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Minnesota Wild at Columbus Blue Jackets

Final/OTTV BSWIX, BSOH·Nationwide Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the Columbus Blue Jackets 4-3 in overtime, Marco Rossi scoring at 3:05. The Blue Jackets scored first; the Wild answered. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Marco Rossi's goal at 3:05 of overtime, which took the Wild's chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals were close — MIN 2.6, CBJ 2.4; shots on goal were MIN 36, CBJ 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Marc-Andre Fleury stopped 26 of 29 (.897), 0.6 goals below expected; Daniil Tarasov stopped 32 of 36 (.889), 1.4 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Cole Sillinger (3 G), 2. Matt Boldy (2 G, 1 A), 3. Marco Rossi (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CBJ
    C. Sillinger3 G
  2. ★★
    MIN
    M. Boldy2 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    MIN
    M. Rossi1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
MINMIN11111011312436
CBJCBJ181101803329

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. CBJ
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    8:09
  2. MIN
    M. Boldy(12)PPG
    slapxG 0.07win prob +10 ptsVideo
    1-1
    14:48

2nd period

  1. CBJ
    wristxG 0.13win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-2
    0:17
  2. MIN
    M. Boldy(13)PPG
    backhandxG 0.09win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-2
    10:15

3rd period

  1. CBJ
    tip-inxG 0.11win prob +28 ptsVideo
    2-3
    14:15
  2. MIN
    backhandxG 0.04win prob +44 ptsVideo
    3-3
    18:28

Overtime

  1. MIN
    M. Boldy (11), B. Faber (17)
    slapxG 0.17win prob +51 ptsVideo
    4-3
    3:05

Penalties

MIN 10 PIM·CBJ 10 PIM

1st

  • 9:26MINMatt Boldy · High sticking double minordrawn by Justin Danforth4 min
  • 14:43CBJAlexandre Texier · Holding the stickdrawn by Joel Eriksson Ek2 min

2nd

  • 2:46MINJon Merrill · Roughingdrawn by Mathieu Olivier2 min
  • 2:46CBJMathieu Olivier · Roughingdrawn by Jon Merrill2 min
  • 2:46MINJon Merrill · Boardingdrawn by Mathieu Olivier2 min
  • 9:16CBJErik Gudbranson · Trippingdrawn by Alex Goligoski2 min
  • 17:50CBJserved by D. Voronkov · Too many men on the ice2 min

3rd

  • 1:42CBJJake Bean · High stickingdrawn by Patrick Maroon2 min
  • 14:09MINJon Merrill · Trippingdrawn by Adam Boqvist2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CBJ goalMIN goalFinal: CBJ 0%

Biggest swing: Marco Rossi, OT 3:05 — MIN 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Danforth · On goal · xG 0.31E. Chinakhov · On goal · xG 0.21A. Fantilli · On goal · xG 0.15C. Sillinger · Goal · xG 0.13K. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.12K. Marchenko · On goal · xG 0.11C. Sillinger · On goal · xG 0.11C. Sillinger · Goal · xG 0.11E. Bemstrom · On goal · xG 0.10C. Sillinger · On goal · xG 0.10D. Jiricek · On goal · xG 0.09A. Fantilli · On goal · xG 0.08E. Chinakhov · On goal · xG 0.07E. Chinakhov · On goal · xG 0.07C. Sillinger · Goal · xG 0.06E. Bemstrom · Missed · xG 0.06E. Bemstrom · On goal · xG 0.05A. Boqvist · On goal · xG 0.04K. Johnson · Missed · xG 0.04D. Severson · Missed · xG 0.03A. Boqvist · Missed · xG 0.03E. Bemstrom · On goal · xG 0.03J. Roslovic · On goal · xG 0.03A. Fantilli · On goal · xG 0.03J. Bean · On goal · xG 0.02I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.02J. Bean · On goal · xG 0.02K. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.02E. Chinakhov · Missed · xG 0.02J. Gaudreau · Missed · xG 0.02J. Danforth · Missed · xG 0.01E. Gudbranson · On goal · xG 0.01J. Bean · On goal · xG 0.01E. Gudbranson · Missed · xG 0.01A. Fantilli · On goal · xG 0.01A. Texier · Missed · xG 0.01K. Marchenko · Missed · xG 0.00D. Severson · Missed · xG 0.00K. Marchenko · On goal · xG 0.00E. Chinakhov · On goal · xG 0.00
CBJ3 G · 2.4 xG · 40 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MINvsCBJ
2.64 G
All situations
3 G2.4
1.92 G
Even strength
2 G1.9
0.62 G
Power play
1 G0.5
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 83 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MIN54%46%CBJ

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.55 – 2.35

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MINvsCBJ
36
Shots on goal
29
52%
Faceoffs
48%
2/4
Power play
1/4
10
Penalty minutes
10
7
Hits
15
26
Blocked shots
16
1
Giveaways
5
3
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Minnesota Wild skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
7B. FaberD033030.14050—30:12
14J. Eriksson EkC011020.183205025:30
36M. ZuccarelloR011+170.33000—24:15
5J. MiddletonD000-210.02050—23:34
23M. RossiC101+130.280104122:37
12M. BoldyL213+170.4502410022:27
24Z. BogosianD000030.25020—21:24
33A. GoligoskiD000+100.00020—18:14
90M. JohanssonL101040.43000—17:53
38R. HartmanR011010.030107116:49
6D. MermisD000020.11000—13:32
89F. GaudreauC000-110.120305612:50
21B. DuhaimeL000010.02100—11:33
4J. MerrillD000000.00006—11:08
26C. DewarC000000.091205510:15
20P. MaroonL000-110.11000—10:06
51A. RaskaR000000.00200—06:32
19N. PetanC000-100.00010004:22
Minnesota Wild goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
29M. Fleury(W)29263.8972.36-0.6463:01

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).