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Maple Leafs at Jets
NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs at Winnipeg Jets

NHL scoreboard
Toronto Maple Leafs
▸4
Winnipeg Jets
2
FinalTV SN·Canada Life Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Toronto Maple Leafs beat the Winnipeg Jets 4-2. The Jets scored first; the Maple Leafs answered. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was John Tavares's goal at 1:54 of the third period, which took the Maple Leafs' chances from 54% to 73%. Expected goals favored the Maple Leafs, 3.2 to 2.8; shots on goal were TOR 30, WPG 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Maple Leafs win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. Ilya Samsonov stopped 24 of 26 (.923), 0.8 goals saved above expected; Connor Hellebuyck stopped 26 of 29 (.897). Three stars: 1. William Nylander, 2. John Tavares (1 G), 3. Connor Hellebuyck (26 saves, .897).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TOR
    W. Nylander
  2. ★★
    TOR
    J. Tavares1 G
  3. ★★★
    WPG
    C. Hellebuyck26 saves, .897

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
TORTOR1801438430
WPGWPG1701217226

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. WPG
    D. Samberg(1)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.02win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    4:13
  2. TOR
    R. Reaves(2)
    N. Gregor (5)
    tip-inxG 0.04win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-1
    19:11

3rd period

  1. TOR
    J. Tavares(13)PPG
    M. Rielly (32), M. Marner (32)
    tip-inxG 0.12win prob +19 ptsVideo
    2-1
    1:54
  2. TOR
    A. Matthews(40)PPG
    M. Marner (33), M. Rielly (33)
    slapxG 0.15win prob +7 ptsVideo
    3-1
    15:28
  3. TOR
    S. Benoit(1)EN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.39Video
    4-1
    18:22
  4. WPG
    M. Appleton(9)
    A. Iafallo (11), J. Morrissey (27)
    wristxG 0.66Video
    4-2
    19:48

Penalties

TOR 14 PIM·WPG 12 PIM

1st

  • 19:40TORserved by R. Reaves · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min

2nd

  • 13:02TORNick Robertson · Hookingdrawn by Rasmus Kupari2 min
  • 15:25TORTimothy Liljegren · High stickingdrawn by Nino Niederreiter2 min

3rd

  • 1:19WPGDylan DeMelo · Trippingdrawn by Tyler Bertuzzi2 min
  • 8:05WPGNino Niederreiter · Slashingdrawn by TJ Brodie2 min
  • 8:05TORTJ Brodie · Cross checkingdrawn by Nino Niederreiter2 min
  • 12:25TORMatthew Knies · Hookingdrawn by Gabriel Vilardi2 min
  • 14:39WPGNino Niederreiter · Interferencedrawn by TJ Brodie2 min
  • 15:09WPGDylan Samberg · Slashingdrawn by John Tavares2 min
  • 19:48WPGMason Appleton · Roughingdrawn by Jake McCabe2 min
  • 19:48WPGNino Niederreiter · Roughingdrawn by Ryan Reaves2 min
  • 19:48TORRyan Reaves · Roughingdrawn by Josh Morrissey2 min
  • 19:48TORJake McCabe · Roughingdrawn by Mason Appleton2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WPG goalTOR goalFinal: WPG 0%

Biggest swing: John Tavares, 3rd 1:54 — TOR 54% → 73%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Appleton · Goal · xG 0.66J. Morrissey · Missed · xG 0.28C. Perfetti · Missed · xG 0.16V. Namestnikov · On goal · xG 0.13K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.11J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.10G. Vilardi · Missed · xG 0.10N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.09V. Namestnikov · On goal · xG 0.08C. Perfetti · Missed · xG 0.07K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.06N. Pionk · Missed · xG 0.06J. Morrissey · Missed · xG 0.06N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.05K. Connor · Missed · xG 0.05N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.05A. Lowry · On goal · xG 0.05A. Lowry · On goal · xG 0.05N. Pionk · Missed · xG 0.04C. Perfetti · On goal · xG 0.04A. Iafallo · Missed · xG 0.04N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.04N. Schmidt · Missed · xG 0.03J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.03N. Schmidt · Missed · xG 0.03D. Samberg · Missed · xG 0.03N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.03D. Samberg · Goal · xG 0.02D. DeMelo · Missed · xG 0.02G. Vilardi · On goal · xG 0.02A. Lowry · Missed · xG 0.02J. Morrissey · Missed · xG 0.02N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.02N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.02N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.02D. Samberg · On goal · xG 0.02N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.01G. Vilardi · Missed · xG 0.01N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.01N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.01N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.01D. Samberg · On goal · xG 0.01D. DeMelo · Missed · xG 0.01N. Pionk · Missed · xG 0.01M. Barron · On goal · xG 0.01A. Iafallo · Missed · xG 0.01N. Niederreiter · Missed · xG 0.01
WPG2 G · 2.8 xG · 47 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

TORvsWPG
3.23 G
All situations
2 G2.8
2.01 G
Even strength
2 G2.2
0.52 G
Power play
0 G0.6
0.40 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 86 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
TOR52%48%WPG

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.81 – 2.70

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

TORvsWPG
30
Shots on goal
26
62%
Faceoffs
38%
2/3
Power play
0/4
14
Penalty minutes
12
18
Hits
13
12
Blocked shots
9
8
Giveaways
10
8
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Toronto Maple Leafs skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
16M. MarnerR022+100.20100—22:18
22J. McCabeD000+110.07302—21:53
78T. BrodieD000-100.00022—21:23
44M. RiellyD022-120.03000—20:21
88W. NylanderR000-130.49000—19:21
34A. MatthewsC101+130.270105019:06
37T. LiljegrenD000020.02012—18:49
2S. BenoitD101+130.42310—18:43
55M. GiordanoD000000.00140—16:24
64D. KampfC000-110.010006714:42
91J. TavaresC101040.591007314:28
59T. BertuzziL000-120.39100—13:18
18N. GregorL011000.11300—13:05
23M. KniesL000+110.14212—13:00
89N. RobertsonL000020.27002—11:48
11M. DomiC000020.060005811:35
29P. HolmbergR000030.1001010010:13
75R. ReavesR101010.04312—09:33
Toronto Maple Leafs goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35I. Samsonov(W)26242.9232.79+0.7960:00

Season series

TOR leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).