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Avalanche at Blue Jackets
NHL

Colorado Avalanche at Columbus Blue Jackets

NHL scoreboard
Colorado Avalanche
1
Columbus Blue Jackets
▸4
FinalTV ALT, BSOH·Nationwide Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Columbus Blue Jackets beat the Colorado Avalanche 4-1. The Blue Jackets scored first and never trailed. The Blue Jackets led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Kirill Marchenko's goal at 9:35 of the second period, which took the Blue Jackets' chances from 53% to 71%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 3.9 to 2.9; shots on goal were COL 46, CBJ 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 80% of the time. Justus Annunen stopped 21 of 24 (.875), 1.1 goals below expected; Daniil Tarasov stopped 45 of 46 (.978), 2.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Daniil Tarasov (45 saves, .978), 2. Alex Nylander (2 G), 3. Erik Gudbranson (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CBJ
    D. Tarasov45 saves, .978
  2. ★★
    CBJ
    A. Nylander2 G
  3. ★★★
    CBJ
    E. Gudbranson2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
COLCOL011017118146
CBJCBJ0731414425

Scoring

5 goals

2nd period

  1. CBJ
    K. Marchenko(20)
    E. Gudbranson (16), J. Gaudreau (45)
    backhandxG 0.06win prob +18 ptsVideo
    0-1
    9:35
  2. CBJ
    A. Nylander(9)
    D. Voronkov (15), I. Provorov (26)
    snapxG 0.08win prob +16 ptsVideo
    0-2
    14:12
  3. CBJ
    A. Nylander(10)
    J. Bean (9), E. Gudbranson (17)
    backhandxG 0.31win prob +7 ptsVideo
    0-3
    18:03

3rd period

  1. COL
    C. Wagner(1)
    S. Walker (18), A. Lehkonen (14)
    tip-inxG 0.04win prob +5 ptsVideo
    1-3
    4:39
  2. CBJ
    C. Sillinger(13)EN
    A. Texier (16), K. Marchenko (17)
    tip-inxG 0.95Video
    1-4
    18:27

Penalties

COL 4 PIM·CBJ 8 PIM

1st

  • 16:28COLSamuel Girard · Holdingdrawn by Kirill Marchenko2 min
  • 17:45CBJZach Werenski · Trippingdrawn by Miles Wood2 min

2nd

  • 3:28COLChris Wagner · Trippingdrawn by Carson Meyer2 min
  • 15:07CBJCole Sillinger · Holdingdrawn by Devon Toews2 min

3rd

  • 1:33CBJserved by K. Marchenko · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 6:30CBJJohnny Gaudreau · High stickingdrawn by Cale Makar2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CBJ goalCOL goalFinal: CBJ 100%

Biggest swing: Kirill Marchenko, 2nd 9:35 — CBJ 53% → 71%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Sillinger · Goal · xG 0.95A. Nylander · Goal · xG 0.31J. Malatesta · On goal · xG 0.27K. Marchenko · On goal · xG 0.16K. Marchenko · On goal · xG 0.16B. Gaunce · On goal · xG 0.13C. Sillinger · On goal · xG 0.10A. Nylander · Goal · xG 0.08A. Texier · On goal · xG 0.08I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.06K. Marchenko · Goal · xG 0.06J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.06A. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.06Z. Werenski · On goal · xG 0.05J. Malatesta · Missed · xG 0.04C. Meyer · Missed · xG 0.04B. Gaunce · Missed · xG 0.04D. Voronkov · Missed · xG 0.04D. Severson · On goal · xG 0.04A. Texier · On goal · xG 0.03Z. Werenski · On goal · xG 0.02Z. Werenski · On goal · xG 0.02J. Bean · On goal · xG 0.02I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.01A. Nylander · Missed · xG 0.01E. Gudbranson · Missed · xG 0.01M. Pyyhtia · Missed · xG 0.01J. Bean · Missed · xG 0.01A. Nylander · Missed · xG 0.01D. Severson · On goal · xG 0.01E. Gudbranson · Missed · xG 0.00Z. Werenski · On goal · xG 0.00Z. Werenski · On goal · xG 0.00Z. Werenski · On goal · xG 0.00C. Sillinger · On goal · xG 0.00
CBJ4 G · 2.9 xG · 35 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

COLvsCBJ
3.91 G
All situations
3 G2.9
2.01 G
Even strength
3 G1.2
1.90 G
Power play
0 G0.7
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 100 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
COL80%20%CBJ

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.86 – 1.89

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

COLvsCBJ
46
Shots on goal
25
56%
Faceoffs
44%
0/4
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
8
7
Hits
24
19
Blocked shots
13
4
Giveaways
3
1
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Colorado Avalanche skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
96M. RantanenR000-160.551006928:04
29N. MacKinnonC000-190.960005326:22
27J. DrouinL000-100.00000—26:06
8C. MakarD000-260.61040—25:40
7D. ToewsD000-220.07130—23:12
37C. MittelstadtC000-130.620105418:13
49S. GirardD000-210.08012—17:16
62A. LehkonenL011-140.48020—17:14
26S. WalkerD011030.16020—16:35
42J. MansonD000040.05030—16:27
3J. JohnsonD000010.04000—13:54
20R. ColtonC000-200.000006313:31
9Z. PariseL000-200.00100—12:21
28M. WoodL000-230.06010—12:11
12B. DuhaimeL000020.21210—11:09
11A. CoglianoC000000.00000008:09
14C. WagnerR101+120.052128006:37
93J. FoudyC000000.00000004:30
Colorado Avalanche goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
60J. Annunen(L)24213.8751.95-1.0558:29

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).