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Chicago Blackhawks at Calgary Flames

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Recap

written from the game data

The Calgary Flames beat the Chicago Blackhawks 1-0. The Flames scored first and never trailed. The Flames led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Elias Lindholm's goal at 15:55 of the second period, which took the Flames' chances from 56% to 74%. Expected goals were close — CHI 2.7, CGY 2.5; shots on goal were CHI 32, CGY 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blackhawks win a replay of these chances 59% of the time. Petr Mrazek stopped 30 of 31 (.968), 1.2 goals saved above expected; Jacob Markstrom stopped 32 of 32 (1.000), 2.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Jacob Markstrom (32 saves, 1.000), 2. Petr Mrazek (30 saves, .968), 3. Elias Lindholm (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CGY
    J. Markstrom32 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    CHI
    P. Mrazek30 saves, .968
  3. ★★★
    CGY
    E. Lindholm1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CHICHI01109012032
CGYCGY01111208131

Scoring

1 goal

2nd period

  1. CGY
    wristxG 0.21win prob +18 ptsVideo
    0-1
    15:55

Penalties

CHI 4 PIM·CGY 4 PIM

1st

  • 13:51CGYAdam Klapka · Hookingdrawn by Zachary Sanford2 min

2nd

  • 2:36CHIMacKenzie Entwistle · Slashingdrawn by MacKenzie Weegar2 min
  • 14:08CHIColin Blackwell · Trippingdrawn by Jonathan Huberdeau2 min
  • 16:02CGYBlake Coleman · High stickingdrawn by Philipp Kurashev2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CGY goalCHI goalFinal: CGY 100%

Biggest swing: Elias Lindholm, 2nd 15:55 — CGY 56% → 74%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.33B. Coleman · Missed · xG 0.23E. Lindholm · Goal · xG 0.21Y. Sharangovich · On goal · xG 0.20A. Mangiapane · On goal · xG 0.18A. Mangiapane · Missed · xG 0.17C. Zary · Missed · xG 0.12E. Lindholm · Missed · xG 0.10C. Zary · On goal · xG 0.08M. Coronato · On goal · xG 0.07N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.07E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.06N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.06Y. Sharangovich · Missed · xG 0.05N. Hanifin · Missed · xG 0.05Y. Sharangovich · On goal · xG 0.04A. Mangiapane · On goal · xG 0.04M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.03A. Mangiapane · Missed · xG 0.03C. Zary · On goal · xG 0.03J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.03M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.03N. Hanifin · Missed · xG 0.03M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.03N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.02M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.02C. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.02O. Kylington · On goal · xG 0.02M. Coronato · On goal · xG 0.01R. Andersson · Missed · xG 0.01N. Hanifin · Missed · xG 0.01M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.01M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.01B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.01D. Gilbert · Missed · xG 0.01O. Kylington · On goal · xG 0.01E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.01N. Hanifin · Missed · xG 0.01M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.01R. Andersson · Missed · xG 0.00N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.00N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.00B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.00B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.00M. Backlund · Missed · xG 0.00
CGY1 G · 2.5 xG · 45 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CHIvsCGY
2.70 G
All situations
1 G2.5
2.00 G
Even strength
0 G1.6
0.50 G
Power play
1 G0.4
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 91 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CHI59%41%CGY

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.68 – 2.20

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CHIvsCGY
32
Shots on goal
31
53%
Faceoffs
47%
0/2
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
4
23
Hits
25
19
Blocked shots
11
11
Giveaways
16
9
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Chicago Blackhawks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
72A. VlasicD000000.00220—24:38
4S. JonesD000010.01020—24:16
11T. RaddyshR000050.42000—20:42
55K. KorchinskiD000010.01110—20:36
23P. KurashevC000030.290105320:29
17N. FolignoL000020.07300—18:44
24J. MegnaD000010.02020—18:03
41I. PhillipsD000030.15210—17:09
27L. ReichelL000010.040005016:19
16J. DickinsonC000020.383305716:10
8R. DonatoC000000.13120015:34
58M. EntwistleR000030.272027015:31
25J. TinordiD000010.02530—14:11
43C. BlackwellC000020.12102012:46
52R. JohnsonC000000.04200011:24
15J. AndersonR000030.14000—11:03
14B. KatchoukL000030.49120—10:53
13Z. SanfordL000010.09000—10:03
Chicago Blackhawks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
34P. Mrazek(L)31301.9682.23+1.2357:42

Season series

CHI leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).