Washington Capitals at Montréal Canadiens
Recap
written from the game dataThe Washington Capitals beat the Montréal Canadiens 4-3. The Capitals scored first and never trailed. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Aliaksei Protas's goal at 11:57 of the third period, which took the Capitals' chances from 48% to 83%. Expected goals favored the Capitals, 4.1 to 2.6; shots on goal were WSH 34, MTL 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Capitals win a replay of these chances 68% of the time. Darcy Kuemper stopped 28 of 31 (.903); Jake Allen stopped 30 of 34 (.882). Three stars: 1. Anthony Mantha (1 G, 1 A), 2. Nick Suzuki (1 G), 3. T.J. Oshie (1 G).
Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
7 goals1st period
1-03:40
1-15:04
2-110:00
2nd period
2-216:15
3rd period
3-23:27
3-39:45
4-311:57
Penalties
1st
- 9:05
Joel Armia · Trippingdrawn by Max Pacioretty2 min
- 13:00
Aliaksei Protas · Interferencedrawn by Alex Newhook2 min
3rd
- 8:40
John Carlson · Slashingdrawn by Brendan Gallagher2 min
- 18:33
Tom Wilson · High stickingdrawn by Alex Newhook2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Aliaksei Protas, 3rd 11:57 — 48% → 83%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 4.14 G
- All situations
- 3 G2.6
- 2.83 G
- Even strength
- 2 G2.0
- 1.01 G
- Power play
- 1 G0.6
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 98 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 3.61 – 2.51
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 34
- Shots on goal
- 31
- 42%
- Faceoffs
- 58%
- 1/1
- Power play
- 1/3
- 6
- Penalty minutes
- 2
- 13
- Hits
- 18
- 16
- Blocked shots
- 26
- 9
- Giveaways
- 20
- 11
- Takeaways
- 8
Box score
every player line
Season series
MTL leads 2-1
2@
3OTFinal
5@
2Final
4@
3this game
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
