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Flyers at Avalanche
NHL

Philadelphia Flyers at Colorado Avalanche

NHL scoreboard
Philadelphia Flyers
▸5
Colorado Avalanche
2
FinalTV ALT, NBCSP·Ball Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Philadelphia Flyers beat the Colorado Avalanche 5-2. The Flyers scored first and never trailed. The Flyers led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Owen Tippett's goal at 9:01 of the second period, which took the Flyers' chances from 47% to 66%. Expected goals favored the Flyers, 3.7 to 3.0; shots on goal were PHI 34, COL 38. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flyers win a replay of these chances 60% of the time. Carter Hart stopped 36 of 38 (.947), 1.0 goals saved above expected; Ivan Prosvetov stopped 29 of 34 (.853), 1.3 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Travis Konecny (2 G), 2. Carter Hart (36 saves, .947), 3. Owen Tippett (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PHI
    T. Konecny2 G
  2. ★★
    PHI
    C. Hart36 saves, .947
  3. ★★★
    PHI
    O. Tippett1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PHIPHI112212210534
COLCOL113115010238

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. PHI
    T. Konecny(15)
    S. Couturier (13), T. Foerster (6)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-0
    17:41
  2. COL
    N. MacKinnon(11)
    J. Manson (4), D. Toews (11)
    wristxG 0.18win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-1
    18:59

2nd period

  1. PHI
    O. Tippett(9)
    B. Brink (8)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +19 ptsVideo
    2-1
    9:01
  2. PHI
    T. Sanheim(3)
    M. Frost (3), O. Tippett (8)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +17 ptsVideo
    3-1
    11:17
  3. COL
    J. Manson(2)
    R. Johansen (2)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +17 ptsVideo
    3-2
    12:28

3rd period

  1. PHI
    T. Konecny(16)Penalty shot
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.33win prob +16 ptsVideo
    4-2
    9:31
  2. PHI
    J. Farabee(10)
    B. Brink (9), T. Sanheim (17)
    wristxG 0.18win prob +4 ptsVideo
    5-2
    10:17

Penalties

PHI 4 PIM·COL 2 PIM

1st

  • 10:52PHIOwen Tippett · Hookingdrawn by Nathan MacKinnon2 min

2nd

  • 13:03COLJoel Kiviranta · Holding the stickdrawn by Cam York2 min
  • 17:12PHITravis Konecny · Holdingdrawn by Cale Makar2 min

3rd

  • 9:31COLNathan MacKinnon · Ps holding on breakawaydrawn by Travis Konecny0 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
COL goalPHI goalFinal: COL 0%

Biggest swing: Owen Tippett, 2nd 9:01 — PHI 47% → 66%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
V. Nichushkin · Missed · xG 0.36L. O'Connor · On goal · xG 0.21N. MacKinnon · Goal · xG 0.18M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.15V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.13M. Wood · On goal · xG 0.13A. Cogliano · On goal · xG 0.09S. Malinski · Missed · xG 0.09M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.08L. O'Connor · Missed · xG 0.08R. Colton · Missed · xG 0.08B. Byram · Missed · xG 0.08V. Nichushkin · Missed · xG 0.08M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.07V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.07M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.07M. Wood · On goal · xG 0.07N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.06L. O'Connor · On goal · xG 0.06R. Johansen · Missed · xG 0.06M. Wood · On goal · xG 0.06M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.05V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.05V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.05J. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.04N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.04N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.04C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.04N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.04M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.03V. Nichushkin · Missed · xG 0.03J. Drouin · On goal · xG 0.02R. Johansen · On goal · xG 0.02J. Manson · Missed · xG 0.02S. Malinski · On goal · xG 0.02R. Colton · On goal · xG 0.02J. Manson · Goal · xG 0.02M. Wood · On goal · xG 0.02N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.02C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.02C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.02D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.02S. Malinski · Missed · xG 0.02J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.02D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.01S. Malinski · On goal · xG 0.01R. Colton · Missed · xG 0.01S. Malinski · On goal · xG 0.01J. Johnson · Missed · xG 0.01M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.01J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.01M. Wood · On goal · xG 0.01M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.01V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.00
COL2 G · 3.0 xG · 54 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PHIvsCOL
3.75 G
All situations
2 G3.0
3.25 G
Even strength
2 G1.8
0.50 G
Power play
0 G0.7
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.6

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 98 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PHI60%40%COL

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.58 – 2.96

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PHIvsCOL
34
Shots on goal
38
55%
Faceoffs
45%
0/1
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
2
23
Hits
22
23
Blocked shots
12
10
Giveaways
17
12
Takeaways
15

Box score

every player line
Philadelphia Flyers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6T. SanheimD112+210.07320—22:48
14S. CouturierC011020.050305622:14
21S. LaughtonC000030.211006322:09
8C. YorkD000+210.06230—21:03
11T. KonecnyR202+250.67002—20:11
71T. FoersterR011020.15210—19:40
26S. WalkerD000+100.01130—19:29
55R. RistolainenD000-200.00430—17:56
89C. AtkinsonR000-110.41010—16:32
24N. SeelerD000+120.05310—16:21
48M. FrostC011+240.340104215:54
74O. TippettR112+240.31102—13:56
86J. FarabeeL101050.78030—13:53
5E. ZamulaD000-100.00000—12:42
10B. BrinkR022+210.03010—12:10
44N. DeslauriersL000020.19410—10:24
19G. HathawayR000010.40200—10:08
18M. StaalD000+100.00000—08:30
Philadelphia Flyers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
79C. Hart(W)38362.9473.03+1.0360:00

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).