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Devils at Predators
NHL

New Jersey Devils at Nashville Predators

NHL scoreboard
New Jersey Devils
▸4
Nashville Predators
2
FinalTV BSSO, MSG·Bridgestone Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The New Jersey Devils beat the Nashville Predators 4-2. The Predators scored first; the Devils answered. The Predators led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Timo Meier's goal at 14:44 of the third period, which took the Devils' chances from 48% to 88%. Expected goals favored the Devils, 4.6 to 2.7; shots on goal were NJD 47, NSH 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Devils win a replay of these chances 71% of the time. Nico Daws stopped 30 of 32 (.938), 0.7 goals saved above expected; Juuse Saros stopped 43 of 46 (.935), 1.1 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Timo Meier (1 G), 2. Jack Hughes (1 G), 3. Tommy Novak (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NJD
    T. Meier1 G
  2. ★★
    NJD
    J. Hughes1 G
  3. ★★★
    NSH
    T. Novak1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NJDNJD022112313447
NSHNSH112110010232

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. NSH
    R. O'Reilly(19)PPG
    C. Glass (3), R. Josi (37)
    snapxG 0.35win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    4:04

2nd period

  1. NJD
    J. Hughes(17)
    L. Hughes (19), J. Marino (13)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-1
    1:30
  2. NSH
    T. Novak(10)
    R. Josi (38), C. Glass (4)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +17 ptsVideo
    1-2
    7:01

3rd period

  1. NJD
    N. Hischier(15)
    J. Bratt (36), O. Palat (12)
    tip-inxG 0.14win prob +24 ptsVideo
    2-2
    2:16
  2. NJD
    T. Meier(10)
    C. Lazar (11), D. Mercer (11)
    wristxG 0.35win prob +40 ptsVideo
    3-2
    14:44
  3. NJD
    N. Hischier(16)EN
    E. Haula (16)
    wristxG 0.54win prob +3 ptsVideo
    4-2
    19:21

Penalties

NJD 6 PIM·NSH 6 PIM

1st

  • 2:26NJDTomas Nosek · High stickingdrawn by Cody Glass2 min
  • 4:36NSHJeremy Lauzon · Trippingdrawn by Jesper Bratt2 min

2nd

  • 0:53NJDErik Haula · Hookingdrawn by Yakov Trenin2 min
  • 0:53NSHserved by L. Evangelista · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 14:35NSHLuke Schenn · Holdingdrawn by Jack Hughes2 min

3rd

  • 3:57NJDNathan Bastian · Trippingdrawn by Colton Sissons2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NSH goalNJD goalFinal: NSH 0%

Biggest swing: Timo Meier, 3rd 14:44 — NJD 48% → 88%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Glass · Missed · xG 0.36R. O'Reilly · Goal · xG 0.35F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.23L. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.16Y. Trenin · On goal · xG 0.13C. Glass · On goal · xG 0.12T. Novak · Goal · xG 0.11R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.10C. Glass · On goal · xG 0.09R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.08R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.08Y. Trenin · On goal · xG 0.07L. Evangelista · Missed · xG 0.07R. O'Reilly · Missed · xG 0.07E. Afanasyev · On goal · xG 0.06L. Evangelista · On goal · xG 0.05R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.04R. Josi · Missed · xG 0.04L. Evangelista · On goal · xG 0.03R. Josi · Missed · xG 0.03C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.03L. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.03R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.03T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.03C. Glass · On goal · xG 0.02C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.02L. Evangelista · Missed · xG 0.02T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.02F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.02M. Jankowski · On goal · xG 0.02E. Afanasyev · On goal · xG 0.02J. Lauzon · Missed · xG 0.02E. Afanasyev · On goal · xG 0.02Y. Trenin · Missed · xG 0.01L. Schenn · Missed · xG 0.01F. Forsberg · Missed · xG 0.01C. Glass · On goal · xG 0.01C. Glass · On goal · xG 0.01M. Jankowski · On goal · xG 0.01R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.01L. Schenn · Missed · xG 0.01C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.01Y. Trenin · Missed · xG 0.01T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.01L. Schenn · Missed · xG 0.00
NSH2 G · 2.7 xG · 45 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NJDvsNSH
4.63 G
All situations
2 G2.7
4.03 G
Even strength
1 G1.4
0.10 G
Power play
1 G1.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 111 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NJD71%29%NSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.97 – 2.61

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NJDvsNSH
47
Shots on goal
32
51%
Faceoffs
49%
0/2
Power play
1/2
6
Penalty minutes
6
22
Hits
38
17
Blocked shots
27
8
Giveaways
15
9
Takeaways
17

Box score

every player line
New Jersey Devils skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
43L. HughesD011+140.13000—23:38
6J. MarinoD011+210.02220—23:03
13N. HischierC202+251.000106720:17
86J. HughesC101+160.64010019:19
88K. BahlD000+210.07330—19:15
63J. BrattL011+150.55000—18:52
56E. HaulaL011+110.052124218:45
17S. NemecD000+220.05010—18:33
73T. ToffoliC000+120.591006718:31
2B. SmithD000030.12330—17:27
18O. PalatL011+110.11110—17:02
91D. MercerC011+120.4101010016:01
28T. MeierR101+140.49310—14:41
24C. MillerD000-120.10110—14:26
42C. LazarC011+140.252103314:24
10A. HoltzR000-120.04200—07:18
14N. BastianR000-100.00202—07:17
92T. NosekL000020.030026705:33
New Jersey Devils goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
50N. Daws(W)32302.9382.69+0.6960:00

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).