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Ducks at Penguins
NHL

Anaheim Ducks at Pittsburgh Penguins

NHL scoreboard
Anaheim Ducks
▸4
Pittsburgh Penguins
3
FinalTV SN-PIT, BSSD·PPG Paints Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Anaheim Ducks beat the Pittsburgh Penguins 4-3. The lead changed hands 3 times. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mason McTavish's goal at 19:47 of the third period, which took the Ducks' chances from 44% to 98%. Expected goals favored the Penguins, 6.1 to 2.4; shots on goal were ANA 27, PIT 42. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Penguins win a replay of these chances 91% of the time. Lukas Dostal stopped 33 of 35 (.943), 3.2 goals saved above expected; Tristan Jarry stopped 23 of 27 (.852), 1.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Mason McTavish (2 G, 1 A), 2. Lukas Dostal (33 saves, .943), 3. Evgeni Malkin (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    ANA
    M. McTavish2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    ANA
    L. Dostal33 saves, .943
  3. ★★★
    PIT
    E. Malkin1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ANAANA1811029427
PITPIT17118117342

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. PIT
    E. Karlsson(2)PPG
    E. Malkin (6), R. Smith (3)
    slapxG 0.06win prob +8 ptsVideo
    0-1
    2:55
  2. ANA
    J. Silfverberg(1)
    M. Jones (2), P. Mintyukov (4)
    backhandxG 0.60win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-1
    8:28

2nd period

  1. ANA
    F. Vatrano(9)PPG
    C. Fowler (3), M. McTavish (6)
    snapxG 0.08win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-1
    11:51
  2. PIT
    E. Malkin(5)PPG
    E. Karlsson (4), S. Crosby (5)
    slapxG 0.13win prob +22 ptsVideo
    2-2
    19:25

3rd period

  1. PIT
    R. Zohorna(2)
    D. O'Connor (2), L. Eller (3)
    backhandxG 0.34win prob +24 ptsVideo
    2-3
    1:25
  2. ANA
    M. McTavish(4)
    R. Strome (9), P. Mintyukov (5)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +25 ptsVideo
    3-3
    3:01
  3. ANA
    M. McTavish(5)SHG
    A. Henrique (4)
    wristxG 0.21win prob +54 ptsVideo
    4-3
    19:47

Penalties

ANA 14 PIM·PIT 6 PIM

1st

  • 2:00ANARadko Gudas · Trippingdrawn by Evgeni Malkin2 min
  • 3:26PITRyan Graves · Trippingdrawn by Troy Terry2 min
  • 18:37ANACam Fowler · Holdingdrawn by Bryan Rust2 min

2nd

  • 3:17ANAAdam Henrique · Holdingdrawn by Bryan Rust2 min
  • 11:16PITSidney Crosby · Holdingdrawn by Pavel Mintyukov2 min
  • 18:20ANAserved by T. Zegras · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min
  • 18:20ANAserved by M. McTavish · Unsportsmanlike conduct bench2 min
  • 19:25ANABench · Game misconduct head coach0 min

3rd

  • 15:44PITMarcus Pettersson · Hookingdrawn by Mason McTavish2 min
  • 17:41ANAMason McTavish · Trippingdrawn by Lars Eller2 min
  • 17:52ANASam Carrick · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PIT goalANA goalFinal: PIT 0%

Biggest swing: Mason McTavish, 3rd 19:47 — ANA 44% → 98%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Zohorna · Goal · xG 0.34R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.33S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.23S. Crosby · Missed · xG 0.22R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.21S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.17R. Zohorna · On goal · xG 0.16B. Rust · Missed · xG 0.16R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.15S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.15E. Malkin · Missed · xG 0.14E. Malkin · Goal · xG 0.13J. Guentzel · Missed · xG 0.13S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.13D. O'Connor · Missed · xG 0.12E. Malkin · Missed · xG 0.12E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.12R. Zohorna · On goal · xG 0.12B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.11E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.11L. Eller · On goal · xG 0.11B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.11L. Eller · On goal · xG 0.11E. Malkin · Missed · xG 0.11B. Rust · Missed · xG 0.10S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.10R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.09J. Guentzel · Missed · xG 0.09E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.09D. O'Connor · On goal · xG 0.09K. Letang · Missed · xG 0.08J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.08E. Malkin · Missed · xG 0.08R. Graves · On goal · xG 0.08S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.07M. Nieto · Missed · xG 0.07S. Crosby · Missed · xG 0.07E. Malkin · Missed · xG 0.07E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.06S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.06R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.06S. Crosby · Missed · xG 0.06R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.06S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.06L. Eller · Missed · xG 0.06E. Karlsson · Goal · xG 0.06S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.05B. Rust · Missed · xG 0.05R. Zohorna · On goal · xG 0.05B. Rust · Missed · xG 0.05R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.04B. Rust · Missed · xG 0.04R. Graves · Missed · xG 0.04S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.04R. Zohorna · Missed · xG 0.04E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.04E. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.03E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.03R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.02J. Carter · Missed · xG 0.02K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.02L. Eller · On goal · xG 0.02B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.02S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.01S. Crosby · Missed · xG 0.01L. Eller · Missed · xG 0.01M. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.01R. Rakell · Missed · xG 0.01R. Graves · Missed · xG 0.01E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.00
PIT3 G · 6.1 xG · 70 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ANAvsPIT
2.44 G
All situations
3 G6.1
1.82 G
Even strength
1 G3.3
0.41 G
Power play
2 G2.6
0.21 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 106 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ANA9%91%PIT

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.35 – 5.92

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ANAvsPIT
27
Shots on goal
42
30%
Faceoffs
70%
1/3
Power play
2/7
14
Penalty minutes
6
18
Hits
11
27
Blocked shots
13
1
Giveaways
3
3
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Anaheim Ducks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4C. FowlerD011+120.11242—25:03
60J. LaCombeD000010.04040—22:51
7R. GudasD000020.03342—18:24
46I. LyubushkinD000+210.00220—17:46
34P. MintyukovD022+210.07410—16:55
11T. ZegrasC000-130.270105016:48
19T. TerryR000-120.04010—16:47
77F. VatranoR101+120.09030—16:36
14A. HenriqueC011+200.100323116:25
23M. McTavishC213+250.711025515:54
91L. CarlssonC000-110.040001415:54
39S. CarrickC000020.020222415:15
5U. VaakanainenD000-100.01010—15:06
16R. StromeC011+120.05000015:05
20B. LeasonR000020.08210—12:32
33J. SilfverbergR101+110.62100—12:28
49M. JonesL011+100.07200—09:38
44R. JohnstonL000000.02100—08:33
Anaheim Ducks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1L. Dostal(W)35332.9435.24+3.2440:00
36J. Gibson761.8570.86-0.1420:00

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).