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Colorado Avalanche at Vancouver Canucks

Final/OTTV ALT, SNP·Rogers Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the Vancouver Canucks 4-3 in overtime, Valeri Nichushkin scoring at 0:30. The Avalanche came back from three goals down. The Canucks led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Valeri Nichushkin's goal at 0:30 of overtime, which took the Avalanche's chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 3.9 to 1.4; shots on goal were COL 34, VAN 21. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 84% of the time. Alexandar Georgiev stopped 18 of 21 (.857), 1.6 goals below expected; Casey DeSmith stopped 30 of 34 (.882). Three stars: 1. Mikko Rantanen (1 G, 1 A), 2. J.T. Miller (1 G, 1 A), 3. Nathan MacKinnon (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    M. Rantanen1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    VAN
    J. Miller1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    COL
    N. MacKinnon1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
COLCOL0611021711434
VANVAN261120300321

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. VAN
    I. Cole (7), B. Boeser (30)
    tip-inxG 0.04win prob +11 ptsVideo
    0-1
    0:24
  2. VAN
    tip-inxG 0.11win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-2
    2:44

2nd period

  1. VAN
    snapxG 0.01win prob +9 ptsVideo
    0-3
    4:23
  2. COL
    tip-inxG 0.14win prob +6 ptsVideo
    1-3
    19:57

3rd period

  1. COL
    slapxG 0.15win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-3
    3:19
  2. COL
    M. Wood (13)
    backhandxG 0.36win prob +29 ptsVideo
    3-3
    8:43

Overtime

  1. COL
    deflectedxG 0.22win prob +51 ptsVideo
    4-3
    0:30

Penalties

COL 11 PIM·VAN 13 PIM

1st

  • 18:08COLJosh Manson · Illegal check to headdrawn by J.T. Miller2 min

2nd

  • 5:00COLJosh Manson · Fightingdrawn by Nikita Zadorov5 min
  • 5:00VANNikita Zadorov · Fightingdrawn by Josh Manson5 min
  • 8:17COLMiles Wood · Roughingdrawn by Sam Lafferty2 min
  • 9:24VANQuinn Hughes · Interferencedrawn by Valeri Nichushkin2 min

3rd

  • 1:45VANElias Pettersson · Slashingdrawn by Yakov Trenin2 min
  • 3:04VANIan Cole · Hookingdrawn by Nathan MacKinnon2 min
  • 10:11COLJoel Kiviranta · Interferencedrawn by Teddy Blueger2 min
  • 19:51VANCarson Soucy · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VAN goalCOL goalFinal: VAN 0%

Biggest swing: Valeri Nichushkin, OT 0:30 — COL 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Hoglander · On goal · xG 0.24J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.17I. Mikheyev · Goal · xG 0.11T. Blueger · On goal · xG 0.11B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.10P. Di Giuseppe · Missed · xG 0.10E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.08C. Garland · Missed · xG 0.07I. Mikheyev · On goal · xG 0.07B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.06Q. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.05J. Miller · Goal · xG 0.04C. Garland · On goal · xG 0.04Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.04F. Hronek · On goal · xG 0.03E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.02C. Garland · On goal · xG 0.02E. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.02N. Zadorov · Goal · xG 0.01F. Hronek · Missed · xG 0.01C. Garland · On goal · xG 0.01V. Podkolzin · Missed · xG 0.01E. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.01C. Garland · Missed · xG 0.01P. Di Giuseppe · On goal · xG 0.01T. Blueger · On goal · xG 0.00V. Podkolzin · On goal · xG 0.00
VAN3 G · 1.4 xG · 27 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

COLvsVAN
3.94 G
All situations
3 G1.4
2.52 G
Even strength
3 G1.1
1.22 G
Power play
0 G0.4
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 78 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
COL84%16%VAN

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.47 – 1.43

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

COLvsVAN
34
Shots on goal
21
43%
Faceoffs
57%
2/4
Power play
0/3
11
Penalty minutes
13
20
Hits
31
2
Blocked shots
22
7
Giveaways
7
3
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Colorado Avalanche skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8C. MakarD022-210.20100—27:18
96M. RantanenR112-150.380002523:39
29N. MacKinnonC112-130.220105023:08
13V. NichushkinR101-210.40300—22:10
7D. ToewsD011-210.02200—20:19
37C. MittelstadtC011+110.220003819:37
49S. GirardD000+100.00300—19:09
42J. MansonD000+140.17017—17:40
26S. WalkerD000000.02300—16:50
73Y. TreninC000040.561003316:27
12B. DuhaimeL000050.61100—16:21
28M. WoodL011+150.52202—15:05
3J. JohnsonD000010.01000—14:15
20R. ColtonC101+110.481008013:14
94J. KivirantaL000+110.02102—13:01
11A. CoglianoC000-110.02100008:05
82C. JonesD000-100.00100—05:17
22F. OlofssonL000-100.00000—05:10
Colorado Avalanche goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40A. Georgiev(W)21183.8571.45-1.5559:45

Season series

COL leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).