Skip to content
Jets at Flames
NHL

Winnipeg Jets at Calgary Flames

NHL scoreboard
Winnipeg Jets
3
Calgary Flames
▸6
FinalTV SNW, TSN3·Scotiabank Saddledome

Recap

written from the game data

The Calgary Flames beat the Winnipeg Jets 6-3. The Flames came back from two goals down. The Flames led 4-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jonathan Huberdeau's goal at 16:06 of the second period, which took the Flames' chances from 53% to 74%. Expected goals favored the Flames, 3.9 to 3.1; shots on goal were WPG 31, CGY 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Jets win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Connor Hellebuyck stopped 28 of 33 (.848), 2.0 goals below expected; Jacob Markstrom stopped 28 of 31 (.903). Three stars: 1. Nazem Kadri (2 G, 1 A), 2. Andrew Mangiapane (1 G, 1 A), 3. Sean Monahan (3 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CGY
    N. Kadri2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    CGY
    A. Mangiapane1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    WPG
    S. Monahan3 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WPGWPG31308010331
CGYCGY21321229634

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. CGY
    O. Kylington(1)
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.09win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    4:19
  2. WPG
    S. Monahan(15)PPG
    K. Connor (14), G. Vilardi (11)
    pokexG 0.14win prob +9 ptsVideo
    1-1
    6:07
  3. WPG
    S. Monahan(16)
    D. DeMelo (15), J. Morrissey (29)
    backhandxG 0.24win prob +12 ptsVideo
    2-1
    6:49
  4. WPG
    S. Monahan(17)PPG
    G. Vilardi (12), K. Connor (15)
    wristxG 0.24win prob +14 ptsVideo
    3-1
    11:24
  5. CGY
    B. Coleman(22)
    A. Mangiapane (20), M. Backlund (16)
    tip-inxG 0.36win prob +16 ptsVideo
    3-2
    14:09

2nd period

  1. CGY
    N. Kadri(18)PPG
    M. Weegar (18), J. Huberdeau (25)
    tip-inxG 0.11win prob +12 ptsVideo
    3-3
    4:58
  2. CGY
    J. Huberdeau(9)
    R. Andersson (22), Y. Sharangovich (17)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +21 ptsVideo
    3-4
    16:06

3rd period

  1. CGY
    A. Mangiapane(11)
    N. Kadri (29)
    snapxG 0.14win prob +11 ptsVideo
    3-5
    13:18
  2. CGY
    N. Kadri(19)EN
    R. Andersson (23)
    wristxG 0.92Video
    3-6
    18:03

Penalties

WPG 4 PIM·CGY 6 PIM

1st

  • 5:26CGYRasmus Andersson · Hookingdrawn by Nikolaj Ehlers2 min
  • 9:52CGYOliver Kylington · Trippingdrawn by Cole Perfetti2 min
  • 14:34WPGGabriel Vilardi · Hookingdrawn by Mikael Backlund2 min

2nd

  • 4:30WPGSean Monahan · Slashingdrawn by Brayden Pachal2 min

3rd

  • 11:02CGYChris Tanev · Trippingdrawn by Dylan DeMelo2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CGY goalWPG goalFinal: CGY 100%

Biggest swing: Jonathan Huberdeau, 2nd 16:06 — CGY 53% → 74%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Kadri · Goal · xG 0.92B. Coleman · Goal · xG 0.36B. Pachal · On goal · xG 0.30N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.21A. Mangiapane · Goal · xG 0.14A. Mangiapane · On goal · xG 0.14J. Huberdeau · Missed · xG 0.12Y. Sharangovich · On goal · xG 0.11Y. Sharangovich · Missed · xG 0.11N. Kadri · Goal · xG 0.11N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.10J. Huberdeau · Goal · xG 0.10M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.10A. Mangiapane · On goal · xG 0.09O. Kylington · Goal · xG 0.09J. Huberdeau · Missed · xG 0.08M. Weegar · Missed · xG 0.07A. Mangiapane · Missed · xG 0.06B. Coleman · Missed · xG 0.06M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.05N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.04M. Backlund · Missed · xG 0.04N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.04D. Hunt · On goal · xG 0.04O. Kylington · On goal · xG 0.04B. Pachal · On goal · xG 0.03J. Huberdeau · Missed · xG 0.03B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.03Y. Sharangovich · On goal · xG 0.03N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.03M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.02A. Mangiapane · Missed · xG 0.02N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.02D. Hunt · On goal · xG 0.02M. Pospisil · Missed · xG 0.02M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.01N. Hanifin · Missed · xG 0.01M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.01D. Hunt · On goal · xG 0.01B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.01B. Coleman · Missed · xG 0.01R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.01D. Hunt · On goal · xG 0.01R. Andersson · Missed · xG 0.01M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.01D. Hunt · Missed · xG 0.00A. Kuzmenko · On goal · xG 0.00N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.00K. Rooney · On goal · xG 0.00
CGY6 G · 3.9 xG · 49 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WPGvsCGY
3.13 G
All situations
5 G3.9
1.71 G
Even strength
4 G2.7
1.32 G
Power play
1 G0.2
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 90 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WPG51%49%CGY

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.00 – 2.96

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WPGvsCGY
31
Shots on goal
34
60%
Faceoffs
40%
2/3
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
6
27
Hits
29
17
Blocked shots
11
9
Giveaways
15
11
Takeaways
15

Box score

every player line
Winnipeg Jets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
44J. MorrisseyD011-110.04120—26:03
2D. DeMeloD011+120.02130—19:58
55M. ScheifeleC000-200.000106919:53
81K. ConnorL022-220.28100—19:34
13G. VilardiC022-240.97002019:06
23S. MonahanC303-140.730126318:40
4N. PionkD000-310.01210—18:36
5B. DillonD000-310.03500—18:21
88N. SchmidtD000-120.09110—16:39
54D. SambergD000020.09230—16:10
22M. AppletonC000-110.15200015:29
27N. EhlersL000-210.03110—15:16
17A. LowryC000-100.016105615:13
91C. PerfettiC000-240.17100014:56
62N. NiederreiterR000040.31210—14:25
7V. NamestnikovC000-110.001104010:24
9A. IafalloL000000.04000—10:23
36M. BarronC000010.16110008:55
Winnipeg Jets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
37C. Hellebuyck(L)33285.8482.97-2.0359:31

Season series

CGY leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).