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Maple Leafs at Rangers
NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs at New York Rangers

NHL scoreboard
Toronto Maple Leafs
▸7
New York Rangers
3
FinalTV MSG, TSN4·Madison Square Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The Toronto Maple Leafs beat the New York Rangers 7-3. The Maple Leafs scored first and never trailed. The Maple Leafs led 4-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Blake Wheeler's goal at 18:26 of the second period, which took the Rangers' chances from 12% to 30%. Expected goals favored the Maple Leafs, 4.9 to 3.4; shots on goal were TOR 30, NYR 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Maple Leafs win a replay of these chances 56% of the time. Martin Jones stopped 28 of 31 (.903); Igor Shesterkin stopped 23 of 29 (.793), 2.0 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Auston Matthews (2 G, 2 A), 2. Mitch Marner (2 G, 1 A), 3. Blake Wheeler (2 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TOR
    A. Matthews2 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    TOR
    M. Marner2 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    NYR
    B. Wheeler2 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
TORTOR41108311730
NYRNYR13215013331

Scoring

10 goals

1st period

  1. TOR
    A. Matthews(20)
    W. Nylander (22), N. Gregor (2)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    3:52
  2. TOR
    C. Timmins(1)
    C. Jarnkrok (9), M. Domi (13)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-0
    5:07
  3. NYR
    B. Wheeler(3)
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.15win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-1
    5:42
  4. TOR
    C. Jarnkrok(7)
    J. Tavares (18)
    backhandxG 0.47win prob +16 ptsVideo
    3-1
    15:20
  5. TOR
    M. Marner(10)
    A. Matthews (10), W. Lagesson (2)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +11 ptsVideo
    4-1
    15:41

2nd period

  1. NYR
    M. Zibanejad(8)PPG
    A. Panarin (23), A. Fox (15)
    slapxG 0.13win prob +8 ptsVideo
    4-2
    16:30
  2. NYR
    B. Wheeler(4)
    M. Zibanejad (15), J. Trouba (11)
    snapxG 0.09win prob +17 ptsVideo
    4-3
    18:26

3rd period

  1. TOR
    M. Marner(11)PPG
    M. Rielly (16), A. Matthews (11)
    tip-inxG 0.11win prob +13 ptsVideo
    5-3
    1:29
  2. TOR
    A. Matthews(21)
    W. Nylander (23), J. McCabe (6)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +1 ptsVideo
    6-3
    17:11
  3. TOR
    D. Kampf(4)EN
    T. Brodie (6), M. Marner (18)
    wristxG 0.93Video
    7-3
    18:33

Penalties

TOR 8 PIM·NYR 10 PIM

1st

  • 6:00NYRMika Zibanejad · Trippingdrawn by David Kampf2 min
  • 10:46TORJake McCabe · Hookingdrawn by Chris Kreider2 min

2nd

  • 10:27NYRChris Kreider · Roughingdrawn by William Lagesson2 min
  • 10:27TORWilliam Lagesson · Roughingdrawn by Chris Kreider2 min
  • 14:56TORConor Timmins · Hookingdrawn by Vincent Trocheck2 min

3rd

  • 1:22NYRErik Gustafsson · Interferencedrawn by Mitch Marner2 min
  • 11:03NYRMika Zibanejad · Roughingdrawn by Jake McCabe2 min
  • 11:03NYRMika Zibanejad · Roughingdrawn by Jake McCabe2 min
  • 11:03TORJake McCabe · Roughingdrawn by Mika Zibanejad2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYR goalTOR goalFinal: NYR 0%

Biggest swing: Blake Wheeler, 2nd 18:26 — NYR 12% → 30%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Goodrow · Missed · xG 0.20V. Trocheck · Missed · xG 0.17B. Wheeler · Goal · xG 0.15W. Cuylle · On goal · xG 0.15C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.15B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.14B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.14N. Bonino · On goal · xG 0.14M. Zibanejad · Goal · xG 0.13T. Pitlick · On goal · xG 0.13A. Lafrenière · Missed · xG 0.10B. Wheeler · Goal · xG 0.09V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.09V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.08A. Lafrenière · Missed · xG 0.08C. Kreider · Missed · xG 0.08A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.08V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.08A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.07B. Goodrow · On goal · xG 0.07V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.07M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.06E. Gustafsson · On goal · xG 0.06M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.06T. Pitlick · Missed · xG 0.05T. Pitlick · Missed · xG 0.05N. Bonino · On goal · xG 0.05C. Kreider · Missed · xG 0.05T. Pitlick · Missed · xG 0.05A. Lafrenière · Missed · xG 0.04A. Fox · Missed · xG 0.04A. Fox · Missed · xG 0.04T. Pitlick · On goal · xG 0.04C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.04B. Wheeler · Missed · xG 0.04B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.04M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.04A. Fox · Missed · xG 0.04A. Lafrenière · Missed · xG 0.04E. Gustafsson · Missed · xG 0.03V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.03E. Gustafsson · Missed · xG 0.03J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.03T. Pitlick · On goal · xG 0.02N. Bonino · On goal · xG 0.02C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.01V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.01W. Cuylle · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Jones · On goal · xG 0.01A. Fox · On goal · xG 0.01A. Lafrenière · Missed · xG 0.01
NYR3 G · 3.4 xG · 51 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

TORvsNYR
4.96 G
All situations
3 G3.4
2.95 G
Even strength
2 G3.0
1.01 G
Power play
1 G0.5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 92 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
TOR56%44%NYR

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.79 – 3.39

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

TORvsNYR
30
Shots on goal
31
53%
Faceoffs
47%
1/3
Power play
1/2
8
Penalty minutes
10
14
Hits
25
19
Blocked shots
10
7
Giveaways
13
5
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Toronto Maple Leafs skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
78T. BrodieD011+200.00020—23:19
16M. MarnerR213+330.48010—22:34
44M. RiellyD011+110.06050—22:07
34A. MatthewsC224+330.600104721:30
22J. McCabeD011+220.12214—20:50
88W. NylanderR022+220.29000—19:26
18N. GregorL011+100.020005017:40
91J. TavaresC011+140.720105517:35
19C. JarnkrokC112+130.772006716:53
85W. LagessonD011+100.00232—15:58
59T. BertuzziL000+320.04000—15:04
25C. TimminsD101+110.04222—14:01
64D. KampfC101-110.962107813:41
2S. BenoitD000+100.00100—12:56
89N. RobertsonL000+120.24010—12:01
74B. McMannC000-240.44300011:03
11M. DomiC011+120.120005010:16
48M. LajoieD000000.00010—07:47
Toronto Maple Leafs goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31M. Jones(W)31283.9033.44+0.4459:45

Season series

TOR leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).