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Senators at Capitals
NHL

Ottawa Senators at Washington Capitals

NHL scoreboard
Ottawa Senators
3
Washington Capitals
▸6
FinalTV MNMT, SN·Capital One Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Washington Capitals beat the Ottawa Senators 6-3. The Capitals scored first and never trailed. The Capitals led 6-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Hendrix Lapierre's goal at 1:58 of the second period, which took the Capitals' chances from 69% to 84%. Expected goals favored the Capitals, 2.3 to 1.4; shots on goal were OTT 21, WSH 20. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Capitals win a replay of these chances 67% of the time. Joonas Korpisalo stopped 8 of 10 (.800), 0.5 goals below expected; Darcy Kuemper stopped 18 of 21 (.857), 1.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Aliaksei Protas (1 G, 2 A), 2. Hendrix Lapierre (2 G), 3. John Carlson (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WSH
    A. Protas1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    WSH
    H. Lapierre2 G
  3. ★★★
    WSH
    J. Carlson1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
OTTOTT291606321
WSHWSH4102604620

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. WSH
    A. Protas(5)
    A. Mantha (12), C. McMichael (11)
    backhandxG 0.07win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    6:30
  2. WSH
    J. Carlson(4)PPG
    D. Strome (22)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +10 ptsVideo
    0-2
    8:30
  3. OTT
    D. Batherson(19)
    B. Tkachuk (23), S. Pinto (7)
    snapxG 0.06win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-2
    10:12
  4. OTT
    S. Pinto(5)
    T. Hamonic (4), B. Tkachuk (24)
    batxG 0.15win prob +14 ptsVideo
    2-2
    12:41
  5. WSH
    M. Pacioretty(2)PPG
    M. Sgarbossa (2), C. McMichael (12)
    snapxG 0.07win prob +14 ptsVideo
    2-3
    18:33
  6. WSH
    B. Malenstyn(6)
    A. Protas (20), N. Aube-Kubel (10)
    snapxG 0.15win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-4
    18:47

2nd period

  1. OTT
    B. Tkachuk(26)
    V. Tarasenko (23), S. Pinto (8)
    snapxG 0.07win prob +15 ptsVideo
    3-4
    1:27
  2. WSH
    H. Lapierre(3)
    B. Malenstyn (10), E. Bear (3)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +15 ptsVideo
    3-5
    1:58
  3. WSH
    H. Lapierre(4)
    A. Mantha (13), A. Protas (21)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +8 ptsVideo
    3-6
    10:55

Penalties

OTT 6 PIM·WSH 2 PIM

1st

  • 8:21OTTJakob Chychrun · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 16:42OTTDrake Batherson · Boardingdrawn by Michael Sgarbossa2 min

2nd

  • 5:36WSHPierrick Dube · Trippingdrawn by Mark Kastelic2 min
  • 14:30OTTErik Brannstrom · Interferencedrawn by Connor McMichael2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WSH goalOTT goalFinal: WSH 100%

Biggest swing: Hendrix Lapierre, 2nd 1:58 — WSH 69% → 84%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
P. Dube · On goal · xG 0.18T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.18N. Aube-Kubel · Missed · xG 0.17C. McMichael · Missed · xG 0.17B. Malenstyn · Goal · xG 0.15H. Lapierre · Goal · xG 0.13C. McMichael · On goal · xG 0.13P. Dube · Missed · xG 0.13A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.10M. Sgarbossa · Missed · xG 0.09C. McMichael · Missed · xG 0.09R. Sandin · On goal · xG 0.08M. Sgarbossa · On goal · xG 0.07M. Pacioretty · Goal · xG 0.07A. Protas · Goal · xG 0.07H. Lapierre · Goal · xG 0.05B. Malenstyn · Missed · xG 0.05A. Mantha · On goal · xG 0.04E. Bear · Missed · xG 0.04M. Sgarbossa · On goal · xG 0.04A. Mantha · Missed · xG 0.04T. van Riemsdyk · Missed · xG 0.04B. Malenstyn · On goal · xG 0.03M. Pacioretty · On goal · xG 0.03J. Carlson · Goal · xG 0.03E. Bear · Missed · xG 0.03H. Lapierre · Missed · xG 0.02N. Aube-Kubel · Missed · xG 0.02D. Strome · Missed · xG 0.01P. Dube · On goal · xG 0.01A. Protas · Missed · xG 0.01D. Strome · On goal · xG 0.01R. Sandin · On goal · xG 0.00A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.00J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.00A. Protas · On goal · xG 0.00
WSH6 G · 2.3 xG · 36 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

OTTvsWSH
1.43 G
All situations
6 G2.3
1.23 G
Even strength
4 G1.9
0.20 G
Power play
2 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 65 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
OTT33%67%WSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.41 – 2.26

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

OTTvsWSH
21
Shots on goal
20
51%
Faceoffs
49%
0/1
Power play
2/3
6
Penalty minutes
2
29
Hits
27
7
Blocked shots
28
2
Giveaways
4
10
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Ottawa Senators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
72T. ChabotD000-110.02000—24:46
26E. BrannstromD000-100.00102—20:34
85J. SandersonD000+110.02000—20:20
24J. Bernard-DockerD000+110.02200—19:55
28C. GirouxR000-210.000007018:52
6J. ChychrunD000-130.15012—18:32
18T. StützleC000-220.19210017:48
21M. JosephR000-120.13300—16:51
7B. TkachukL123+230.174106716:32
57S. PintoC123+210.231004216:12
91V. TarasenkoR011+120.25000—16:03
71R. GreigC000000.00300015:43
23T. HamonicD011-120.02100—14:51
19D. BathersonR101+110.06002—13:34
9J. NorrisC000000.143105012:59
27P. KellyC000-100.00430012:32
12M. KastelicC000-110.012001710:29
81D. KubalikL000-200.00300—09:27
Ottawa Senators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
70J. Korpisalo1082.8001.47-0.5340:00
31A. Forsberg(L)1064.6000.80-3.2020:00

Season series

OTT leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).