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Sabres at Coyotes
NHL

Buffalo Sabres at Utah Mammoth

NHL scoreboard
Buffalo Sabres
0
Utah Mammoth
▸2
FinalTV MSG-B, SCRIPPS·Mullett Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Utah Mammoth beat the Buffalo Sabres 2-0. The Coyotes scored first and never trailed. The Coyotes led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Clayton Keller's goal at 15:12 of the second period, which took the Coyotes' chances from 53% to 73%. Expected goals favored the Coyotes, 4.4 to 2.7; shots on goal were BUF 28, ARI 22. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Coyotes win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen stopped 20 of 22 (.909), 1.0 goals saved above expected; Karel Vejmelka stopped 28 of 28 (1.000), 2.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Karel Vejmelka (28 saves, 1.000), 2. Liam O'Brien (1 G), 3. Logan Cooley (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    ARI
    K. Vejmelka28 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    ARI
    L. O'Brien1 G
  3. ★★★
    ARI
    L. Cooley1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
BUFBUF0901108028
ARIARI091716222

Scoring

2 goals

2nd period

  1. ARI
    C. Keller(10)
    A. Kerfoot (14)
    wristxG 0.26win prob +21 ptsVideo
    0-1
    15:12

3rd period

  1. ARI
    L. O'Brien(3)
    L. Cooley (13)
    backhandxG 0.08win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-2
    9:36

Penalties

BUF 6 PIM·ARI 4 PIM

1st

  • 10:43BUFCasey Mittelstadt · Holdingdrawn by Nick Schmaltz2 min

2nd

  • 7:36ARITroy Stecher · Trippingdrawn by Rasmus Dahlin2 min
  • 18:16BUFMattias Samuelsson · Holdingdrawn by Clayton Keller2 min

3rd

  • 19:34ARIMathew Dumba · Roughingdrawn by Zach Benson2 min
  • 19:34BUFZach Benson · Roughingdrawn by Mathew Dumba2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ARI goalBUF goalFinal: ARI 100%

Biggest swing: Clayton Keller, 2nd 15:12 — ARI 53% → 73%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Bjugstad · Missed · xG 0.46M. Maccelli · Missed · xG 0.43L. Crouse · Missed · xG 0.29N. Bjugstad · On goal · xG 0.27C. Keller · Goal · xG 0.26J. Zucker · Missed · xG 0.23A. Kerfoot · On goal · xG 0.20M. Carcone · On goal · xG 0.19N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.16C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.16L. O'Brien · On goal · xG 0.15N. Bjugstad · On goal · xG 0.15J. Zucker · Missed · xG 0.12C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.11L. O'Brien · On goal · xG 0.10M. Maccelli · On goal · xG 0.09N. Bjugstad · On goal · xG 0.09T. Stecher · Missed · xG 0.09L. Cooley · Missed · xG 0.08N. Schmaltz · Missed · xG 0.08L. O'Brien · Goal · xG 0.08N. Schmaltz · Missed · xG 0.08C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.07C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.07M. Carcone · Missed · xG 0.06A. Kerfoot · On goal · xG 0.05C. Keller · Missed · xG 0.05J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.05N. Bjugstad · Missed · xG 0.03M. Dumba · Missed · xG 0.03J. Moser · On goal · xG 0.02J. Välimäki · On goal · xG 0.02M. Maccelli · On goal · xG 0.01M. Kesselring · Missed · xG 0.01M. Maccelli · Missed · xG 0.01N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.01M. Kesselring · On goal · xG 0.01
ARI2 G · 4.4 xG · 37 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

BUFvsARI
2.70 G
All situations
2 G4.4
2.20 G
Even strength
2 G2.7
0.50 G
Power play
0 G0.3
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 80 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
BUF46%54%ARI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.74 – 2.96

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

BUFvsARI
28
Shots on goal
22
45%
Faceoffs
55%
0/1
Power play
0/2
6
Penalty minutes
4
16
Hits
23
20
Blocked shots
19
7
Giveaways
15
4
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Buffalo Sabres skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
26R. DahlinD000-140.10530—25:35
72T. ThompsonC000-120.321005021:44
89A. TuchR000-220.26120—21:17
25O. PowerD000010.01010—21:00
77J. PeterkaR000030.48000—20:31
37C. MittelstadtC000020.270027119:32
9Z. BensonL000-140.41132—18:43
23M. SamuelssonD000-100.00132—17:26
24D. CozensC000000.090002516:55
19P. KrebsC000-130.160002516:44
10H. JokiharjuD000020.06200—14:56
6E. JohnsonD000000.02220—13:19
75C. CliftonD000010.01010—13:06
21K. OkposoR000000.202003313:05
33R. JohnsonD000-220.18130—11:58
50E. RobinsonL000-100.09010—11:19
71V. OlofssonL000020.03010—11:07
17T. JostC000000.040005010:28
Buffalo Sabres goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1U. Luukkonen(L)22202.9093.00+1.0056:49

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).