicolas Aube-Kubel · Hookingdrawn by Vincent Trocheck2 min
  • 15:57WSHT.J. Oshie · Holdingdrawn by Artemi Panarin2 min
  • 16:25NYRChris Kreider · Cross checkingdrawn by Trevor van Riemsdyk2 min

2nd

  • 3:44NYRMatt Rempe · Roughingdrawn by Lucas Johansen2 min
  • 4:34WSHMartin Fehérváry · Interferencedrawn by Alexis Lafrenière2 min
  • 10:34WSHJohn Carlson · Cross checkingdrawn by Vincent Trocheck2 min
  • 15:40NYRErik Gustafsson · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

3rd

  • 6:47WSHConnor McMichael · Roughingdrawn by Artemi Panarin2 min
  • 9:30WSHNic Dowd · Roughingdrawn by Jimmy Vesey2 min
  • 10:51NYRserved by W. Cuylle · Too many men on the ice2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYR goalWSH goalFinal: NYR 100%

Biggest swing: K'Andre Miller, 2nd 16:52 — NYR 69% → 88%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Vesey · Missed · xG 0.48B. Goodrow · On goal · xG 0.24K. Miller · Goal · xG 0.23W. Cuylle · On goal · xG 0.16M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.14C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.14C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.13M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.11A. Fox · On goal · xG 0.10V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.10M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.10K. Miller · Missed · xG 0.09M. Zibanejad · Goal · xG 0.09M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.09A. Panarin · Missed · xG 0.09K. Kakko · On goal · xG 0.08A. Panarin · Missed · xG 0.08V. Trocheck · Missed · xG 0.07J. Roslovic · Goal · xG 0.06A. Wennberg · On goal · xG 0.06V. Trocheck · Goal · xG 0.06A. Lafrenière · Missed · xG 0.06V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.06M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.06J. Roslovic · On goal · xG 0.04A. Panarin · Missed · xG 0.04M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.03M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.03K. Kakko · On goal · xG 0.03K. Kakko · On goal · xG 0.01B. Goodrow · On goal · xG 0.01K. Kakko · Missed · xG 0.01E. Gustafsson · On goal · xG 0.01K. Miller · On goal · xG 0.01K. Miller · On goal · xG 0.01K. Miller · On goal · xG 0.01K. Miller · On goal · xG 0.01R. Lindgren · Missed · xG 0.01K. Miller · On goal · xG 0.01A. Panarin · Missed · xG 0.01B. Goodrow · Missed · xG 0.01
NYR4 G · 3.1 xG · 41 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WSHvsNYR
2.13 G
All situations
4 G3.1
1.31 G
Even strength
1 G1.1
0.72 G
Power play
2 G1.1
0.10 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 78 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WSH39%61%NYR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.09 – 2.66

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WSHvsNYR
25
Shots on goal
28
42%
Faceoffs
58%
2/5
Power play
2/6
12
Penalty minutes
10
29
Hits
34
19
Blocked shots
20
4
Giveaways
6
4
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Washington Capitals skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
74J. CarlsonD011-140.03012—30:49
42M. FehérváryD000-110.14542—21:01
57T. van RiemsdykD000020.03120—20:25
43T. WilsonR112020.29400—19:30
8A. OvechkinL000010.11600—19:13
17D. StromeC101-110.501005818:09
77T. OshieR000020.124025018:05
27A. AlexeyevD000000.00130—17:16
24C. McMichaelL101060.390023817:00
67M. PaciorettyL011-110.26000—14:46
26N. DowdC000000.001222214:43
21A. ProtasL000000.0011010014:14
47B. MalenstynL000000.00240—13:32
46L. JohansenD000010.03000—11:56
52D. McIlrathD000+100.01100—11:18
15S. MilanoL000-110.10000—10:59
29H. LapierreC011-130.111005710:58
96N. Aube-KubelR000000.00122—07:31
Washington Capitals goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
79C. Lindgren(L)28244.8572.66-1.3457:17

Series

NYR leads 4-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).