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Canadiens at Red Wings
NHL

Montréal Canadiens at Detroit Red Wings

Final/OTTV BSDETX, SN·Little Caesars Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Detroit Red Wings beat the Montréal Canadiens 5-4 in overtime, Lucas Raymond scoring at 4:35. The Red Wings came back from three goals down. The Canadiens led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Lucas Raymond's goal at 4:35 of overtime, which took the Red Wings' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Red Wings, 4.1 to 2.3; shots on goal were MTL 21, DET 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Red Wings win a replay of these chances 78% of the time. Samuel Montembeault stopped 30 of 35 (.857), 0.9 goals below expected; Alex Lyon stopped 17 of 21 (.810), 1.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Lucas Raymond (2 G), 2. J.T. Compher (2 G), 3. Alex DeBrincat (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DET
    L. Raymond2 G
  2. ★★
    DET
    J. Compher2 G
  3. ★★★
    DET
    A. DeBrincat1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
MTLMTL28250503421
DETDET1711121512535

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. MTL
    backhandxG 0.16win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    4:25
  2. MTL
    snapxG 0.12win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-0
    6:15
  3. DET
    wristxG 0.31win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-1
    8:11

2nd period

  1. MTL
    wristxG 0.11win prob +17 ptsVideo
    3-1
    5:15
  2. MTL
    wristxG 0.14win prob +9 ptsVideo
    4-1
    15:26
  3. DET
    D. Perron (29), P. Kane (27)
    tip-inxG 0.05win prob +9 ptsVideo
    4-2
    15:59

3rd period

  1. DET
    snapxG 0.07win prob +14 ptsVideo
    4-3
    10:38
  2. DET
    snapxG 0.21win prob +46 ptsVideo
    4-4
    18:43

Overtime

  1. DET
    snapxG 0.17win prob +49 ptsVideo
    4-5
    4:35

Penalties

MTL 2 PIM·DET 0 PIM

2nd

  • 6:43MTLMichael Pezzetta · Trippingdrawn by Shayne Gostisbehere2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DET goalMTL goalFinal: DET 100%

Biggest swing: Lucas Raymond, OT 4:35 — DET 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
O. Maatta · On goal · xG 0.55J. Compher · On goal · xG 0.34J. Compher · Goal · xG 0.31L. Raymond · Goal · xG 0.22A. DeBrincat · Missed · xG 0.20L. Raymond · Goal · xG 0.16L. Raymond · On goal · xG 0.16A. DeBrincat · Missed · xG 0.12S. Gostisbehere · Missed · xG 0.11R. Fabbri · On goal · xG 0.10R. Fabbri · On goal · xG 0.10L. Raymond · On goal · xG 0.09B. Chiarot · Missed · xG 0.09J. Compher · On goal · xG 0.09A. DeBrincat · Missed · xG 0.09P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.08D. Larkin · Missed · xG 0.08A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.08A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.08D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.07A. DeBrincat · Goal · xG 0.07A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.07L. Raymond · Missed · xG 0.07L. Raymond · On goal · xG 0.06D. Sprong · Missed · xG 0.05S. Gostisbehere · Missed · xG 0.05A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.05J. Compher · Goal · xG 0.05D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.04A. DeBrincat · Missed · xG 0.04A. DeBrincat · Missed · xG 0.04S. Gostisbehere · Missed · xG 0.03D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.03D. Larkin · Missed · xG 0.03P. Kane · Missed · xG 0.03L. Raymond · On goal · xG 0.03A. Copp · Missed · xG 0.03S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.03B. Chiarot · On goal · xG 0.02A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.02D. Sprong · Missed · xG 0.02P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.02J. Petry · Missed · xG 0.02D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.01B. Chiarot · On goal · xG 0.01J. Petry · On goal · xG 0.01D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.01A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.01D. Perron · Missed · xG 0.01R. Fabbri · On goal · xG 0.01D. Sprong · On goal · xG 0.01D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.01M. Seider · On goal · xG 0.00
DET5 G · 4.1 xG · 53 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MTLvsDET
2.34 G
All situations
5 G4.1
2.34 G
Even strength
5 G2.9
0.00 G
Power play
0 G1.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 81 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MTL22%78%DET

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.22 – 3.99

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MTLvsDET
21
Shots on goal
35
52%
Faceoffs
48%
0/0
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
0
32
Hits
28
33
Blocked shots
11
3
Giveaways
6
4
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Montréal Canadiens skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8M. MathesonD000000.07060—25:15
58D. SavardD011010.01040—24:19
48L. HutsonD011-110.17000—21:54
22C. CaufieldR000040.58110—21:05
52J. BarronD101+120.13220—20:36
14N. SuzukiC000-100.001305820:30
20J. SlafkovskýL000020.32500—20:28
71J. EvansC033+200.100106017:54
26J. KovacevicD011010.02420—16:58
17J. AndersonR011+120.09230—16:32
40J. ArmiaR000-210.07210—15:57
54J. HarrisD000-110.01020—15:40
15A. NewhookC000-220.260205014:43
49R. Harvey-PinardL101+210.11110—14:40
28C. DvorakC000000.003203814:12
11B. GallagherR202-230.35310—13:44
56J. YlonenR000000.00400—08:41
55M. PezzettaL000000.00422—08:37
Montréal Canadiens goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35S. Montembeault(O)35305.8574.10-0.9064:35

Season series

DET leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).