Skip to content
Lightning at Red Wings
NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning at Detroit Red Wings

NHL scoreboard
Tampa Bay Lightning
1
Detroit Red Wings
▸2
FinalTV BSDET, BSSUN·Little Caesars Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Detroit Red Wings beat the Tampa Bay Lightning 2-1. The Lightning scored first; the Red Wings answered. The Red Wings led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Daniel Sprong's goal at 8:58 of the second period, which took the Red Wings' chances from 53% to 71%. Expected goals favored the Red Wings, 3.6 to 2.8; shots on goal were TBL 28, DET 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Red Wings win a replay of these chances 63% of the time. Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 33 of 35 (.943), 1.6 goals saved above expected; Alex Lyon stopped 27 of 28 (.964), 1.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Daniel Sprong (1 G), 2. Alex Lyon (27 saves, .964), 3. Andrei Vasilevskiy (33 saves, .943).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DET
    D. Sprong1 G
  2. ★★
    DET
    A. Lyon27 saves, .964
  3. ★★★
    TBL
    A. Vasilevskiy33 saves, .943

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
TBLTBL1505018128
DETDET11211904235

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. TBL
    V. Hedman(9)
    N. Kucherov (48), B. Point (27)
    snapxG 0.12win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    8:45
  2. DET
    L. Raymond(13)
    D. Larkin (23), D. Perron (12)
    snapxG 0.09win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-1
    18:29

2nd period

  1. DET
    D. Sprong(12)
    J. Compher (16)
    snapxG 0.20win prob +18 ptsVideo
    1-2
    8:58

Penalties

TBL 4 PIM·DET 6 PIM

2nd

  • 10:42TBLAustin Watson · High stickingdrawn by Shayne Gostisbehere2 min
  • 12:32TBLLuke Glendening · Trippingdrawn by Daniel Sprong2 min

3rd

  • 3:15DETDaniel Sprong · Hookingdrawn by Austin Watson2 min
  • 11:47DETJake Walman · High stickingdrawn by Brandon Hagel2 min
  • 19:48DETJeff Petry · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DET goalTBL goalFinal: DET 100%

Biggest swing: Daniel Sprong, 2nd 8:58 — DET 53% → 71%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.24C. Fischer · On goal · xG 0.24D. Larkin · Missed · xG 0.21D. Sprong · Goal · xG 0.20A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.19L. Raymond · On goal · xG 0.16A. Copp · Missed · xG 0.16D. Sprong · On goal · xG 0.16J. Compher · On goal · xG 0.15D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.14L. Raymond · Missed · xG 0.14R. Fabbri · Missed · xG 0.12D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.12D. Sprong · On goal · xG 0.11D. Larkin · Missed · xG 0.11C. Fischer · On goal · xG 0.10M. Rasmussen · On goal · xG 0.10L. Raymond · Goal · xG 0.09A. Copp · Missed · xG 0.08J. Petry · On goal · xG 0.07A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.07A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.06D. Sprong · On goal · xG 0.06S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.06S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.06A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.05R. Fabbri · On goal · xG 0.04O. Maatta · On goal · xG 0.04J. Veleno · On goal · xG 0.04J. Compher · On goal · xG 0.04S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.03J. Veleno · On goal · xG 0.03D. Sprong · On goal · xG 0.02J. Holl · On goal · xG 0.01C. Fischer · On goal · xG 0.01J. Walman · On goal · xG 0.01J. Petry · On goal · xG 0.01M. Seider · On goal · xG 0.01L. Raymond · Missed · xG 0.00J. Walman · On goal · xG 0.00J. Walman · On goal · xG 0.00D. Sprong · On goal · xG 0.00
DET2 G · 3.6 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

TBLvsDET
2.81 G
All situations
2 G3.6
1.01 G
Even strength
2 G2.4
1.80 G
Power play
0 G1.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 85 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
TBL37%63%DET

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.74 – 3.52

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

TBLvsDET
28
Shots on goal
35
49%
Faceoffs
51%
0/3
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
6
12
Hits
18
16
Blocked shots
9
6
Giveaways
5
4
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Tampa Bay Lightning skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
77V. HedmanD101080.27020—26:58
86N. KucherovR011020.19020—25:52
21B. PointC011020.790004322:33
48N. PerbixD000-120.04010—21:42
43D. RaddyshD000000.00000—21:41
38B. HagelL000-110.22000—20:49
91S. StamkosC000-140.530005020:09
71A. CirelliC000-110.061205819:17
44C. de HaanD000010.01340—18:48
20N. PaulL000020.351004317:11
78E. LillebergD000-110.06210—13:49
23M. EyssimontC000020.08100013:15
64T. MotteC000010.211206013:11
73C. ShearyL000000.00000—12:43
65M. CrozierD000000.00110—11:22
11L. GlendeningC000010.020025008:50
39W. MerelaC000000.00110006:32
51A. WatsonL000000.00102—05:33
Tampa Bay Lightning goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
88A. Vasilevskiy(L)35332.9433.55+1.5555:45

Season series

DET leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).