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Montréal Canadiens at New York Rangers

FinalTV MSG, TSN2·Madison Square Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Rangers beat the Montréal Canadiens 7-4. The Canadiens scored first; the Rangers answered. The Rangers led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Chris Kreider's goal at 11:09 of the second period, which took the Rangers' chances from 33% to 53%. Expected goals favored the Canadiens, 3.1 to 2.5; shots on goal were MTL 36, NYR 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canadiens win a replay of these chances 60% of the time. Samuel Montembeault stopped 24 of 31 (.774), 4.5 goals below expected; Jonathan Quick stopped 32 of 36 (.889), 0.9 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Chris Kreider (3 G), 2. Adam Fox (4 A), 3. Mika Zibanejad (1 G, 2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYR
    C. Kreider3 G
  2. ★★
    NYR
    A. Fox4 A
  3. ★★★
    NYR
    M. Zibanejad1 G, 2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MTLMTL110110216436
NYRNYR01041536731

Scoring

11 goals

1st period

  1. MTL
    backhandxG 0.24win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-0
    14:29

2nd period

  1. NYR
    snapxG 0.04win prob +20 ptsVideo
    1-1
    11:09
  2. NYR
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +20 ptsVideo
    1-2
    12:27
  3. NYR
    A. Fox (33), A. Panarin (38)
    slapxG 0.07win prob +18 ptsVideo
    1-3
    14:43
  4. NYR
    C. Kreider(26)PPG
    A. Panarin (39), A. Fox (34)
    tip-inxG 0.14win prob +6 ptsVideo
    1-4
    15:19
  5. MTL
    snapxG 0.07win prob +7 ptsVideo
    2-4
    16:30

3rd period

  1. NYR
    wristxG 0.02win prob +5 ptsVideo
    2-5
    4:23
  2. MTL
    deflectedxG 0.13win prob +4 ptsVideo
    3-5
    6:53
  3. NYR
    tip-inxG 0.15win prob +5 ptsVideo
    3-6
    7:59
  4. NYR
    A. Fox (35), W. Cuylle (8)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +1 ptsVideo
    3-7
    9:56
  5. MTL
    snapxG 0.10Video
    4-7
    11:27

Penalties

MTL 8 PIM·NYR 10 PIM

1st

  • 4:06MTLJayden Struble · High stickingdrawn by Mika Zibanejad2 min

2nd

  • 12:56NYRVincent Trocheck · High stickingdrawn by Mike Matheson2 min
  • 14:43MTLserved by B. Gallagher · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min
  • 17:52NYRJonathan Quick · Trippingdrawn by Nick Suzuki2 min
  • 19:36MTLTanner Pearson · Interferencedrawn by Adam Fox2 min

3rd

  • 5:15NYRJonny Brodzinski · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 14:08MTLJohnathan Kovacevic · Hookingdrawn by Alexis Lafrenière2 min
  • 14:19NYRAdam Fox · Slashingdrawn by Mike Matheson2 min
  • 16:57NYRAlexis Lafrenière · High stickingdrawn by Tanner Pearson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYR goalMTL goalFinal: NYR 100%

Biggest swing: Chris Kreider, 2nd 11:09 — NYR 33% → 53%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Brodzinski · On goal · xG 0.25C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.16A. Lafrenière · Missed · xG 0.16W. Cuylle · On goal · xG 0.16M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.16M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.15C. Kreider · Goal · xG 0.15C. Kreider · Goal · xG 0.13K. Kakko · Missed · xG 0.12K. Kakko · Goal · xG 0.10C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.09V. Trocheck · Missed · xG 0.08W. Cuylle · Goal · xG 0.08M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.07M. Zibanejad · Goal · xG 0.07A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.07J. Trouba · Missed · xG 0.06C. Kreider · Goal · xG 0.04C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.04E. Gustafsson · On goal · xG 0.03V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.03C. Kreider · Missed · xG 0.03K. Kakko · On goal · xG 0.03R. Lindgren · On goal · xG 0.03V. Trocheck · Goal · xG 0.02A. Fox · On goal · xG 0.02R. Lindgren · On goal · xG 0.02J. Vesey · Missed · xG 0.02J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.01J. Brodzinski · On goal · xG 0.01C. Kreider · Missed · xG 0.01V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.01J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.01B. Schneider · On goal · xG 0.01V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.01V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.01J. Brodzinski · On goal · xG 0.01B. Schneider · On goal · xG 0.01M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.00
NYR7 G · 2.5 xG · 39 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MTLvsNYR
3.14 G
All situations
7 G2.5
2.33 G
Even strength
5 G2.0
0.81 G
Power play
1 G0.4
0.10 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 83 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MTL60%40%NYR

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.05 – 2.49

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MTLvsNYR
36
Shots on goal
31
38%
Faceoffs
62%
1/5
Power play
1/4
8
Penalty minutes
10
18
Hits
29
10
Blocked shots
17
6
Giveaways
10
8
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Montréal Canadiens skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8M. MathesonD011-310.03030—26:29
14N. SuzukiC011+120.101003821:48
22C. CaufieldR213+160.69200—20:36
21K. GuhleD011010.04200—20:09
20J. SlafkovskýL112+120.11000—19:59
58D. SavardD000-110.07120—19:45
15A. NewhookC000-320.231003017:54
47J. StrubleD000+210.01102—17:26
71J. EvansC101060.730104215:57
72A. XhekajD000-200.00300—15:15
17J. AndersonR011-130.32210—14:50
26J. KovacevicD000-100.00112—14:15
40J. ArmiaR000-320.10000—12:50
70T. PearsonL011040.28002—12:50
11B. GallagherR000-100.10000—12:24
89J. RoyR000-330.17110—11:39
74B. GignacC000-110.030104511:25
55M. PezzettaL000-110.07300—07:53
Montréal Canadiens goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35S. Montembeault(L)31247.7742.49-4.5160:00

Season series

NYR leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).