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San Jose Sharks at Minnesota Wild

FinalTV NBCSCA, BSN·Xcel Energy Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the San Jose Sharks 4-3. The Wild came back from two goals down. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Kirill Kaprizov's goal at 16:01 of the third period, which took the Wild's chances from 52% to 92%. Expected goals favored the Wild, 2.4 to 1.2; shots on goal were SJS 15, MIN 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 73% of the time. Kaapo Kahkonen stopped 28 of 32 (.875), 1.6 goals below expected; Filip Gustavsson stopped 12 of 15 (.800), 1.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Kirill Kaprizov (3 G), 2. Jake Middleton, 3. Matt Boldy (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    K. Kaprizov3 G
  2. ★★
    MIN
    J. Middleton
  3. ★★★
    MIN
    M. Boldy2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
SJSSJS032715315
MINMIN01121427432

Scoring

7 goals

2nd period

  1. SJS
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.03win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    1:41
  2. SJS
    N. Sturm(5)SHG
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.10win prob +19 ptsVideo
    2-0
    4:56
  3. MIN
    snapxG 0.11win prob +14 ptsVideo
    2-1
    5:46
  4. MIN
    snapxG 0.13win prob +18 ptsVideo
    2-2
    7:01

3rd period

  1. SJS
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.14win prob +24 ptsVideo
    3-2
    0:23
  2. MIN
    snapxG 0.11win prob +25 ptsVideo
    3-3
    2:38
  3. MIN
    wristxG 0.11win prob +40 ptsVideo
    3-4
    16:01

Penalties

SJS 8 PIM·MIN 4 PIM

1st

  • 7:09SJSJan Rutta · Interferencedrawn by Joel Eriksson Ek2 min

2nd

  • 1:19MINZach Bogosian · Interferencedrawn by Justin Bailey2 min
  • 4:28SJSMarc-Edouard Vlasic · Holdingdrawn by Joel Eriksson Ek2 min
  • 10:09SJSKevin Labanc · High sticking double minordrawn by Vinni Lettieri4 min

3rd

  • 17:30MINJake Middleton · Trippingdrawn by Filip Zadina2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MIN goalSJS goalFinal: MIN 100%

Biggest swing: Kirill Kaprizov, 3rd 16:01 — MIN 52% → 92%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Rossi · On goal · xG 0.33M. Boldy · Missed · xG 0.17K. Kaprizov · Goal · xG 0.13K. Kaprizov · Goal · xG 0.11M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.11K. Kaprizov · Goal · xG 0.11F. Gaudreau · Goal · xG 0.11B. Faber · On goal · xG 0.10J. Eriksson Ek · Missed · xG 0.09R. Hartman · Missed · xG 0.09J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.08C. Dewar · On goal · xG 0.08D. Chisholm · Missed · xG 0.07B. Duhaime · Missed · xG 0.07J. Middleton · On goal · xG 0.07J. Lucchini · On goal · xG 0.06M. Rossi · On goal · xG 0.06M. Rossi · On goal · xG 0.05K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.05J. Brodin · On goal · xG 0.04V. Lettieri · On goal · xG 0.03B. Duhaime · On goal · xG 0.03V. Lettieri · Missed · xG 0.03D. Chisholm · On goal · xG 0.03K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.03B. Faber · On goal · xG 0.02J. Brodin · Missed · xG 0.02J. Middleton · On goal · xG 0.02J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.02J. Brodin · Missed · xG 0.02F. Gaudreau · Missed · xG 0.02V. Lettieri · On goal · xG 0.02J. Brodin · Missed · xG 0.01Z. Bogosian · Missed · xG 0.01J. Merrill · Missed · xG 0.01Z. Bogosian · Missed · xG 0.01K. Kaprizov · Missed · xG 0.01C. Dewar · On goal · xG 0.01B. Faber · On goal · xG 0.01J. Middleton · On goal · xG 0.01J. Merrill · On goal · xG 0.01V. Lettieri · Missed · xG 0.01D. Chisholm · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Bogosian · On goal · xG 0.00D. Chisholm · On goal · xG 0.00M. Rossi · On goal · xG 0.00B. Faber · On goal · xG 0.00
MIN4 G · 2.4 xG · 47 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

SJSvsMIN
1.23 G
All situations
4 G2.4
0.71 G
Even strength
3 G1.9
0.41 G
Power play
1 G0.4
0.11 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 73 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
SJS27%73%MIN

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.23 – 2.39

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

SJSvsMIN
15
Shots on goal
32
44%
Faceoffs
56%
1/2
Power play
1/4
8
Penalty minutes
4
31
Hits
17
13
Blocked shots
12
2
Giveaways
7
3
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
San Jose Sharks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
38M. FerraroD000-200.00340—22:35
64M. GranlundC101+130.220005322:18
3H. ThrunD000+100.00010—21:21
84J. RuttaD000+110.01112—20:26
20F. ZetterlundL000+130.11100—20:13
44M. VlasicD000-100.00232—19:57
10A. DuclairL101+110.14210—17:20
18F. ZadinaR000-220.21110—16:22
4K. BurroughsD000000.00300—16:12
11L. KuninC000-100.00410816:03
7N. SturmC101020.113006715:36
83N. OkhotiukD000-100.00200—14:12
68M. HoffmanC000010.33000014:01
33C. AddisonD000-100.00300—13:58
62K. LabancR000-100.0211410013:45
90J. BaileyR000010.03200—11:11
22R. CarpenterC000-110.070003310:52
54G. SmithR000-100.0030010007:57
San Jose Sharks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
36K. Kahkonen(L)32284.8752.40-1.6058:23

Season series

MIN leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).