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Coyotes at Oilers
NHL

Utah Mammoth at Edmonton Oilers

NHL scoreboard
Utah Mammoth
3
Edmonton Oilers
▸4
Final/OTTV SNW, SN1·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the Utah Mammoth 4-3 in overtime, Connor McDavid scoring at 1:31. The lead changed hands 3 times. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Connor McDavid's goal at 1:31 of overtime, which took the Oilers' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 5.2 to 2.0; shots on goal were ARI 17, EDM 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 91% of the time. Connor Ingram stopped 27 of 31 (.871), 1.2 goals saved above expected; Stuart Skinner stopped 14 of 17 (.824), 1.0 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Ryan Nugent-Hopkins (2 G), 2. Leon Draisaitl (4 A), 3. Clayton Keller (2 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    EDM
    R. Nugent-Hopkins2 G
  2. ★★
    EDM
    L. Draisaitl4 A
  3. ★★★
    ARI
    C. Keller2 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
ARIARI14181500317
EDMEDM1101131711431

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. EDM
    C. McDavid(59)PPG
    Z. Hyman (45), L. Draisaitl (63)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    5:47
  2. ARI
    J. Moser(6)PPG
    M. Maccelli (33), L. Crouse (17)
    wristxG 0.35win prob +11 pts
    1-1
    15:47

2nd period

  1. ARI
    C. Keller(33)
    N. Schmaltz (28)
    backhandxG 0.23win prob +17 pts
    2-1
    3:37
  2. EDM
    R. Nugent-Hopkins(32)PPG
    L. Draisaitl (64)
    snapxG 0.33win prob +21 pts
    2-2
    19:50

3rd period

  1. ARI
    C. Keller(34)
    B. Hayton (24), N. Schmaltz (29)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +31 pts
    3-2
    8:54
  2. EDM
    R. Nugent-Hopkins(33)
    L. Draisaitl (65), D. Nurse (30)
    snapxG 0.14win prob +35 pts
    3-3
    12:17

Overtime

  1. EDM
    C. McDavid(60)
    L. Draisaitl (66)
    wristxG 0.36win prob +49 pts
    3-4
    1:31

Penalties

ARI 8 PIM·EDM 4 PIM

1st

  • 3:38ARITravis Boyd · Trippingdrawn by Connor McDavid2 min
  • 5:02ARIBarrett Hayton · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 14:24EDMBrett Kulak · High stickingdrawn by Christian Fischer2 min

2nd

  • 17:58ARIJuuso Välimäki · High stickingdrawn by Leon Draisaitl2 min

3rd

  • 0:54EDMKailer Yamamoto · Hookingdrawn by Juuso Välimäki2 min
  • 15:20ARIConnor Mackey · Holdingdrawn by Warren Foegele2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
EDM goalARI goalFinal: EDM 100%

Biggest swing: Connor McDavid, OT 1:31 — EDM 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. McDavid · Goal · xG 0.36R. Nugent-Hopkins · Goal · xG 0.33L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.23C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.21C. McDavid · Missed · xG 0.19Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.19C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.18Z. Hyman · Missed · xG 0.18E. Bouchard · Missed · xG 0.17C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.16R. Nugent-Hopkins · Missed · xG 0.16C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.16W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.16Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.15E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.15C. McDavid · Goal · xG 0.14K. Yamamoto · On goal · xG 0.14R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.14C. Ceci · Missed · xG 0.14R. Nugent-Hopkins · Goal · xG 0.14D. Ryan · Missed · xG 0.13L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.12R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.12L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.12K. Kostin · On goal · xG 0.11L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.10M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.09L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.09C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.08Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.08E. Kane · Missed · xG 0.08N. Bjugstad · Missed · xG 0.07E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.07E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.05E. Bouchard · Missed · xG 0.05K. Yamamoto · On goal · xG 0.04W. Foegele · Missed · xG 0.04N. Bjugstad · On goal · xG 0.02K. Yamamoto · On goal · xG 0.02M. Ekholm · Missed · xG 0.02M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.01B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.01D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.01C. Ceci · Missed · xG 0.00M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.00
EDM4 G · 5.2 xG · 45 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ARIvsEDM
2.03 G
All situations
4 G5.2
1.42 G
Even strength
2 G3.1
0.61 G
Power play
2 G2.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 67 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ARI9%91%EDM

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.93 – 5.13

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ARIvsEDM
17
Shots on goal
31
40%
Faceoffs
60%
1/2
Power play
2/4
8
Penalty minutes
4
27
Hits
25
13
Blocked shots
8
15
Giveaways
15
9
Takeaways
11

Box score

every player line
Utah Mammoth skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
90J. MoserD101+110.35230—27:52
2P. NemethD000+100.00040—27:27
4J. VälimäkiD000020.06022—21:39
9C. KellerR202+240.63100—20:55
29B. HaytonC011+100.130025520:46
8N. SchmaltzC022+210.21000020:43
67L. CrouseL011010.04230—19:15
22J. McBainC000010.013003319:09
5M. KesselringD000+100.00200—16:17
63M. MaccelliL011010.17000—15:28
72T. BoydC000-210.181124214:41
36C. FischerR000-110.08100—14:34
12C. MackeyD000-130.06602—13:21
77V. SoderstromD000-100.00100—13:04
38L. O'BrienC000-110.06500011:46
26L. DauphinC000000.000004007:48
15B. ImamaL000000.00200—06:52
21M. KelemenL000000.00100—06:19
Utah Mammoth goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
39C. Ingram(O)31274.8715.20+1.2061:31

Season series

EDM leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).