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Hurricanes at Predators
NHL

Carolina Hurricanes at Nashville Predators

NHL scoreboard
Carolina Hurricanes
0
Nashville Predators
▸3
FinalBridgestone Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Nashville Predators beat the Carolina Hurricanes 3-0. The Predators scored first and never trailed. The Predators led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mark Jankowski's goal at 7:47 of the first period, which took the Predators' chances from 51% to 65%. Expected goals were close — CAR 2.1, NSH 2.1; shots on goal were CAR 33, NSH 23. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 60% of the time. Frederik Andersen stopped 20 of 22 (.909); Juuse Saros stopped 33 of 33 (1.000), 2.1 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Juuse Saros (33 saves, 1.000), 2. Mark Jankowski (1 G, 1 A), 3. Spencer Stastney (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NSH
    J. Saros33 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    NSH
    M. Jankowski1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    NSH
    S. Stastney2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CARCAR01401207033
NSHNSH280619323

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. NSH
    M. Jankowski(6)SHG
    S. Stastney (1)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +14 pts
    0-1
    7:47
  2. NSH
    M. McCarron(2)
    M. Jankowski (4), R. McDonagh (17)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    10:47

3rd period

  1. NSH
    D. Fabbro(2)EN
    S. Stastney (2)
    wristxG 0.55win prob +1 pts
    0-3
    17:16

Penalties

CAR 2 PIM·NSH 4 PIM

1st

  • 6:35NSHLuke Evangelista · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 11:32NSHKiefer Sherwood · Hookingdrawn by Seth Jarvis2 min
  • 19:35CARSebastian Aho · High stickingdrawn by Dante Fabbro2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NSH goalCAR goalFinal: NSH 100%

Biggest swing: Mark Jankowski, 1st 7:47 — NSH 51% → 65%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Fabbro · Goal · xG 0.55K. Sherwood · On goal · xG 0.23T. Novak · On goal · xG 0.16K. Sherwood · Missed · xG 0.15E. Afanasyev · On goal · xG 0.13Y. Trenin · On goal · xG 0.12R. Asplund · On goal · xG 0.10T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.09M. Jankowski · Goal · xG 0.09Y. Trenin · On goal · xG 0.07J. Livingstone · Missed · xG 0.07M. Jankowski · Missed · xG 0.06M. Jankowski · Missed · xG 0.05R. Asplund · On goal · xG 0.04T. Novak · Missed · xG 0.03R. Asplund · On goal · xG 0.03C. Sissons · Missed · xG 0.02C. Sissons · On goal · xG 0.02C. Glass · On goal · xG 0.02P. Tomasino · On goal · xG 0.01R. McDonagh · On goal · xG 0.01L. Evangelista · On goal · xG 0.01M. McCarron · Goal · xG 0.01Y. Trenin · Missed · xG 0.01Y. Trenin · On goal · xG 0.01M. Jankowski · On goal · xG 0.01Y. Trenin · Missed · xG 0.01R. McDonagh · On goal · xG 0.01D. Fabbro · On goal · xG 0.01P. Tomasino · Missed · xG 0.01M. McCarron · On goal · xG 0.00K. Sherwood · On goal · xG 0.00
NSH3 G · 2.1 xG · 32 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CARvsNSH
2.10 G
All situations
2 G2.1
2.10 G
Even strength
1 G1.4
0.00 G
Power play
0 G0.1
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 80 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CAR60%40%NSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.05 – 1.59

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CARvsNSH
33
Shots on goal
23
39%
Faceoffs
61%
0/2
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
4
14
Hits
14
3
Blocked shots
26
4
Giveaways
11
11
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Carolina Hurricanes skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8B. BurnsD000-170.16110—22:56
74J. SlavinD000-100.05100—21:03
22B. PesceD000-120.05000—20:02
76B. SkjeiD000-250.15100—19:51
41S. GostisbehereD000010.09210—18:20
48J. MartinookL000030.18000—17:37
11J. StaalC000010.031004117:20
20S. AhoC000-110.210023316:58
86T. TeravainenC000-120.09000016:30
24S. JarvisR000-220.10010—16:24
82J. KotkaniemiC000-230.302003816:19
5J. ChatfieldD000000.03100—16:13
88M. NecasC000020.211006715:18
23S. NoesenR000-300.000001714:09
71J. FastR000010.12200—14:06
18J. DruryC000-100.001006713:32
13J. PuljujarviR000-120.19100—11:56
21D. StepanC000010.090004009:59
Carolina Hurricanes goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31F. Andersen(L)22202.9091.59-0.4159:27

Season series

NSH leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).