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Golden Knights at Flames
NHL

Vegas Golden Knights at Calgary Flames

Final/OTTV SCRIPPS, SNW·Scotiabank Saddledome

Recap

written from the game data

The Calgary Flames beat the Vegas Golden Knights 2-1 in overtime, MacKenzie Weegar scoring at 4:55. The Golden Knights scored first; the Flames answered. The Golden Knights led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was MacKenzie Weegar's goal at 4:55 of overtime, which took the Flames' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Flames, 3.1 to 2.5; shots on goal were VGK 28, CGY 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flames win a replay of these chances 61% of the time. Adin Hill stopped 32 of 34 (.941), 1.1 goals saved above expected; Dan Vladar stopped 27 of 28 (.964), 1.5 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Dan Vladar (27 saves, .964), 2. Adin Hill (32 saves, .941), 3. MacKenzie Weegar (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CGY
    D. Vladar27 saves, .964
  2. ★★
    VGK
    A. Hill32 saves, .941
  3. ★★★
    CGY
    M. Weegar1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
VGKVGK180110900128
CGYCGY011091915234

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. VGK
    N. Roy (3), M. Amadio (8)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +10 ptsVideo
    1-0
    13:53

3rd period

  1. CGY
    N. Kadri (10), C. Zary (7)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +25 ptsVideo
    1-1
    2:31

Overtime

  1. CGY
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.05win prob +49 ptsVideo
    1-2
    4:55

Penalties

VGK 6 PIM·CGY 6 PIM

1st

  • 2:35VGKWilliam Carrier · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Dan Vladar2 min
  • 13:23CGYAndrew Mangiapane · Hookingdrawn by Nicolas Hague2 min
  • 15:05CGYConnor Zary · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 18:43CGYMacKenzie Weegar · Hookingdrawn by William Karlsson2 min

2nd

  • 0:57VGKNicolas Hague · High stickingdrawn by Nazem Kadri2 min

3rd

  • 19:05VGKNicolas Roy · Trippingdrawn by Nazem Kadri2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CGY goalVGK goalFinal: CGY 100%

Biggest swing: MacKenzie Weegar, OT 4:55 — CGY 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.39J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.21A. Greer · Goal · xG 0.17Y. Sharangovich · On goal · xG 0.16N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.14R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.13A. Mangiapane · On goal · xG 0.13E. Lindholm · Missed · xG 0.13J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.11B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.09Y. Sharangovich · On goal · xG 0.08M. Weegar · Missed · xG 0.08J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.07B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.07A. Greer · Missed · xG 0.07E. Lindholm · Missed · xG 0.06N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.06N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.05Y. Sharangovich · Missed · xG 0.05M. Weegar · Goal · xG 0.05E. Lindholm · Missed · xG 0.05B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.04Y. Sharangovich · Missed · xG 0.04A. Mangiapane · On goal · xG 0.04N. Hanifin · Missed · xG 0.04Y. Sharangovich · On goal · xG 0.04Y. Sharangovich · On goal · xG 0.03M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.03C. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.03N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.03E. Lindholm · Missed · xG 0.03J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.03Y. Sharangovich · On goal · xG 0.03A. Greer · Missed · xG 0.03B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.02N. Zadorov · Missed · xG 0.02M. Weegar · Missed · xG 0.02N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.02C. Zary · Missed · xG 0.02N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.02J. Huberdeau · Missed · xG 0.02M. Weegar · Missed · xG 0.02E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.02M. Backlund · Missed · xG 0.02E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.02N. Zadorov · Missed · xG 0.01A. Mangiapane · Missed · xG 0.01M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.01M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.01N. Zadorov · Missed · xG 0.01M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.01A. Mangiapane · Missed · xG 0.01R. Andersson · Missed · xG 0.01M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.01M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.01N. Zadorov · Missed · xG 0.01N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.00B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.00
CGY2 G · 3.1 xG · 58 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VGKvsCGY
2.51 G
All situations
2 G3.1
1.80 G
Even strength
2 G1.7
0.51 G
Power play
0 G1.3
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 99 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VGK39%61%CGY

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.43 – 3.04

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VGKvsCGY
28
Shots on goal
34
45%
Faceoffs
55%
1/3
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
6
21
Hits
30
26
Blocked shots
10
10
Giveaways
14
10
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Vegas Golden Knights skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
3B. McNabbD000-120.05260—24:32
7A. PietrangeloD000-110.03060—24:05
9J. EichelC000-140.450004422:00
71W. KarlssonC101030.242202920:31
20C. StephensonC000000.001005020:27
2Z. WhitecloudD000010.18220—20:17
61M. StoneR000-120.23010—19:58
6K. KorczakD000-100.02230—19:18
17B. HuttonD000020.04120—19:02
14N. HagueD000-110.01102—18:32
81J. MarchessaultR000000.09020—17:28
49I. BarbashevL000040.33410—16:49
10N. RoyC011040.250026716:31
22M. AmadioR011010.2810010012:50
21B. HowdenC000-110.022006011:28
43P. CotterL000-100.00100—10:32
28W. CarrierL000020.19212—10:31
55K. KolesarR000-100.07000—09:09
Vegas Golden Knights goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
33A. Hill(O)34322.9413.13+1.1364:35

Season series

CGY leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).