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Senators at Flyers
NHL

Ottawa Senators at Philadelphia Flyers

NHL scoreboard
Ottawa Senators
▸5
Philadelphia Flyers
3
FinalTV NHLN, NBCSP·Wells Fargo Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Ottawa Senators beat the Philadelphia Flyers 5-3. The Senators came back from two goals down. The Flyers led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Vladimir Tarasenko's goal at 15:07 of the third period, which took the Senators' chances from 48% to 88%. Expected goals favored the Senators, 3.8 to 1.1; shots on goal were OTT 34, PHI 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Senators win a replay of these chances 85% of the time. Mads Sogaard stopped 22 of 25 (.880), 1.9 goals below expected; Samuel Ersson stopped 29 of 33 (.879), 0.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Vladimir Tarasenko (1 G), 2. Claude Giroux (1 G), 3. Joel Farabee (1 G, 2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    OTT
    V. Tarasenko1 G
  2. ★★
    OTT
    C. Giroux1 G
  3. ★★★
    PHI
    J. Farabee1 G, 2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
OTTOTT08212314534
PHIPHI281908325

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. PHI
    E. Zamula(4)PPG
    J. Farabee (21), C. York (11)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +9 ptsVideo
    0-1
    11:57
  2. PHI
    E. Zamula(5)
    J. Farabee (22), C. Atkinson (14)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +15 ptsVideo
    0-2
    16:40

2nd period

  1. OTT
    Z. MacEwen(2)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.07win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-2
    4:04
  2. PHI
    J. Farabee(17)PPG
    E. Zamula (10), T. Konecny (20)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +12 pts
    1-3
    10:50
  3. OTT
    T. Stützle(9)
    S. Pinto (1), T. Chabot (10)
    wristxG 0.22win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-3
    11:45

3rd period

  1. OTT
    C. Giroux(14)
    B. Tkachuk (18), J. Bernard-Docker (6)
    backhandxG 0.28win prob +25 ptsVideo
    3-3
    3:19
  2. OTT
    V. Tarasenko(12)
    M. Joseph (14)
    snapxG 0.12win prob +40 ptsVideo
    4-3
    15:07
  3. OTT
    T. Stützle(10)EN
    J. Chychrun (20)
    wristxG 0.56win prob +5 ptsVideo
    5-3
    18:37

Penalties

OTT 8 PIM·PHI 6 PIM

1st

  • 8:14PHINick Seeler · Interferencedrawn by Ridly Greig2 min
  • 11:21OTTJake Sanderson · High stickingdrawn by Rasmus Ristolainen2 min
  • 17:16PHITravis Konecny · Interferencedrawn by Travis Hamonic2 min
  • 18:57OTTJosh Norris · Interferencedrawn by Garnet Hathaway2 min

2nd

  • 4:36OTTJacob Bernard-Docker · High stickingdrawn by Joel Farabee2 min
  • 10:32OTTJacob Bernard-Docker · Trippingdrawn by Noah Cates2 min

3rd

  • 10:10PHICam Atkinson · Slashingdrawn by Rourke Chartier2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PHI goalOTT goalFinal: PHI 0%

Biggest swing: Vladimir Tarasenko, 3rd 15:07 — OTT 48% → 88%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Couturier · Missed · xG 0.11T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.09C. Atkinson · On goal · xG 0.09M. Frost · On goal · xG 0.08T. Sanheim · Missed · xG 0.08J. Farabee · Missed · xG 0.06E. Zamula · Goal · xG 0.05J. Farabee · On goal · xG 0.05S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.05M. Frost · On goal · xG 0.04T. Konecny · Missed · xG 0.04J. Farabee · Goal · xG 0.04J. Farabee · On goal · xG 0.04M. Frost · On goal · xG 0.04S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.03J. Farabee · On goal · xG 0.03G. Hathaway · On goal · xG 0.03S. Walker · On goal · xG 0.03T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.02T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.02N. Seeler · Missed · xG 0.02C. York · On goal · xG 0.02J. Farabee · On goal · xG 0.02T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.01T. Konecny · Missed · xG 0.01S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.01E. Zamula · Goal · xG 0.01E. Zamula · On goal · xG 0.01J. Farabee · On goal · xG 0.01T. Sanheim · Missed · xG 0.01S. Walker · On goal · xG 0.00J. Farabee · On goal · xG 0.00
PHI3 G · 1.1 xG · 32 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

OTTvsPHI
3.84 G
All situations
3 G1.1
2.04 G
Even strength
1 G0.8
1.30 G
Power play
2 G0.3
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 83 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
OTT85%15%PHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.18 – 1.15

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

OTTvsPHI
34
Shots on goal
25
63%
Faceoffs
38%
0/3
Power play
2/4
8
Penalty minutes
6
21
Hits
27
18
Blocked shots
12
4
Giveaways
1
6
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Ottawa Senators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
85J. SandersonD000+170.29132—27:43
2A. ZubD000010.04430—26:19
72T. ChabotD011+300.03010—23:39
6J. ChychrunD011+310.09120—22:27
28C. GirouxR101+130.520306120:05
18T. StützleC202+241.153005017:43
7B. TkachukL011+110.0510010017:42
9J. NorrisC000+140.251025517:24
19D. BathersonR000+110.37220—16:49
21M. JosephR011+110.23010—15:39
91V. TarasenkoR101+220.20000—15:19
57S. PintoC011+220.172009014:33
71R. GreigC000+100.00210013:08
27P. KellyC000020.16210013:02
24J. Bernard-DockerD011+110.01004—11:11
49R. ChartierC000030.220007009:48
17Z. MacEwenR101+110.07200—08:09
23T. HamonicD000000.00010—05:23
Ottawa Senators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40M. Sogaard(W)25223.8801.15-1.8559:03

Season series

OTT leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).