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San Jose Sharks at Edmonton Oilers

FinalTV NBCSCA, SNW·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the San Jose Sharks 5-2. The Oilers scored first and never trailed. The Oilers led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Evan Bouchard's goal at 5:02 of the second period, which took the Oilers' chances from 70% to 85%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 4.3 to 3.3; shots on goal were SJS 29, EDM 36. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 65% of the time. James Reimer stopped 31 of 36 (.861), 0.7 goals below expected; Stuart Skinner stopped 27 of 29 (.931), 1.3 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Mattias Janmark (2 G), 2. Leon Draisaitl (1 G, 2 A), 3. Derek Ryan (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    EDM
    M. Janmark2 G
  2. ★★
    EDM
    L. Draisaitl1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    EDM
    D. Ryan1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
SJSSJS11411203229
EDMEDM21324119536

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. EDM
    deflectedxG 0.12win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    4:16
  2. EDM
    slapxG 0.17win prob +11 pts
    0-2
    6:56
  3. SJS
    snapxG 0.06win prob +14 pts
    1-2
    9:44

2nd period

  1. EDM
    snapxG 0.19win prob +15 pts
    1-3
    5:02
  2. EDM
    M. Janmark(10)SHG
    backhandxG 0.28win prob +8 pts
    1-4
    14:04
  3. SJS
    S. Lorentz(10)PPG
    tip-inxG 0.14win prob +6 pts
    2-4
    18:48

3rd period

  1. EDM
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +1 pts
    2-5
    15:55

Penalties

SJS 6 PIM·EDM 8 PIM

1st

  • 5:27SJSKevin Labanc · Boardingdrawn by Vincent Desharnais2 min
  • 15:01EDMWarren Foegele · Trippingdrawn by Tristen Robins2 min
  • 17:52SJSTomas Hertl · Holdingdrawn by Brett Kulak2 min

2nd

  • 12:45EDMEvander Kane · Interferencedrawn by Jacob Peterson2 min
  • 16:49EDMKlim Kostin · Trippingdrawn by Tomas Hertl2 min

3rd

  • 0:18EDMEvander Kane · Cross checkingdrawn by Tomas Hertl2 min
  • 6:12SJSErik Karlsson · Hookingdrawn by Nick Bjugstad2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
EDM goalSJS goalFinal: EDM 100%

Biggest swing: Evan Bouchard, 2nd 5:02 — EDM 70% → 85%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.34M. Janmark · Goal · xG 0.28R. McLeod · On goal · xG 0.20E. Bouchard · Goal · xG 0.19E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.18L. Draisaitl · Goal · xG 0.17R. McLeod · On goal · xG 0.15Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.15W. Foegele · Missed · xG 0.14L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.14K. Yamamoto · On goal · xG 0.13D. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.13W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.12M. Janmark · Goal · xG 0.12L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.12R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.11Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.11M. Janmark · On goal · xG 0.10C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.10K. Yamamoto · On goal · xG 0.10C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.09C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.09K. Yamamoto · On goal · xG 0.09R. Nugent-Hopkins · Missed · xG 0.08K. Kostin · Missed · xG 0.08N. Bjugstad · Missed · xG 0.08R. Nugent-Hopkins · Missed · xG 0.08E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.07C. Ceci · On goal · xG 0.07C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.07E. Kane · Goal · xG 0.06C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.06W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.05W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.05V. Desharnais · On goal · xG 0.05C. Ceci · Missed · xG 0.03D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.03M. Ekholm · Missed · xG 0.02D. Nurse · Missed · xG 0.02V. Desharnais · On goal · xG 0.02D. Nurse · Missed · xG 0.01M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.01C. Ceci · On goal · xG 0.01R. McLeod · On goal · xG 0.01V. Desharnais · On goal · xG 0.00
EDM5 G · 4.3 xG · 45 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

SJSvsEDM
3.32 G
All situations
5 G4.3
1.91 G
Even strength
3 G2.3
1.41 G
Power play
1 G1.8
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 84 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
SJS35%65%EDM

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.24 – 4.22

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

SJSvsEDM
29
Shots on goal
36
45%
Faceoffs
55%
1/4
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
8
10
Hits
15
15
Blocked shots
10
8
Giveaways
14
7
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
San Jose Sharks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
5M. BenningD000+100.07110—21:50
38M. FerraroD000010.03010—21:29
48T. HertlC011-250.690023620:46
24J. PetersonC000-120.23010020:04
39L. CoutureC000-210.410106020:03
3H. ThrunD000-210.07120—19:56
65E. KarlssonD011-310.05032—19:56
16S. LorentzC112020.371005016:53
7N. SturmC000-310.111005615:33
71N. KnyzhovD000030.07020—15:21
9J. MacDonaldD000-230.21100—14:43
17T. BordeleauC011+120.28010014:03
73N. GregorL101+150.38100—13:53
52T. RobinsC000000.001103013:10
51R. SimekD000-100.00100—12:35
62K. LabancR000010.17102—12:28
10E. SvechnikovL000000.00110—11:49
20F. ZetterlundL000-210.1501010010:32
San Jose Sharks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
47J. Reimer(L)36315.8614.31-0.6959:27

Season series

EDM leads 4-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).