San Jose Sharks at Minnesota Wild
Recap
written from the game dataThe Minnesota Wild beat the San Jose Sharks 4-3. The Wild came back from two goals down. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Kirill Kaprizov's goal at 16:01 of the third period, which took the Wild's chances from 52% to 92%. Expected goals favored the Wild, 2.4 to 1.2; shots on goal were SJS 15, MIN 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 73% of the time. Kaapo Kahkonen stopped 28 of 32 (.875), 1.6 goals below expected; Filip Gustavsson stopped 12 of 15 (.800), 1.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Kirill Kaprizov (3 G), 2. Jake Middleton, 3. Matt Boldy (2 A).
Three stars
- ★K. Kaprizov3 G

- ★★J. Middleton

- ★★★M. Boldy2 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
7 goals2nd period
1-01:41
2-04:56
2-15:46
2-27:01
3rd period
3-20:23
3-32:38
3-416:01
Penalties
1st
- 7:09
Jan Rutta · Interferencedrawn by Joel Eriksson Ek2 min
2nd
- 1:19
Zach Bogosian · Interferencedrawn by Justin Bailey2 min
- 4:28
Marc-Edouard Vlasic · Holdingdrawn by Joel Eriksson Ek2 min
- 10:09
Kevin Labanc · High sticking double minordrawn by Vinni Lettieri4 min
3rd
- 17:30
Jake Middleton · Trippingdrawn by Filip Zadina2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Kirill Kaprizov, 3rd 16:01 — 52% → 92%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 1.23 G
- All situations
- 4 G2.4
- 0.71 G
- Even strength
- 3 G1.9
- 0.41 G
- Power play
- 1 G0.4
- 0.11 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 73 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 1.23 – 2.39
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 15
- Shots on goal
- 32
- 44%
- Faceoffs
- 56%
- 1/2
- Power play
- 1/4
- 8
- Penalty minutes
- 4
- 31
- Hits
- 17
- 13
- Blocked shots
- 12
- 2
- Giveaways
- 7
- 3
- Takeaways
- 7
Box score
every player line
Season series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
