Flyers at Jets 2-0 — Recap, Win Probability & Shot Map

NHL scoreboard

Philadelphia Flyers

▸2

Winnipeg Jets

FinalTV NBCSP, CITY·Canada Life Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Philadelphia Flyers beat the Winnipeg Jets 2-0. The Flyers scored first and never trailed. The Flyers led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Cam Atkinson's goal at 2:52 of the second period, which took the Flyers' chances from 65% to 80%. Expected goals were close — PHI 2.4, WPG 2.7; shots on goal were PHI 36, WPG 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Jets win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Samuel Ersson stopped 35 of 35 (1.000), 2.7 goals saved above expected; Connor Hellebuyck stopped 34 of 36 (.944). Three stars: 1. Samuel Ersson (35 saves, 1.000), 2. Cam Atkinson (2 G), 3. Adam Lowry.

Three stars

★
S. Ersson35 saves, 1.000
★★
C. Atkinson2 G
★★★
A. Lowry

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath

Goals and shots on goal by period
Team	1st	2nd	3rd	T
PHI	115	116	05	236
WPG	011	011	013	035

Scoring

2 goals

1st period

C. Atkinson(9)
J. Farabee (19), R. Poehling (8)
tip-inxG 0.05win prob +14 ptsVideo
1-0
14:47

2nd period

C. Atkinson(10)PPG
M. Frost (8), C. York (10)
wristxG 0.18win prob +15 ptsVideo
2-0
2:52

Penalties

6 PIM·

4 PIM

1st

1:00Tyson Foerster · Hookingdrawn by Alex Iafallo2 min

2nd

1:04Neal Pionk · Slashingdrawn by Morgan Frost2 min
8:55Josh Morrissey · Trippingdrawn by Owen Tippett2 min
18:49Tyson Foerster · Hookingdrawn by Josh Morrissey2 min

3rd

18:45Travis Sanheim · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game

Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number

goal

goalFinal: WPG

Biggest swing: Cam Atkinson, 2nd 2:52 — PHI 65% → 80%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG

0 G · 2.7 xG · 58 att

←

attacks

attacks →

2 G · 2.4 xG · 50 att WPG

0 G · 2.7 xG · 58 att

Tap a shot for who, when and how likely

GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

2.42 G
All situations: 0 G2.7; 2.01 G
Even strength: 0 G2.2; 0.41 G
Power play: 0 G0.5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 108 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created

45%55%

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.35 – 2.64

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

36
Shots on goal: 35; 53%
Faceoffs: 47%; 1/2
Power play: 0/3; 6
Penalty minutes: 4; 17
Hits: 31; 22
Blocked shots: 11; 10
Giveaways: 7; 4
Takeaways: 3

Box score

every player line

Philadelphia Flyers skaters
Skater	G	A	P	+/-	SOG	ixG	Hit	Blk	PIM	FO%	TOI
21S. LaughtonC	0	0	0	0	3	0.39	1	2	0	50	24:50
6T. SanheimD	0	0	0	+1	0	0.01	1	2	2	—	22:38
8C. YorkD	0	1	1	0	1	0.02	1	2	0	—	19:50
48M. FrostC	0	1	1	0	5	0.11	2	2	0	42	19:23
71T. FoersterR	0	0	0	0	2	0.10	0	2	4	—	18:09
26S. WalkerD	0	0	0	+1	1	0.01	3	1	0	—	17:14
89C. AtkinsonR	2	0	2	+1	6	0.92	0	0	0	—	16:40
19G. HathawayR	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	4	1	0	100	16:35
24N. SeelerD	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	1	1	0	—	16:13
25R. PoehlingC	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	0	0	0	65	16:06
11T. KonecnyR	0	0	0	0	3	0.26	0	0	0	50	15:56
55R. RistolainenD	0	0	0	0	1	0.06	0	1	0	—	15:38
86J. FarabeeL	0	1	1	+1	3	0.08	0	2	0	—	15:21
74O. TippettR	0	0	0	0	5	0.39	0	1	0	—	14:29
5E. ZamulaD	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	1	0	—	14:16
18M. StaalD	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	0	3	0	—	12:09
10B. BrinkR	0	0	0	0	3	0.02	2	1	0	—	09:48
44N. DeslauriersL	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	2	0	0	—	09:35

Philadelphia Flyers goalies
Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	xGA	GSAx	TOI
33S. Ersson(W)	35	35	0	1.000	2.68	+2.68	59:55

Season series

PHI leads 2-0

Jan 132@0this game
Feb 81@4Final

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).

Philadelphia Flyers at Winnipeg Jets

1st period

2nd period

1st

2nd

3rd

Box score