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Dallas Stars at San Jose Sharks

FinalTV BSSW, NBCSCA·SAP Center at San Jose

Recap

written from the game data

The Dallas Stars beat the San Jose Sharks 6-3. The Stars scored first and never trailed. The Stars led 5-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Wyatt Johnston's goal at 10:13 of the second period, which took the Stars' chances from 66% to 83%. Expected goals favored the Stars, 3.3 to 1.8; shots on goal were DAL 41, SJS 20. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Stars win a replay of these chances 75% of the time. Scott Wedgewood stopped 17 of 20 (.850), 1.2 goals below expected; Mackenzie Blackwood stopped 35 of 41 (.854), 2.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Jamie Benn (1 G, 2 A), 2. Wyatt Johnston (2 G, 1 A), 3. Jason Robertson (2 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DAL
    J. Benn1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    DAL
    W. Johnston2 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    DAL
    J. Robertson2 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DALDAL212315114641
SJSSJS083903320

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. DAL
    J. Benn (34)
    wristxG 0.20win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-0
    12:06
  2. DAL
    wristxG 0.10win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-0
    16:28

2nd period

  1. DAL
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.03win prob +11 pts
    3-0
    0:14
  2. SJS
    W. Eklund (22), J. Rutta (13)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +11 ptsVideo
    3-1
    0:54
  3. SJS
    W. Eklund(12)PPG
    slapxG 0.12win prob +12 ptsVideo
    3-2
    2:00
  4. DAL
    batxG 0.08win prob +11 ptsVideo
    4-2
    8:05
  5. SJS
    snapxG 0.10win prob +10 ptsVideo
    4-3
    8:58
  6. DAL
    J. Benn (35), J. Pavelski (35)
    backhandxG 0.25win prob +17 ptsVideo
    5-3
    10:13

3rd period

  1. DAL
    wristxG 0.07win prob +2 ptsVideo
    6-3
    11:45

Penalties

DAL 11 PIM·SJS 13 PIM

1st

  • 5:15SJSHenry Thrun · Hookingdrawn by Mason Marchment2 min
  • 10:18DALEsa Lindell · Slashingdrawn by Nico Sturm2 min

2nd

  • 1:52DALSam Steel · Holdingdrawn by Filip Zadina2 min
  • 6:16DALTy Dellandrea · Fightingdrawn by Luke Kunin5 min
  • 6:16SJSLuke Kunin · Fightingdrawn by Ty Dellandrea5 min
  • 10:23SJSThomas Bordeleau · Holdingdrawn by Matt Duchene2 min

3rd

  • 3:44DALChris Tanev · Trippingdrawn by Klim Kostin2 min
  • 6:16SJSKyle Burroughs · Trippingdrawn by Matt Duchene2 min
  • 11:04SJSMario Ferraro · Holdingdrawn by Ty Dellandrea2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
SJS goalDAL goalFinal: SJS 0%

Biggest swing: Wyatt Johnston, 2nd 10:13 — DAL 66% → 83%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Sturm · On goal · xG 0.16N. Sturm · Missed · xG 0.15T. Bordeleau · Missed · xG 0.13W. Eklund · Missed · xG 0.12W. Eklund · Goal · xG 0.12J. Bailey · On goal · xG 0.12T. Bordeleau · On goal · xG 0.11K. Kostin · Goal · xG 0.10N. Sturm · On goal · xG 0.09A. Barabanov · Goal · xG 0.08W. Eklund · Missed · xG 0.08M. Ferraro · On goal · xG 0.07F. Zetterlund · On goal · xG 0.07M. Granlund · Missed · xG 0.06T. Bordeleau · Missed · xG 0.05F. Zetterlund · On goal · xG 0.04W. Eklund · On goal · xG 0.04F. Zetterlund · On goal · xG 0.03F. Zetterlund · On goal · xG 0.03J. Bailey · On goal · xG 0.02M. Ferraro · On goal · xG 0.02F. Zetterlund · Missed · xG 0.02M. Vlasic · Missed · xG 0.01R. Carpenter · On goal · xG 0.01J. MacDonald · Missed · xG 0.01M. Vlasic · Missed · xG 0.01K. Burroughs · Missed · xG 0.01M. Ferraro · On goal · xG 0.01A. Barabanov · Missed · xG 0.01M. Vlasic · On goal · xG 0.01K. Burroughs · Missed · xG 0.01K. Burroughs · On goal · xG 0.01F. Zetterlund · Missed · xG 0.01M. Ferraro · Missed · xG 0.00M. Ferraro · Missed · xG 0.00H. Thrun · Missed · xG 0.00J. Bailey · On goal · xG 0.00N. Sturm · Missed · xG 0.00
SJS3 G · 1.8 xG · 38 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DALvsSJS
3.36 G
All situations
3 G1.8
2.44 G
Even strength
2 G1.3
0.71 G
Power play
1 G0.5
0.21 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 98 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DAL75%25%SJS

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.28 – 1.81

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DALvsSJS
41
Shots on goal
20
54%
Faceoffs
46%
1/4
Power play
1/3
11
Penalty minutes
13
7
Hits
18
15
Blocked shots
17
6
Giveaways
8
6
Takeaways
11

Box score

every player line
Dallas Stars skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4M. HeiskanenD011+220.03010—22:48
55T. HarleyD000+240.31020—22:15
24R. HintzC011010.320105518:13
23E. LindellD000-110.06132—18:09
95M. DucheneC000010.091007017:52
3C. TanevD000-100.00022—17:49
27M. MarchmentL101020.2901010017:39
20R. SuterD000+240.04000—17:13
21J. RobertsonL202080.49200—16:49
16J. PavelskiC011+130.230002916:10
53W. JohnstonC213+330.481006016:07
5N. LundkvistD011+210.01020—15:23
14J. BennL123+230.230305015:16
11L. StankovenC000+220.34000014:30
10T. DellandreaC000020.152051413:43
18S. SteelC011010.03002012:37
12R. FaksaC000030.170008012:27
15C. SmithC000000.07000010:52
Dallas Stars goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
41S. Wedgewood(W)20173.8501.81-1.1960:00

Season series

DAL leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).