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Capitals at Islanders
NHL

Washington Capitals at New York Islanders

NHL scoreboard
Washington Capitals
1
New York Islanders
▸5
FinalTV MSGSN, MNMT2·UBS Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Islanders beat the Washington Capitals 5-1. The Islanders scored first and never trailed. The Islanders led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jean-Gabriel Pageau's goal at 4:51 of the second period, which took the Islanders' chances from 53% to 70%. Expected goals favored the Islanders, 3.1 to 2.0; shots on goal were WSH 27, NYI 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Islanders win a replay of these chances 69% of the time. Darcy Kuemper stopped 24 of 29 (.828), 2.1 goals below expected; Ilya Sorokin stopped 26 of 27 (.963), 1.0 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Jean-Gabriel Pageau (2 G, 2 A), 2. Ilya Sorokin (26 saves, .963), 3. Julien Gauthier (2 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYI
    J. Pageau2 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    NYI
    I. Sorokin26 saves, .963
  3. ★★★
    NYI
    J. Gauthier2 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WSHWSH0809110127
NYINYI010212310532

Scoring

6 goals

2nd period

  1. NYI
    J. Pageau(3)
    A. Romanov (6), J. Gauthier (4)
    slapxG 0.08win prob +17 ptsVideo
    0-1
    4:51
  2. NYI
    N. Dobson(6)
    M. Barzal (26), B. Horvat (20)
    slapxG 0.04win prob +15 ptsVideo
    0-2
    6:01

3rd period

  1. NYI
    J. Gauthier(3)
    J. Pageau (12), B. Horvat (21)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +3 ptsVideo
    0-3
    10:10
  2. NYI
    J. Gauthier(4)
    J. Pageau (13), S. Bolduc (2)
    backhandxG 0.21win prob +1 ptsVideo
    0-4
    10:28
  3. NYI
    J. Pageau(4)
    S. Holmstrom (4)
    wristxG 0.23Video
    0-5
    14:26
  4. WSH
    N. Aube-Kubel(3)
    R. Sandin (8), N. Jensen (6)
    backhandxG 0.01Video
    1-5
    19:42

Penalties

WSH 6 PIM·NYI 4 PIM

2nd

  • 7:18NYINoah Dobson · Slashingdrawn by Connor McMichael2 min
  • 9:12WSHRasmus Sandin · Hookingdrawn by Jean-Gabriel Pageau2 min

3rd

  • 7:26WSHConnor McMichael · High stickingdrawn by Cal Clutterbuck2 min
  • 7:45NYIBrock Nelson · Interferencedrawn by Nic Dowd2 min
  • 15:14WSHAliaksei Protas · High stickingdrawn by Brock Nelson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYI goalWSH goalFinal: NYI 100%

Biggest swing: Jean-Gabriel Pageau, 2nd 4:51 — NYI 53% → 70%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Holmstrom · On goal · xG 0.27J. Pageau · Goal · xG 0.23J. Gauthier · Goal · xG 0.22P. Engvall · On goal · xG 0.19A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.16J. Gauthier · Goal · xG 0.15J. Pageau · Missed · xG 0.14P. Engvall · Missed · xG 0.14A. Lee · Missed · xG 0.13K. Palmieri · Missed · xG 0.09A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.08J. Pageau · Goal · xG 0.08M. Barzal · Missed · xG 0.08J. Pageau · Missed · xG 0.07B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.07A. Lee · Missed · xG 0.07M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.06A. Romanov · On goal · xG 0.06S. Bolduc · On goal · xG 0.05M. Martin · On goal · xG 0.05H. Fasching · Missed · xG 0.05S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.04H. Fasching · On goal · xG 0.04P. Engvall · On goal · xG 0.04M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.04N. Dobson · Goal · xG 0.04J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.03J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.03M. Reilly · Missed · xG 0.03B. Nelson · Missed · xG 0.03M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.02M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.02B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.02N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.02A. Romanov · On goal · xG 0.02A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.02S. Bolduc · Missed · xG 0.02K. Palmieri · Missed · xG 0.02B. Horvat · Missed · xG 0.02S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.02A. Romanov · Missed · xG 0.02B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.02N. Dobson · Missed · xG 0.02N. Dobson · Missed · xG 0.01S. Holmstrom · Missed · xG 0.01N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.01R. Bortuzzo · On goal · xG 0.01S. Bolduc · On goal · xG 0.01A. Romanov · Missed · xG 0.01P. Engvall · On goal · xG 0.01C. Clutterbuck · Missed · xG 0.01M. Reilly · On goal · xG 0.00
NYI5 G · 3.1 xG · 52 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WSHvsNYI
2.01 G
All situations
5 G3.1
1.71 G
Even strength
5 G2.5
0.00 G
Power play
0 G0.2
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 92 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WSH31%69%NYI

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.96 – 3.02

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WSHvsNYI
27
Shots on goal
32
41%
Faceoffs
59%
0/2
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
15
Hits
25
16
Blocked shots
8
11
Giveaways
7
4
Takeaways
13

Box score

every player line
Washington Capitals skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
74J. CarlsonD000020.08050—28:06
38R. SandinD011-220.09012—24:22
3N. JensenD011-320.03330—22:53
6J. EdmundsonD000-230.06000—21:49
21A. ProtasL000-120.08002—20:01
57T. van RiemsdykD000-110.25000—18:52
8A. OvechkinL000-110.13400—17:06
92E. KuznetsovC000-100.011001116:20
39A. ManthaR000-210.32100—16:06
17D. StromeC000-220.210005615:10
96N. Aube-KubelR101+130.14100—14:36
43T. WilsonR000-110.04310—14:13
26N. DowdC000-120.131105814:09
24C. McMichaelL000010.110124513:56
47B. MalenstynL000-110.01110—13:16
29H. LapierreC000-230.310105011:22
45M. PhillipsR000-100.00020—09:25
42M. FehérváryD000000.00000—02:18
Washington Capitals goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35D. Kuemper(L)29245.8282.94-2.0653:14
79C. Lindgren3301.0000.15+0.1506:46

Season series

Tied 2-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).