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Red Wings at Avalanche
NHL

Detroit Red Wings at Colorado Avalanche

NHL scoreboard
Detroit Red Wings
2
Colorado Avalanche
▸7
FinalTV TNT, MAX·Ball Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the Detroit Red Wings 7-2. The Red Wings scored first; the Avalanche answered. The Avalanche led 5-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Artturi Lehkonen's goal at 8:49 of the second period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 53% to 71%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 4.4 to 2.4; shots on goal were DET 29, COL 54. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 80% of the time. Alex Lyon stopped 35 of 40 (.875), 1.9 goals below expected; Alexandar Georgiev stopped 27 of 29 (.931). Three stars: 1. Cale Makar (3 G, 1 A), 2. Nathan MacKinnon (1 G, 3 A), 3. Mikko Rantanen (4 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    C. Makar3 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    COL
    N. MacKinnon1 G, 3 A
  3. ★★★
    COL
    M. Rantanen4 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DETDET2150608229
COLCOL216324214754

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. DET
    R. Fabbri(16)PPG
    A. DeBrincat (31), S. Gostisbehere (31)
    deflectedxG 0.23win prob +8 ptsVideo
    1-0
    1:48
  2. COL
    C. Makar(15)
    D. Toews (26), N. MacKinnon (67)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-1
    5:15
  3. DET
    D. Perron(13)
    A. Copp (17), O. Maatta (12)
    wristxG 0.28win prob +14 ptsVideo
    2-1
    13:30
  4. COL
    N. MacKinnon(40)PPG
    M. Rantanen (49), C. Makar (53)
    slapxG 0.08win prob +10 ptsVideo
    2-2
    17:07

2nd period

  1. COL
    A. Lehkonen(10)
    M. Rantanen (50), N. MacKinnon (68)
    snapxG 0.17win prob +18 ptsVideo
    2-3
    8:49
  2. COL
    C. Makar(16)
    M. Rantanen (51), N. MacKinnon (69)
    backhandxG 0.19win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-4
    16:12
  3. COL
    C. Makar(17)PPG
    M. Rantanen (52), J. Drouin (26)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +5 ptsVideo
    2-5
    19:26

3rd period

  1. COL
    J. Drouin(12)
    R. Colton (20), J. Manson (13)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +1 ptsVideo
    2-6
    7:12
  2. COL
    J. Foudy(1)
    J. Kiviranta (6)
    backhandxG 0.08Video
    2-7
    15:25

Penalties

DET 18 PIM·COL 10 PIM

1st

  • 1:06COLArtturi Lehkonen · Hookingdrawn by Alex DeBrincat2 min
  • 17:01DETMoritz Seider · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 18:18COLOndrej Pavel · Trippingdrawn by Robby Fabbri2 min

2nd

  • 4:39DETMoritz Seider · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 11:43DETOlli Maatta · Roughingdrawn by Ross Colton2 min
  • 11:43COLRoss Colton · Cross checkingdrawn by Olli Maatta2 min
  • 13:56DETShayne Gostisbehere · Roughingdrawn by Miles Wood2 min
  • 13:56COLMiles Wood · Roughingdrawn by Shayne Gostisbehere2 min
  • 13:56COLRoss Colton · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Alex Lyon2 min
  • 13:56DETserved by C. Fischer · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 18:53DETJake Walman · Holdingdrawn by Josh Manson2 min

3rd

  • 1:32DETJoseph Veleno · High sticking double minordrawn by Artturi Lehkonen4 min
  • 12:25DETAlex DeBrincat · High stickingdrawn by Andrew Cogliano2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
COL goalDET goalFinal: COL 100%

Biggest swing: Artturi Lehkonen, 2nd 8:49 — COL 53% → 71%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Makar · Goal · xG 0.19J. Foudy · On goal · xG 0.17A. Lehkonen · Goal · xG 0.17R. Colton · On goal · xG 0.16A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.15O. Pavel · On goal · xG 0.15J. Kiviranta · On goal · xG 0.14A. Lehkonen · Missed · xG 0.14J. Drouin · On goal · xG 0.14N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.14N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.13J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.13R. Colton · On goal · xG 0.12M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.11N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.10A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.09M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.09M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.09J. Foudy · Goal · xG 0.08N. MacKinnon · Goal · xG 0.08Z. Parise · Missed · xG 0.08Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.08N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.08O. Pavel · On goal · xG 0.08M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.08C. Makar · Missed · xG 0.08N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.07M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.07A. Cogliano · On goal · xG 0.07N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.07M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.07J. Drouin · Goal · xG 0.06J. Drouin · Missed · xG 0.06C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.06M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.06M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.05A. Lehkonen · Missed · xG 0.05J. Drouin · On goal · xG 0.05S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.05M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.05C. Makar · Goal · xG 0.04D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.03J. Manson · Missed · xG 0.03C. Makar · Missed · xG 0.03J. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.03J. Kiviranta · Missed · xG 0.03M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.03J. Drouin · On goal · xG 0.03Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.03C. Makar · Goal · xG 0.03J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.02N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.02D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.02J. Manson · Missed · xG 0.02M. Wood · On goal · xG 0.02J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.02C. Jones · On goal · xG 0.02N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.01C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.01S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.01J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.01D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.01D. Toews · Missed · xG 0.01D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.01C. Wagner · On goal · xG 0.01J. Kiviranta · On goal · xG 0.01S. Girard · Missed · xG 0.00
COL7 G · 4.4 xG · 67 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DETvsCOL
2.42 G
All situations
7 G4.4
1.61 G
Even strength
5 G3.1
0.81 G
Power play
2 G1.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 102 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DET20%80%COL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.30 – 4.36

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DETvsCOL
29
Shots on goal
54
47%
Faceoffs
53%
1/2
Power play
2/6
18
Penalty minutes
10
27
Hits
11
22
Blocked shots
11
3
Giveaways
5
6
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Detroit Red Wings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
46J. PetryD000-210.11230—21:37
8B. ChiarotD000-210.08240—20:17
53M. SeiderD000-210.06244—19:59
41S. GostisbehereD011020.10112—19:26
37J. CompherL000-210.040004218:44
96J. WalmanD000-210.01222—18:42
93A. DeBrincatR011-120.12122—17:57
2O. MaattaD011030.08122—17:50
23L. RaymondL000-200.19100—17:39
88P. KaneR000-120.06100—17:27
27M. RasmussenC000-130.2223010016:40
90J. VelenoC000-110.030145715:51
36C. FischerR000-110.145002313:09
18A. CoppC011010.062006912:19
57D. PerronL101-150.6640010011:29
24K. KostinC000-100.00000010:20
14R. FabbriC101040.481005010:07
17D. SprongR000-100.00000—09:48
Detroit Red Wings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
34A. Lyon(L)40355.8753.11-1.8940:00
47J. Reimer14122.8571.30-0.7020:00

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).