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Maple Leafs at Canadiens
NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs at Montréal Canadiens

NHL scoreboard
Toronto Maple Leafs
▸3
Montréal Canadiens
2
FinalTV NHLN, CBC·Centre Bell

Recap

written from the game data

The Toronto Maple Leafs beat the Montréal Canadiens 3-2. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Maple Leafs led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was John Tavares's goal at 13:14 of the third period, which took the Maple Leafs' chances from 48% to 85%. Expected goals were close — TOR 2.2, MTL 2.1; shots on goal were TOR 27, MTL 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Maple Leafs win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. Ilya Samsonov stopped 29 of 31 (.935); Samuel Montembeault stopped 24 of 27 (.889), 0.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Max Domi (1 G, 1 A), 2. Juraj Slafkovský (2 A), 3. Bobby McMann (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TOR
    M. Domi1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    MTL
    J. Slafkovský2 A
  3. ★★★
    TOR
    B. McMann1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
TORTOR0921018327
MTLMTL1901319231

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. MTL
    M. Matheson(9)
    C. Caufield (32), J. Slafkovský (19)
    backhandxG 0.43win prob +11 ptsVideo
    0-1
    0:38

2nd period

  1. TOR
    B. McMann(10)
    D. Kampf (7)
    snapxG 0.12win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-1
    0:39
  2. TOR
    M. Domi(8)
    C. Jarnkrok (11), T. Brodie (17)
    snapxG 0.17win prob +23 ptsVideo
    2-1
    18:41

3rd period

  1. MTL
    A. Newhook(10)PPG
    J. Slafkovský (20), M. Matheson (37)
    snapxG 0.18win prob +23 ptsVideo
    2-2
    5:05
  2. TOR
    J. Tavares(20)
    J. McCabe (17), M. Domi (26)
    deflectedxG 0.25win prob +37 ptsVideo
    3-2
    13:14

Penalties

TOR 10 PIM·MTL 6 PIM

2nd

  • 9:43MTLJake Evans · High stickingdrawn by TJ Brodie2 min
  • 10:09TORMorgan Rielly · Holdingdrawn by Joel Armia2 min
  • 13:48TORBobby McMann · Kneeingdrawn by Jake Evans2 min
  • 20:00MTLDavid Savard · Roughingdrawn by John Tavares2 min
  • 20:00TORJohn Tavares · Roughingdrawn by David Savard2 min
  • 20:00MTLArber Xhekaj · Roughing removing opponents helmetdrawn by Calle Jarnkrok2 min

3rd

  • 4:15TORTimothy Liljegren · Holdingdrawn by Jake Evans2 min
  • 17:01TORCalle Jarnkrok · Trippingdrawn by Mike Matheson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MTL goalTOR goalFinal: MTL 0%

Biggest swing: John Tavares, 3rd 13:14 — TOR 48% → 85%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Matheson · Goal · xG 0.43A. Newhook · Goal · xG 0.19J. Slafkovský · Missed · xG 0.13M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.11J. Anderson · Missed · xG 0.11J. Slafkovský · On goal · xG 0.09C. Caufield · On goal · xG 0.08C. Caufield · On goal · xG 0.08R. Harvey-Pinard · Missed · xG 0.07J. Roy · On goal · xG 0.07J. Evans · Missed · xG 0.06R. Harvey-Pinard · On goal · xG 0.06N. Suzuki · Missed · xG 0.05B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.05J. Slafkovský · On goal · xG 0.05K. Guhle · On goal · xG 0.04J. Anderson · Missed · xG 0.04N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.04K. Guhle · On goal · xG 0.03J. Slafkovský · On goal · xG 0.03N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.03C. Caufield · On goal · xG 0.03D. Savard · On goal · xG 0.03J. Roy · Missed · xG 0.02J. Harris · On goal · xG 0.02C. Caufield · On goal · xG 0.02A. Xhekaj · On goal · xG 0.02J. Armia · On goal · xG 0.02A. Xhekaj · On goal · xG 0.01A. Xhekaj · On goal · xG 0.01K. Guhle · On goal · xG 0.01A. Xhekaj · On goal · xG 0.01A. Xhekaj · On goal · xG 0.01M. Pezzetta · On goal · xG 0.01A. Xhekaj · On goal · xG 0.01J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.01D. Savard · On goal · xG 0.01A. Xhekaj · On goal · xG 0.00
MTL2 G · 2.1 xG · 38 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

TORvsMTL
2.23 G
All situations
2 G2.1
2.23 G
Even strength
1 G1.7
0.00 G
Power play
1 G0.3
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 71 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
TOR52%48%MTL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.14 – 2.07

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

TORvsMTL
27
Shots on goal
31
47%
Faceoffs
53%
0/2
Power play
1/4
10
Penalty minutes
6
23
Hits
44
13
Blocked shots
16
20
Giveaways
16
2
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Toronto Maple Leafs skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
78T. BrodieD011+300.02010—22:04
22J. McCabeD011+120.04110—21:53
34A. MatthewsC000-130.363202920:59
44M. RiellyD000+120.07112—19:26
37T. LiljegrenD000010.01112—19:25
88W. NylanderR000-130.280005019:13
20J. EdmundsonD000010.02000—19:03
64D. KampfC011+120.021004417:36
59T. BertuzziL000-100.00210—16:40
19C. JarnkrokC011+200.00102016:12
46I. LyubushkinD000-110.04330—15:59
74B. McMannC101+130.2800210014:44
91J. TavaresC101+210.381026214:10
23M. KniesL000+120.32400—13:56
11M. DomiC112+240.26110012:19
24C. DewarC000000.001106011:13
29P. HolmbergR000000.00210—09:36
75R. ReavesR000020.06100—08:42
Toronto Maple Leafs goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35I. Samsonov(W)31292.9352.08+0.0860:00

Season series

TOR leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).