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Seattle Kraken at Montréal Canadiens

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Recap

written from the game data

The Montréal Canadiens beat the Seattle Kraken 4-2. The Canadiens scored first and never trailed. The Canadiens led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Tanner Pearson's goal at 3:12 of the second period, which took the Canadiens' chances from 69% to 84%. Expected goals favored the Canadiens, 3.0 to 2.1; shots on goal were SEA 33, MTL 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canadiens win a replay of these chances 60% of the time. Philipp Grubauer stopped 26 of 29 (.897); Samuel Montembeault stopped 31 of 33 (.939). Three stars: 1. Sean Monahan (2 G), 2. Nick Suzuki (1 A), 3. Josh Anderson (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MTL
    S. Monahan2 G
  2. ★★
    MTL
    N. Suzuki1 A
  3. ★★★
    MTL
    J. Anderson1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
SEASEA01317113233
MTLMTL110210110430

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. MTL
    snapxG 0.30win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    4:03

2nd period

  1. MTL
    snapxG 0.30win prob +15 ptsVideo
    0-2
    3:12
  2. MTL
    snapxG 0.16win prob +7 ptsVideo
    0-3
    6:58
  3. SEA
    snapxG 0.17win prob +8 ptsVideo
    1-3
    14:05

3rd period

  1. SEA
    V. Dunn(4)PPG
    slapxG 0.07win prob +13 ptsVideo
    2-3
    4:49
  2. MTL
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.45win prob +2 ptsVideo
    2-4
    19:28

Penalties

SEA 2 PIM·MTL 4 PIM

1st

  • 8:15MTLMike Matheson · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Philipp Grubauer2 min

2nd

  • 6:00SEAAdam Larsson · Trippingdrawn by Juraj Slafkovský2 min

3rd

  • 3:15MTLMike Matheson · Hookingdrawn by Alexander Wennberg2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MTL goalSEA goalFinal: MTL 100%

Biggest swing: Tanner Pearson, 2nd 3:12 — MTL 69% → 84%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Anderson · Goal · xG 0.45T. Pearson · Goal · xG 0.30S. Monahan · Goal · xG 0.30J. Kovacevic · Missed · xG 0.19S. Monahan · Goal · xG 0.16N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.13C. Caufield · Missed · xG 0.13C. Caufield · On goal · xG 0.10C. Dvorak · On goal · xG 0.09J. Slafkovský · Missed · xG 0.09J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.09T. Pearson · On goal · xG 0.08J. Armia · On goal · xG 0.08N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.08J. Evans · Missed · xG 0.08C. Caufield · On goal · xG 0.06J. Slafkovský · Missed · xG 0.06B. Gallagher · Missed · xG 0.06T. Pearson · On goal · xG 0.05T. Pearson · On goal · xG 0.05B. Gallagher · Missed · xG 0.05N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.04B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.04J. Barron · On goal · xG 0.04N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.04C. Caufield · On goal · xG 0.03J. Kovacevic · On goal · xG 0.03J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.02T. Pearson · Missed · xG 0.02J. Kovacevic · On goal · xG 0.02T. Pearson · On goal · xG 0.01G. Lindstrom · On goal · xG 0.01G. Lindstrom · On goal · xG 0.01J. Armia · On goal · xG 0.01J. Slafkovský · On goal · xG 0.01J. Barron · On goal · xG 0.01J. Barron · Missed · xG 0.00J. Armia · On goal · xG 0.00T. Pearson · On goal · xG 0.00
MTL4 G · 3.0 xG · 39 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

SEAvsMTL
2.12 G
All situations
3 G3.0
1.61 G
Even strength
2 G2.4
0.51 G
Power play
1 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 82 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
SEA40%60%MTL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.05 – 2.55

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

SEAvsMTL
33
Shots on goal
30
46%
Faceoffs
54%
1/2
Power play
1/1
2
Penalty minutes
4
26
Hits
16
6
Blocked shots
21
10
Giveaways
10
8
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Seattle Kraken skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
29V. DunnD112050.29110—25:06
6A. LarssonD011+170.13112—23:56
37Y. GourdeC000-230.110003120:26
22O. BjorkstrandR000-260.49100—19:56
20E. TolvanenR011-110.0140010019:24
24J. OleksiakD000-100.00200—18:29
19J. McCannL101010.23000—18:13
21A. WennbergC000+140.311008317:17
7J. EberleR000-230.33100—17:15
4J. SchultzD000-120.09110—16:56
3W. BorgenD000-100.00200—16:46
10M. BeniersC011-100.000001716:10
52T. KartyeL000-200.07700—14:56
13B. TanevL000+100.00400—14:15
8B. DumoulinD000-110.01010—14:11
56K. YamamotoR000000.0000010013:15
41P. BellemareL000000.001205707:52
71M. McCormickL000000.00000—05:38
Seattle Kraken goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31P. Grubauer(L)29263.8972.59-0.4159:01

Season series

MTL leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).