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New Jersey Devils at Carolina Hurricanes

Final/OTTV BSSO, MSGSN·PNC Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the New Jersey Devils 1-0 in overtime, Sebastian Aho scoring at 3:40. The Hurricanes scored first and never trailed. It was tied 0-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Sebastian Aho's goal at 3:40 of overtime, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 3.1 to 2.5; shots on goal were NJD 34, CAR 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 58% of the time. Vitek Vanecek stopped 31 of 32 (.969), 2.1 goals saved above expected; Pyotr Kochetkov stopped 34 of 34 (1.000), 2.5 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Pyotr Kochetkov (34 saves, 1.000), 2. Sebastian Aho (1 G), 3. Brady Skjei.

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    P. Kochetkov34 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    CAR
    S. Aho1 G
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    B. Skjei

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
NJDNJD0100130902034
CARCAR0100110912132

Scoring

1 goal

Overtime

  1. CAR
    S. Aho(19)
    M. Necas (19), J. Slavin (18)
    batxG 0.20win prob +49 ptsVideo
    0-1
    3:40

Penalties

NJD 6 PIM·CAR 10 PIM

1st

  • 1:06CARTeuvo Teravainen · Trippingdrawn by Timo Meier2 min
  • 4:14NJDTimo Meier · Interferencedrawn by Michael Bunting2 min
  • 12:14CARJalen Chatfield · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

2nd

  • 0:40CARAndrei Svechnikov · Trippingdrawn by Jesper Bratt2 min
  • 12:48NJDNathan Bastian · Roughingdrawn by Michael Bunting2 min
  • 12:48CARMichael Bunting · Roughingdrawn by Nathan Bastian2 min

3rd

  • 8:56NJDOndrej Palat · High stickingdrawn by Jordan Martinook2 min
  • 11:27CARMartin Necas · High stickingdrawn by John Marino2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CAR goalNJD goalFinal: CAR 100%

Biggest swing: Sebastian Aho, OT 3:40 — CAR 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Chatfield · On goal · xG 0.67M. Bunting · Missed · xG 0.26S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.24S. Aho · Goal · xG 0.20J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.17J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.14J. Fast · On goal · xG 0.14A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.11M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.10B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.09M. Bunting · On goal · xG 0.09J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.08T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.08J. Chatfield · On goal · xG 0.07M. Necas · Missed · xG 0.07M. Bunting · On goal · xG 0.05S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.05M. Bunting · On goal · xG 0.04A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.04M. Bunting · On goal · xG 0.04D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.03J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.03D. Orlov · Missed · xG 0.03B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.03J. Drury · On goal · xG 0.03D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.02B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.02J. Chatfield · Missed · xG 0.02B. Skjei · Missed · xG 0.02S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.02J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.02J. Slavin · Missed · xG 0.02J. Kotkaniemi · Missed · xG 0.01A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.01B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.01J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.01J. Chatfield · On goal · xG 0.01J. Chatfield · On goal · xG 0.01B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.01D. Orlov · Missed · xG 0.01B. Burns · Missed · xG 0.01A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.00J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.00T. DeAngelo · On goal · xG 0.00
CAR1 G · 3.1 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NJDvsCAR
2.50 G
All situations
1 G3.1
1.80 G
Even strength
1 G2.5
0.80 G
Power play
0 G0.6

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 89 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NJD42%58%CAR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.52 – 2.96

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NJDvsCAR
34
Shots on goal
32
45%
Faceoffs
55%
0/4
Power play
0/2
6
Penalty minutes
10
26
Hits
30
24
Blocked shots
15
13
Giveaways
31
10
Takeaways
12

Box score

every player line
New Jersey Devils skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
43L. HughesD000-110.12020—25:19
17S. NemecD000030.09130—22:27
86J. HughesC000070.38000021:37
13N. HischierC000-140.421007020:01
63J. BrattL000-120.17010—20:00
6J. MarinoD000010.02030—20:00
73T. ToffoliC000060.74110018:28
28T. MeierR000000.04412—17:21
88K. BahlD000020.04430—17:13
18O. PalatL000010.02322—16:39
56E. HaulaL000010.041003816:19
42C. LazarC000000.004103315:58
24C. MillerD000000.01110—15:17
82S. HatakkaD000030.20040—15:02
91D. MercerC000000.00010013:27
10A. HoltzR000010.21010—10:35
92T. NosekL000010.02300—10:23
14N. BastianR000010.01302—08:54
New Jersey Devils goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
41V. Vanecek(O)32311.9693.11+2.1163:40

Season series

CAR leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).