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Canadiens at Ducks
NHL

Montréal Canadiens at Anaheim Ducks

NHL scoreboard
Montréal Canadiens
▸4
Anaheim Ducks
3
FinalTV BSW, TSN2·Honda Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Montréal Canadiens beat the Anaheim Ducks 4-3. The Canadiens scored first and never trailed. The Canadiens led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Alex Newhook's goal at 16:40 of the third period, which took the Canadiens' chances from 48% to 89%. Expected goals were close — MTL 2.4, ANA 2.4; shots on goal were MTL 28, ANA 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canadiens win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Samuel Montembeault stopped 30 of 33 (.909), 0.6 goals below expected; John Gibson stopped 24 of 28 (.857), 1.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Alex Newhook (2 G), 2. Mason McTavish (2 G, 1 A), 3. Frank Vatrano (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MTL
    A. Newhook2 G
  2. ★★
    ANA
    M. McTavish2 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    ANA
    F. Vatrano1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MTLMTL2151716428
ANAANA012211110333

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. MTL
    A. Newhook(5)
    T. Pearson (4), B. Gallagher (4)
    snapxG 0.13win prob +11 ptsVideo
    1-0
    5:59
  2. MTL
    K. Guhle(2)
    J. Ylonen (1), J. Evans (3)
    tip-inxG 0.12win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-0
    6:37

2nd period

  1. ANA
    M. McTavish(9)PPG
    L. Carlsson (3), P. Mintyukov (10)
    tip-inxG 0.13win prob +13 ptsVideo
    2-1
    0:53
  2. MTL
    M. Matheson(5)
    N. Suzuki (11), J. Barron (2)
    snapxG 0.03win prob +17 ptsVideo
    3-1
    1:49
  3. ANA
    M. McTavish(10)
    F. Vatrano (6), T. Luneau (1)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +16 ptsVideo
    3-2
    6:00

3rd period

  1. ANA
    F. Vatrano(13)
    M. McTavish (10), C. Fowler (9)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +34 ptsVideo
    3-3
    11:31
  2. MTL
    A. Newhook(6)
    J. Evans (4)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +41 ptsVideo
    4-3
    16:40

Penalties

MTL 4 PIM·ANA 8 PIM

1st

  • 3:53ANAIlya Lyubushkin · Playing without a helmet2 min
  • 11:08ANAMason McTavish · Hookingdrawn by Mike Matheson2 min

2nd

  • 0:48MTLJuraj Slafkovský · Holdingdrawn by Mason McTavish2 min
  • 7:34ANAMax Jones · Elbowingdrawn by Gustav Lindstrom2 min

3rd

  • 15:10ANAMax Jones · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Sean Monahan2 min
  • 15:10MTLSean Monahan · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Max Jones2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ANA goalMTL goalFinal: ANA 0%

Biggest swing: Alex Newhook, 3rd 16:40 — MTL 48% → 89%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.15A. Henrique · Missed · xG 0.14M. McTavish · Goal · xG 0.13M. McTavish · Goal · xG 0.13M. Jones · On goal · xG 0.12L. Carlsson · Missed · xG 0.12R. Strome · Missed · xG 0.09T. Luneau · On goal · xG 0.09M. McTavish · Missed · xG 0.09A. Killorn · On goal · xG 0.08A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.08R. Johnston · On goal · xG 0.07J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.07I. Lyubushkin · Missed · xG 0.07A. Killorn · Missed · xG 0.07M. McTavish · On goal · xG 0.07P. Mintyukov · Missed · xG 0.06F. Vatrano · Goal · xG 0.06M. McTavish · Missed · xG 0.06S. Carrick · Missed · xG 0.05A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.04A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.04F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.04I. Lyubushkin · On goal · xG 0.04M. Jones · On goal · xG 0.04J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.04F. Vatrano · Missed · xG 0.03L. Carlsson · On goal · xG 0.03R. Gudas · Missed · xG 0.03L. Carlsson · On goal · xG 0.03T. Luneau · Missed · xG 0.02L. Carlsson · On goal · xG 0.02R. Strome · On goal · xG 0.02A. Killorn · On goal · xG 0.02A. Henrique · Missed · xG 0.01J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.01C. Fowler · Missed · xG 0.01R. Gudas · Missed · xG 0.01F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.01S. Carrick · On goal · xG 0.01I. Lyubushkin · Missed · xG 0.01M. Jones · On goal · xG 0.01R. Strome · On goal · xG 0.01U. Vaakanainen · On goal · xG 0.00P. Mintyukov · On goal · xG 0.00C. Fowler · On goal · xG 0.00R. Gudas · On goal · xG 0.00M. McTavish · Missed · xG 0.00M. McTavish · On goal · xG 0.00R. Johnston · On goal · xG 0.00
ANA3 G · 2.4 xG · 50 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MTLvsANA
2.44 G
All situations
3 G2.4
1.74 G
Even strength
2 G2.1
0.70 G
Power play
1 G0.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 88 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MTL51%49%ANA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.39 – 2.34

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MTLvsANA
28
Shots on goal
33
49%
Faceoffs
51%
0/3
Power play
1/1
4
Penalty minutes
8
22
Hits
33
15
Blocked shots
14
7
Giveaways
4
0
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
Montréal Canadiens skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8M. MathesonD101040.12020—25:09
21K. GuhleD101+120.17530—22:53
52J. BarronD011000.03010—21:49
14N. SuzukiC011010.291104221:17
91S. MonahanC000000.000026420:01
15A. NewhookC202+240.440102519:12
22C. CaufieldR000050.42200—18:41
26J. KovacevicD000+100.00030—17:40
70T. PearsonL011+120.19000—17:31
11B. GallagherR011020.21000—16:18
17J. AndersonR000+130.22210—16:18
28C. DvorakC000010.172104315:28
27G. LindstromD000+100.00010—14:51
20J. SlafkovskýL000+110.073025014:31
71J. EvansC022+100.001105811:35
47J. StrubleD000000.00100—11:20
56J. YlonenR011010.0210010007:23
55M. PezzettaL000020.05400—06:49
Montréal Canadiens goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35S. Montembeault(W)33303.9092.36-0.6459:09

Season series

MTL leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).