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Los Angeles Kings at Buffalo Sabres

FinalTV BSW, MSG-B·KeyBank Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Buffalo Sabres beat the Los Angeles Kings 7-0. The Sabres scored first and never trailed. The Sabres led 5-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jordan Greenway's goal at 16:58 of the first period, which took the Sabres' chances from 68% to 82%. Expected goals favored the Sabres, 3.6 to 2.9; shots on goal were LAK 33, BUF 24. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Sabres win a replay of these chances 61% of the time. David Rittich stopped 12 of 17 (.706), 2.2 goals below expected; Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen stopped 33 of 33 (1.000), 2.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Jordan Greenway (2 G, 1 A), 2. Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (33 saves, 1.000), 3. Rasmus Dahlin (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    BUF
    J. Greenway2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    BUF
    U. Luukkonen33 saves, 1.000
  3. ★★★
    BUF
    R. Dahlin1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
LAKLAK05013015033
BUFBUF392827724

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. BUF
    backhandxG 0.23win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    4:25
  2. BUF
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.06win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    16:58
  3. BUF
    K. Okposo(11)PPG
    D. Cozens (20), R. Dahlin (27)
    tip-inxG 0.15win prob +7 pts
    0-3
    19:25

2nd period

  1. BUF
    wristxG 0.01win prob +4 ptsVideo
    0-4
    6:42
  2. BUF
    wristxG 0.17win prob +1 ptsVideo
    0-5
    14:17

3rd period

  1. BUF
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.05Video
    0-6
    4:30
  2. BUF
    wristxG 0.31
    0-7
    7:50

Penalties

LAK 4 PIM·BUF 6 PIM

1st

  • 12:34LAKAndreas Englund · Trippingdrawn by Tage Thompson2 min
  • 19:11LAKPierre-Luc Dubois · Trippingdrawn by Zach Benson2 min

2nd

  • 14:33BUFJacob Bryson · Holding the stickdrawn by Adrian Kempe2 min
  • 20:00BUFHenri Jokiharju · Hookingdrawn by Alex Turcotte2 min

3rd

  • 19:21BUFConnor Clifton · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
BUF goalLAK goalFinal: BUF 100%

Biggest swing: Jordan Greenway, 1st 16:58 — BUF 68% → 82%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
Z. Benson · On goal · xG 0.31J. Greenway · Goal · xG 0.31T. Thompson · Missed · xG 0.30J. Peterka · Goal · xG 0.23R. Dahlin · On goal · xG 0.17Z. Benson · Goal · xG 0.17J. Peterka · On goal · xG 0.15K. Okposo · Goal · xG 0.15C. Mittelstadt · Missed · xG 0.14K. Okposo · Missed · xG 0.13A. Tuch · On goal · xG 0.13K. Okposo · On goal · xG 0.11J. Skinner · Missed · xG 0.10K. Okposo · Missed · xG 0.10J. Skinner · On goal · xG 0.10J. Peterka · On goal · xG 0.09J. Peterka · On goal · xG 0.09K. Okposo · On goal · xG 0.09T. Thompson · Missed · xG 0.09T. Thompson · Missed · xG 0.08C. Mittelstadt · On goal · xG 0.08Z. Benson · Missed · xG 0.07J. Greenway · Goal · xG 0.06C. Mittelstadt · Missed · xG 0.05A. Tuch · Goal · xG 0.05J. Greenway · On goal · xG 0.04A. Tuch · On goal · xG 0.03H. Jokiharju · Missed · xG 0.02J. Skinner · On goal · xG 0.02R. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.02C. Mittelstadt · Missed · xG 0.02R. Dahlin · Missed · xG 0.02D. Cozens · Missed · xG 0.01A. Tuch · On goal · xG 0.01C. Clifton · On goal · xG 0.01R. Dahlin · Goal · xG 0.01T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.00
BUF7 G · 3.6 xG · 37 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

LAKvsBUF
2.90 G
All situations
7 G3.6
1.80 G
Even strength
6 G3.3
1.10 G
Power play
1 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 93 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
LAK39%61%BUF

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.82 – 3.50

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

LAKvsBUF
33
Shots on goal
24
61%
Faceoffs
39%
0/3
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
6
24
Hits
14
10
Blocked shots
25
4
Giveaways
6
4
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
Los Angeles Kings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8D. DoughtyD000-220.08220—22:03
3M. RoyD000-220.05110—21:44
44M. AndersonD000-300.04310—20:19
84V. GavrikovD000-200.00010—19:30
55Q. ByfieldR000-120.10000—19:00
21J. SpenceD000-230.08110—18:07
22K. FialaL000-110.19000—18:02
9A. KempeR000-420.52300—17:46
12T. MooreL000-310.47110—17:37
80P. DuboisC000040.291125617:36
24P. DanaultC000020.143104717:19
11A. KopitarC000-620.300007117:10
78A. LaferriereR000-130.14100—16:36
5A. EnglundD000-110.01312—13:56
28J. Anderson-DolanC000-110.0130010013:52
38A. TurcotteC000020.270006713:03
61T. LewisC000-140.15200010:23
91C. GrundstromR000010.02000—03:43
Los Angeles Kings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31D. Rittich(L)17125.7062.78-2.2240:00
39C. Talbot752.7140.80-1.2020:00

Season series

BUF leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).