San Jose Sharks at Ottawa Senators
Recap
written from the game dataThe Ottawa Senators beat the San Jose Sharks 5-4. The lead changed hands 3 times. The Senators led 4-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Vladimir Tarasenko's goal at 19:55 of the third period, which took the Senators' chances from 52% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Senators, 2.2 to 1.8; shots on goal were SJS 18, OTT 41. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Senators win a replay of these chances 60% of the time. Mackenzie Blackwood stopped 36 of 41 (.878), 2.8 goals below expected; Joonas Korpisalo stopped 14 of 18 (.778), 2.2 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Tim Stützle (4 A), 2. Drake Batherson (1 G, 1 A), 3. Vladimir Tarasenko (1 G, 1 A).
Three stars
- ★T. Stützle4 A

- ★★D. Batherson1 G, 1 A

- ★★★V. Tarasenko1 G, 1 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
9 goals1st period
0-14:12
0-29:58
1-212:35
2nd period
2-23:53
3-26:20
3-37:11
3-412:59
3rd period
4-416:56
4-519:55
Penalties
1st
- 13:30
Ridly Greig · Hookingdrawn by Fabian Zetterlund2 min
- 18:02
Drake Batherson · Holdingdrawn by Mario Ferraro2 min
2nd
- 14:36
Anthony Duclair · Hookingdrawn by Zack MacEwen2 min
- 19:51
Jan Rutta · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Vladimir Tarasenko, 3rd 19:55 — 52% → 100%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 1.84 G
- All situations
- 5 G2.2
- 1.54 G
- Even strength
- 5 G2.0
- 0.30 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.2
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 80 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 1.72 – 2.22
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 18
- Shots on goal
- 41
- 43%
- Faceoffs
- 57%
- 0/2
- Power play
- 0/2
- 4
- Penalty minutes
- 4
- 38
- Hits
- 26
- 26
- Blocked shots
- 15
- 6
- Giveaways
- 13
- 7
- Takeaways
- 9
Box score
every player line
Season series
Tied 1-1
4@
5this game
1@
2Final
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
