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New York Rangers at Anaheim Ducks

FinalTV BSSD, BSSC·Honda Center

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Rangers beat the Anaheim Ducks 5-2. The Rangers came back from two goals down. The Ducks led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Will Cuylle's goal at 10:10 of the third period, which took the Rangers' chances from 17% to 48%. Expected goals favored the Rangers, 3.2 to 1.0; shots on goal were NYR 33, ANA 18. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Rangers win a replay of these chances 82% of the time. Igor Shesterkin stopped 16 of 18 (.889), 1.0 goals below expected; Lukas Dostal stopped 28 of 32 (.875), 1.2 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Artemi Panarin (1 G), 2. Adam Henrique (2 G), 3. Alexis Lafrenière.

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYR
    A. Panarin1 G
  2. ★★
    ANA
    A. Henrique2 G
  3. ★★★
    NYR
    A. Lafrenière

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYRNYR07111415533
ANAANA250508218

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. ANA
    backhandxG 0.07win prob +11 ptsVideo
    0-1
    0:51
  2. ANA
    tip-inxG 0.16win prob +15 ptsVideo
    0-2
    15:37

2nd period

  1. NYR
    C. Kreider (20), A. Fox (25)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-2
    17:58

3rd period

  1. NYR
    J. Trouba (15), K. Miller (10)
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +31 ptsVideo
    2-2
    10:10
  2. NYR
    A. Panarin(28)PPG
    A. Fox (26), C. Kreider (21)
    slapxG 0.17win prob +30 ptsVideo
    3-2
    14:23
  3. NYR
    batxG 0.07win prob +9 ptsVideo
    4-2
    16:07
  4. NYR
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.32Video
    5-2
    19:24

Penalties

NYR 6 PIM·ANA 8 PIM

2nd

  • 0:37NYRK'Andre Miller · High stickingdrawn by Troy Terry2 min
  • 5:59ANACam Fowler · Slashingdrawn by Artemi Panarin2 min
  • 7:13NYRVincent Trocheck · Illegal check to headdrawn by Robert Hagg2 min
  • 10:33ANAMason McTavish · Holdingdrawn by Mika Zibanejad2 min
  • 17:36ANAUrho Vaakanainen · Hookingdrawn by Alexis Lafrenière2 min
  • 19:09NYRChris Kreider · Cross checkingdrawn by Radko Gudas2 min

3rd

  • 14:09ANAMason McTavish · Trippingdrawn by Will Cuylle2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ANA goalNYR goalFinal: ANA 0%

Biggest swing: Will Cuylle, 3rd 10:10 — NYR 17% → 48%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Henrique · Goal · xG 0.16L. Carlsson · On goal · xG 0.11B. Leason · On goal · xG 0.11T. Terry · On goal · xG 0.10T. Terry · Missed · xG 0.07A. Henrique · Goal · xG 0.07M. McTavish · On goal · xG 0.06L. Carlsson · On goal · xG 0.06A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.05T. Terry · Missed · xG 0.05J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.05T. Terry · Missed · xG 0.03J. Silfverberg · Missed · xG 0.03R. Strome · On goal · xG 0.02C. Fowler · On goal · xG 0.02L. Carlsson · On goal · xG 0.02U. Vaakanainen · On goal · xG 0.02R. Gudas · On goal · xG 0.01U. Vaakanainen · On goal · xG 0.01A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.00J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.00F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.00
ANA2 G · 1.0 xG · 22 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYRvsANA
3.24 G
All situations
2 G1.0
2.12 G
Even strength
2 G0.9
0.72 G
Power play
0 G0.1
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 75 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYR82%18%ANA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.80 – 1.03

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYRvsANA
33
Shots on goal
18
48%
Faceoffs
52%
2/4
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
8
21
Hits
23
13
Blocked shots
24
5
Giveaways
5
3
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
New York Rangers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
23A. FoxD022030.09010—24:35
8J. TroubaD011+120.11110—22:45
55R. LindgrenD000-100.00210—20:49
79K. MillerD011+230.29122—20:47
16V. TrocheckC101-210.291125020:36
93M. ZibanejadC011+220.401005320:13
10A. PanarinL101-120.20000—19:51
20C. KreiderL123+240.2330210017:43
13A. LafrenièreL000-120.20400—17:20
56E. GustafssonD000020.10000—15:55
22J. BrodzinskiC000+120.191006313:57
17B. WheelerR000+100.08000—13:42
50W. CuylleL101+120.09200—12:43
21B. GoodrowC000-110.033203312:11
4B. SchneiderD000010.13130—11:26
26J. VeseyL101050.65100—11:20
12N. BoninoC000010.060201309:59
24K. KakkoR000+100.00000—08:08
New York Rangers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31I. Shesterkin(W)18162.8891.03-0.9760:00

Season series

NYR leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).