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Vancouver Canucks at New Jersey Devils

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Recap

written from the game data

The Vancouver Canucks beat the New Jersey Devils 6-4. The Canucks scored first and never trailed. The Canucks led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Conor Garland's goal at 19:49 of the second period, which took the Canucks' chances from 71% to 88%. Expected goals favored the Canucks, 4.2 to 1.7; shots on goal were VAN 43, NJD 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canucks win a replay of these chances 79% of the time. Thatcher Demko stopped 21 of 25 (.840), 2.3 goals below expected; Nico Daws stopped 37 of 42 (.881), 1.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Elias Pettersson (2 G, 1 A), 2. J.T. Miller (2 G, 1 A), 3. Colin Miller (2 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VAN
    E. Pettersson2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    VAN
    J. Miller2 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    NJD
    C. Miller2 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
VANVAN018415210643
NJDNJD0521129425

Scoring

10 goals

2nd period

  1. VAN
    F. Hronek (28), Q. Hughes (37)
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-0
    0:41
  2. VAN
    B. Boeser (16), Q. Hughes (38)
    deflectedxG 0.30win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-0
    3:33
  3. VAN
    slapxG 0.10win prob +11 ptsVideo
    3-0
    4:37
  4. NJD
    slapxG 0.03win prob +10 ptsVideo
    3-1
    6:43
  5. NJD
    J. Bratt (30), L. Hughes (16)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +17 ptsVideo
    3-2
    19:37
  6. VAN
    wrap-aroundxG 0.03win prob +17 ptsVideo
    4-2
    19:49

3rd period

  1. VAN
    B. Boeser (17), Q. Hughes (39)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +7 ptsVideo
    5-2
    2:35
  2. NJD
    wristxG 0.05win prob +4 ptsVideo
    5-3
    11:07
  3. NJD
    B. Smith (4), E. Haula (11)
    deflectedxG 0.12win prob +12 ptsVideo
    5-4
    12:54
  4. VAN
    D. Joshua(10)EN
    wristxG 0.68win prob +10 ptsVideo
    6-4
    18:49

Penalties

VAN 4 PIM·NJD 2 PIM

1st

  • 7:23NJDJonas Siegenthaler · Interferencedrawn by Ilya Mikheyev2 min

3rd

  • 5:18VANNils Aman · Hookingdrawn by Colin Miller2 min
  • 16:29VANDakota Joshua · Holdingdrawn by Chris Tierney2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NJD goalVAN goalFinal: NJD 0%

Biggest swing: Conor Garland, 2nd 19:49 — VAN 71% → 88%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Bastian · On goal · xG 0.23D. Mercer · On goal · xG 0.19N. Hischier · Missed · xG 0.18T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.17N. Hischier · Goal · xG 0.12J. Siegenthaler · Missed · xG 0.11J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.07D. Mercer · On goal · xG 0.07T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.06E. Haula · Goal · xG 0.06L. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.05C. Miller · Goal · xG 0.05B. Smith · On goal · xG 0.04K. Bahl · On goal · xG 0.03L. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.03E. Haula · Missed · xG 0.03K. Bahl · On goal · xG 0.03S. Nemec · Missed · xG 0.03E. Haula · On goal · xG 0.03C. Miller · Goal · xG 0.03K. Bahl · On goal · xG 0.02N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.02T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.01T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.01C. Tierney · On goal · xG 0.01C. Lazar · Missed · xG 0.01T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.01A. Holtz · On goal · xG 0.01J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.01J. Marino · On goal · xG 0.01C. Miller · On goal · xG 0.00B. Smith · On goal · xG 0.00
NJD4 G · 1.7 xG · 32 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VANvsNJD
4.25 G
All situations
4 G1.7
2.95 G
Even strength
4 G1.3
0.50 G
Power play
0 G0.5
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 89 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VAN79%21%NJD

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.44 – 1.72

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VANvsNJD
43
Shots on goal
25
43%
Faceoffs
57%
0/1
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
2
18
Hits
18
13
Blocked shots
19
2
Giveaways
6
3
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Vancouver Canucks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
43Q. HughesD033+120.14010—23:38
57T. MyersD000020.03130—20:54
7C. SoucyD011+210.03140—20:19
17F. HronekD011+310.06010—20:09
40E. PetterssonC213+440.330003319:51
9J. MillerC213+520.401005518:29
6B. BoeserR022+430.38000—17:45
82I. ColeD011-100.01100—17:45
53T. BluegerC011+130.160104715:36
47N. JuulsenD000-100.00230—15:22
65I. MikheyevR000-130.12100—15:15
96A. KuzmenkoL000-160.83000—14:44
24P. SuterC000-130.240001814:40
81D. JoshuaC112+150.924025013:24
8C. GarlandR101030.07000—13:02
18S. LaffertyC000-210.07300012:28
88N. AmanC000-230.242023311:29
21N. HoglanderL000-210.14200—11:10
Vancouver Canucks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35T. Demko(W)25214.8401.74-2.2660:00

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).