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Utah Mammoth at San Jose Sharks

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Recap

written from the game data

The Utah Mammoth beat the San Jose Sharks 5-2. The Coyotes scored first and never trailed. The Coyotes led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Alexander Kerfoot's goal at 12:56 of the second period, which took the Coyotes' chances from 66% to 85%. Expected goals were close — ARI 2.9, SJS 2.9; shots on goal were ARI 30, SJS 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Sharks win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Karel Vejmelka stopped 29 of 31 (.935), 0.9 goals saved above expected; Mackenzie Blackwood stopped 25 of 30 (.833), 2.1 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Alexander Kerfoot (1 G, 2 A), 2. Clayton Keller (1 G, 2 A), 3. Sean Durzi (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    ARI
    A. Kerfoot1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    ARI
    C. Keller1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    ARI
    S. Durzi2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ARIARI0738215530
SJSSJS01218111231

Scoring

7 goals

2nd period

  1. ARI
    wristxG 0.12win prob +17 ptsVideo
    1-0
    4:58
  2. SJS
    wristxG 0.18win prob +17 ptsVideo
    1-1
    6:20
  3. ARI
    backhandxG 0.25win prob +18 ptsVideo
    2-1
    8:30
  4. ARI
    deflectedxG 0.14win prob +18 ptsVideo
    3-1
    12:56

3rd period

  1. SJS
    pokexG 0.09win prob +17 ptsVideo
    3-2
    0:26
  2. ARI
    wristxG 0.16win prob +13 ptsVideo
    4-2
    7:45
  3. ARI
    wristxG 0.03win prob +3 ptsVideo
    5-2
    12:50

Penalties

ARI 2 PIM·SJS 6 PIM

2nd

  • 10:13ARILiam O'Brien · Trippingdrawn by Filip Zadina2 min
  • 16:53SJSMikael Granlund · Holdingdrawn by Alexander Kerfoot2 min

3rd

  • 6:44SJSNikita Okhotiuk · Interferencedrawn by Logan Cooley2 min
  • 13:29SJSFabian Zetterlund · Trippingdrawn by Logan Cooley2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
SJS goalARI goalFinal: SJS 0%

Biggest swing: Alexander Kerfoot, 2nd 12:56 — ARI 66% → 85%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
W. Eklund · On goal · xG 0.26K. Labanc · On goal · xG 0.22A. Duclair · Goal · xG 0.18T. Hertl · Missed · xG 0.17W. Eklund · Missed · xG 0.16F. Zadina · On goal · xG 0.16K. Labanc · On goal · xG 0.16W. Eklund · Missed · xG 0.13J. MacDonald · On goal · xG 0.11L. Kunin · Missed · xG 0.09F. Zadina · Goal · xG 0.09F. Zadina · Missed · xG 0.09J. Bailey · Missed · xG 0.07F. Zadina · On goal · xG 0.07N. Okhotiuk · Missed · xG 0.07K. Labanc · On goal · xG 0.06T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.06M. Granlund · Missed · xG 0.06F. Zadina · On goal · xG 0.06K. Labanc · On goal · xG 0.05A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.05H. Thrun · On goal · xG 0.04F. Zadina · On goal · xG 0.04M. Ferraro · On goal · xG 0.04T. Hertl · Missed · xG 0.04J. MacDonald · On goal · xG 0.04F. Zetterlund · Missed · xG 0.03T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.03F. Zadina · On goal · xG 0.03G. Smith · Missed · xG 0.03A. Duclair · Missed · xG 0.03J. Studnicka · On goal · xG 0.03K. Labanc · On goal · xG 0.02W. Eklund · On goal · xG 0.02M. Ferraro · On goal · xG 0.02H. Thrun · On goal · xG 0.02M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.02T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.02J. MacDonald · On goal · xG 0.02M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.01M. Ferraro · On goal · xG 0.01J. MacDonald · Missed · xG 0.01J. Bailey · Missed · xG 0.01M. Hoffman · Missed · xG 0.01M. Ferraro · On goal · xG 0.01J. Bailey · On goal · xG 0.01J. Rutta · Missed · xG 0.00J. Rutta · Missed · xG 0.00
SJS2 G · 2.9 xG · 48 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ARIvsSJS
2.95 G
All situations
2 G2.9
2.44 G
Even strength
2 G2.4
0.41 G
Power play
0 G0.3
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 90 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ARI49%51%SJS

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.84 – 2.86

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ARIvsSJS
30
Shots on goal
31
51%
Faceoffs
49%
1/3
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
6
13
Hits
11
18
Blocked shots
18
10
Giveaways
9
5
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Utah Mammoth skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
50S. DurziD022+240.10040—22:23
90J. MoserD000-220.05010—20:36
15A. KerfootC123+230.270006020:26
51T. StecherD000000.01120—19:54
33T. DermottD000+220.08000—19:45
8N. SchmaltzC112+130.300006319:33
63M. MaccelliL011020.11030—18:38
67L. CrouseL101+120.21010—18:35
17N. BjugstadC011010.220205018:00
9C. KellerR123+230.29010—17:22
24M. DumbaD000000.10310—17:18
5M. KesselringD101+210.12000—15:27
16J. ZuckerL000040.40100—14:29
92L. CooleyC000000.171005013:38
22J. McBainC000000.002105010:54
53M. CarconeL000010.18000—10:49
38L. O'BrienC000010.07422010:22
12Z. SanfordL000010.18100—10:13
Utah Mammoth goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
70K. Vejmelka(W)31292.9352.89+0.8959:38

Season series

ARI leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).