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Capitals at Wild
NHL

Washington Capitals at Minnesota Wild

NHL scoreboard
Washington Capitals
3
Minnesota Wild
▸5
FinalTV NBCSWA, BSWIX·Xcel Energy Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the Washington Capitals 5-3. The Wild scored first and never trailed. The Wild led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Ryan Reaves's goal at 10:14 of the second period, which took the Wild's chances from 72% to 87%. Expected goals favored the Wild, 3.7 to 2.2; shots on goal were WSH 36, MIN 40. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 68% of the time. Charlie Lindgren stopped 35 of 40 (.875), 1.7 goals below expected; Marc-Andre Fleury stopped 33 of 36 (.917), 0.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Matt Boldy (3 G), 2. Marcus Johansson (2 A), 3. Alex Ovechkin (2 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    M. Boldy3 G
  2. ★★
    MIN
    M. Johansson2 A
  3. ★★★
    WSH
    A. Ovechkin2 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WSHWSH012110214336
MINMIN211117212540

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. MIN
    M. Boldy(20)
    M. Johansson (20), F. Gaudreau (18)
    wristxG 0.28win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    0:50
  2. MIN
    M. Boldy(21)
    M. Johansson (21), J. Eriksson Ek (31)
    slapxG 0.08win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    4:36

2nd period

  1. WSH
    A. Ovechkin(38)PPG
    R. Sandin (26)
    slapxG 0.10win prob +12 pts
    1-2
    5:34
  2. MIN
    R. Reaves(4)
    R. Hartman (18), M. Shaw (10)
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +15 pts
    1-3
    10:14

3rd period

  1. MIN
    B. Duhaime(8)
    O. Sundqvist (17)
    backhandxG 0.02win prob +6 pts
    1-4
    3:46
  2. WSH
    A. Ovechkin(39)PPG
    T. Wilson (4), D. Strome (35)
    snapxG 0.10win prob +2 pts
    2-4
    12:33
  3. MIN
    M. Boldy(22)
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.22win prob +2 pts
    2-5
    13:58
  4. WSH
    D. Strome(17)
    T. Wilson (5), A. Ovechkin (29)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +1 pts
    3-5
    16:26

Penalties

WSH 40 PIM·MIN 22 PIM

1st

  • 9:34WSHMatt Irwin · Roughingdrawn by Sam Steel2 min
  • 9:34MINSam Steel · Roughingdrawn by Matt Irwin2 min
  • 13:00MINConnor Dewar · Holdingdrawn by Sonny Milano2 min

2nd

  • 4:42MINJonas Brodin · Cross checkingdrawn by T.J. Oshie2 min
  • 12:53WSHT.J. Oshie · Hookingdrawn by John Klingberg2 min
  • 14:16WSHEvgeny Kuznetsov · Interferencedrawn by Mats Zuccarello2 min
  • 15:31MINRyan Hartman · Holdingdrawn by Tom Wilson2 min
  • 20:00WSHMatt Irwin · Fightingdrawn by Mason Shaw5 min
  • 20:00MINMason Shaw · Fightingdrawn by Matt Irwin5 min

3rd

  • 1:32WSHT.J. Oshie · Instigatordrawn by Mathew Dumba2 min
  • 1:32WSHT.J. Oshie · Fightingdrawn by Mathew Dumba5 min
  • 1:32MINMathew Dumba · Fightingdrawn by T.J. Oshie5 min
  • 1:32WSHT.J. Oshie · Misconductdrawn by Mathew Dumba10 min
  • 12:30MINConnor Dewar · Holdingdrawn by Nicolas Aube-Kubel2 min
  • 19:47WSHNicklas Backstrom · Roughingdrawn by Mathew Dumba2 min
  • 19:47MINMathew Dumba · Roughingdrawn by Nicklas Backstrom2 min
  • 19:47WSHTom Wilson · Misconduct10 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MIN goalWSH goalFinal: MIN 100%

Biggest swing: Ryan Reaves, 2nd 10:14 — MIN 72% → 87%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Boldy · Missed · xG 0.42M. Boldy · Missed · xG 0.31M. Boldy · Goal · xG 0.28M. Boldy · Goal · xG 0.22M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.20R. Hartman · Missed · xG 0.16R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.16R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.14M. Boldy · Missed · xG 0.13M. Johansson · On goal · xG 0.11J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.10J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.10S. Steel · On goal · xG 0.10M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.10M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.09O. Sundqvist · On goal · xG 0.09R. Reaves · On goal · xG 0.09M. Johansson · On goal · xG 0.09M. Boldy · Goal · xG 0.08C. Dewar · On goal · xG 0.08M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.07R. Reaves · Goal · xG 0.07M. Johansson · On goal · xG 0.05J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.04J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.04J. Spurgeon · Missed · xG 0.03J. Klingberg · Missed · xG 0.03J. Klingberg · Missed · xG 0.03M. Shaw · Missed · xG 0.03M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.03J. Brodin · On goal · xG 0.02M. Dumba · On goal · xG 0.02J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.02B. Duhaime · Goal · xG 0.02M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.02J. Middleton · On goal · xG 0.02A. Goligoski · On goal · xG 0.02J. Brodin · On goal · xG 0.02M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.02A. Goligoski · Missed · xG 0.02B. Duhaime · On goal · xG 0.02M. Dumba · Missed · xG 0.02A. Goligoski · On goal · xG 0.02J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.01M. Dumba · On goal · xG 0.01J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.01J. Brodin · Missed · xG 0.01F. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.00J. Brodin · On goal · xG 0.00M. Shaw · On goal · xG 0.00R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.00
MIN5 G · 3.7 xG · 51 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WSHvsMIN
2.23 G
All situations
5 G3.7
0.91 G
Even strength
5 G2.6
1.32 G
Power play
0 G0.8

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 93 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WSH32%68%MIN

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.16 – 3.17

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WSHvsMIN
36
Shots on goal
40
57%
Faceoffs
43%
2/4
Power play
0/3
40
Penalty minutes
22
28
Hits
13
9
Blocked shots
11
8
Giveaways
11
5
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Washington Capitals skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
38R. SandinD011-210.04300—24:38
27A. AlexeyevD000-110.01100—22:14
57T. van RiemsdykD000-120.09020—21:58
42M. FehérváryD000-200.00120—21:11
43T. WilsonR022-130.242010—20:01
19N. BackstromC000-130.220126218:18
8A. OvechkinL213-180.54600—17:56
17D. StromeC112020.220007617:36
26N. DowdC000-100.001004516:00
77T. OshieR000-130.1451195014:43
73C. ShearyL000+130.33100—13:49
92E. KuznetsovC000-120.171224213:41
59A. ProtasL000-300.04100—13:35
16C. SmithC000-130.07110013:00
15S. MilanoL000-110.01100—12:46
96N. Aube-KubelR000020.06300—12:34
52M. IrwinD000-220.01107—11:41
18G. CarlssonD000-100.00000—09:43
Washington Capitals goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
79C. Lindgren(L)40355.8753.32-1.6856:23

Season series

MIN leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).