Montréal Canadiens at Detroit Red Wings
Recap
written from the game dataThe Detroit Red Wings beat the Montréal Canadiens 5-4 in overtime, Lucas Raymond scoring at 4:35. The Red Wings came back from three goals down. The Canadiens led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Lucas Raymond's goal at 4:35 of overtime, which took the Red Wings' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Red Wings, 4.1 to 2.3; shots on goal were MTL 21, DET 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Red Wings win a replay of these chances 78% of the time. Samuel Montembeault stopped 30 of 35 (.857), 0.9 goals below expected; Alex Lyon stopped 17 of 21 (.810), 1.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Lucas Raymond (2 G), 2. J.T. Compher (2 G), 3. Alex DeBrincat (1 G, 1 A).
Three stars
- ★L. Raymond2 G

- ★★J. Compher2 G

- ★★★A. DeBrincat1 G, 1 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
9 goals1st period
1-04:25
2-06:15
2-18:11
2nd period
3-15:15
4-115:26
4-215:59
3rd period
4-310:38
4-418:43
Overtime
4-54:35
Penalties
2nd
- 6:43
Michael Pezzetta · Trippingdrawn by Shayne Gostisbehere2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Lucas Raymond, OT 4:35 — 51% → 100%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.34 G
- All situations
- 5 G4.1
- 2.34 G
- Even strength
- 5 G2.9
- 0.00 G
- Power play
- 0 G1.2
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 81 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.22 – 3.99
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 21
- Shots on goal
- 35
- 52%
- Faceoffs
- 48%
- 0/0
- Power play
- 0/1
- 2
- Penalty minutes
- 0
- 32
- Hits
- 28
- 33
- Blocked shots
- 11
- 3
- Giveaways
- 6
- 4
- Takeaways
- 5
Box score
every player line
Season series
DET leads 3-1
3@
2OTFinal
5@
4OTFinal
4@
5OTthis game
5@
4SOFinal
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
