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Seattle Kraken at Nashville Predators

FinalTV ROOT-NW, BSSO·Bridgestone Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Seattle Kraken beat the Nashville Predators 7-2. The Kraken scored first and never trailed. The Kraken led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Eeli Tolvanen's goal at 17:16 of the second period, which took the Kraken's chances from 70% to 87%. Expected goals favored the Kraken, 3.6 to 1.8; shots on goal were SEA 39, NSH 16. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Kraken win a replay of these chances 80% of the time. Philipp Grubauer stopped 14 of 16 (.875); Juuse Saros stopped 32 of 39 (.821), 3.4 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Eeli Tolvanen (2 G), 2. Jared McCann (1 G, 2 A), 3. Oliver Bjorkstrand (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    SEA
    E. Tolvanen2 G
  2. ★★
    SEA
    J. McCann1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    SEA
    O. Bjorkstrand1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
SEASEA213116410739
NSHNSH0111015216

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. SEA
    R. Donato (11), B. Tanev (18)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    3:13
  2. SEA
    snapxG 0.13win prob +13 pts
    2-0
    17:37

2nd period

  1. NSH
    wristxG 0.37win prob +16 pts
    2-1
    1:43
  2. SEA
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.02win prob +17 pts
    3-1
    17:16

3rd period

  1. NSH
    tip-inxG 0.04win prob +16 pts
    3-2
    0:53
  2. SEA
    J. McCann (24), V. Dunn (46)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +17 pts
    4-2
    3:37
  3. SEA
    V. Dunn (47), J. Eberle (39)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +5 pts
    5-2
    8:13
  4. SEA
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.20win prob +1 pts
    6-2
    10:47
  5. SEA
    batxG 0.13
    7-2
    12:35

Penalties

SEA 8 PIM·NSH 10 PIM

1st

  • 3:13NSHserved by L. Evangelista · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min
  • 5:46SEAJordan Eberle · Trippingdrawn by Tommy Novak2 min
  • 10:48SEAMorgan Geekie · Holdingdrawn by Matt Duchene2 min
  • 14:10NSHColton Sissons · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Philipp Grubauer2 min
  • 14:10NSHColton Sissons · Roughingdrawn by Vince Dunn2 min
  • 14:10SEAVince Dunn · Roughingdrawn by Colton Sissons2 min
  • 16:30NSHMatt Duchene · Slashingdrawn by Ryan Donato2 min

2nd

  • 1:57SEAYanni Gourde · Hookingdrawn by Tommy Novak2 min
  • 10:21NSHCal Foote · Slashingdrawn by Jaden Schwartz2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NSH goalSEA goalFinal: NSH 0%

Biggest swing: Eeli Tolvanen, 2nd 17:16 — SEA 70% → 87%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Barrie · Goal · xG 0.37P. Tomasino · Missed · xG 0.20C. Sissons · Missed · xG 0.14L. Evangelista · On goal · xG 0.13R. McDonagh · On goal · xG 0.13M. Jankowski · On goal · xG 0.09M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.09T. Novak · On goal · xG 0.07D. Fabbro · On goal · xG 0.06P. Tomasino · On goal · xG 0.06J. Lauzon · Missed · xG 0.05J. Gross · Missed · xG 0.05T. Barrie · Missed · xG 0.04Y. Trenin · Missed · xG 0.04M. Duchene · Goal · xG 0.04P. Tomasino · On goal · xG 0.03J. Lauzon · On goal · xG 0.03D. Fabbro · Missed · xG 0.03J. Lauzon · On goal · xG 0.02M. Jankowski · On goal · xG 0.01J. Gross · On goal · xG 0.01R. McDonagh · Missed · xG 0.01C. Foote · On goal · xG 0.01R. McDonagh · On goal · xG 0.01J. Gross · Missed · xG 0.01J. Gross · Missed · xG 0.01C. Foote · Missed · xG 0.01
NSH2 G · 1.8 xG · 27 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

SEAvsNSH
3.67 G
All situations
2 G1.8
3.16 G
Even strength
2 G1.6
0.41 G
Power play
0 G0.2
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 75 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
SEA80%20%NSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.57 – 1.73

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

SEAvsNSH
39
Shots on goal
16
46%
Faceoffs
54%
1/4
Power play
0/3
8
Penalty minutes
10
22
Hits
31
12
Blocked shots
10
7
Giveaways
9
6
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Seattle Kraken skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
29V. DunnD022+330.28202—21:28
24J. OleksiakD000+200.00120—20:51
6A. LarssonD101+230.17120—19:27
21A. WennbergC000-220.230004718:58
3W. BorgenD000010.04100—18:47
19J. McCannL123+340.55200—18:18
20E. TolvanenR202+240.18220—17:40
22O. BjorkstrandR112+210.22100—17:32
10M. BeniersC101+320.200104316:49
37Y. GourdeC011+230.113225516:44
4J. SchultzD000-120.12010—16:24
28C. SoucyD000+200.04400—16:07
7J. EberleR011+210.112125015:04
17J. SchwartzL000-220.2600010014:09
13B. TanevL011+120.08210—14:07
67M. GeekieC000-140.500026010:59
91D. SprongR101+130.36100—10:49
9R. DonatoC011+120.16000009:47
Seattle Kraken goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31P. Grubauer(W)16142.8751.76-0.2460:00

Season series

SEA leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).