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St. Louis Blues at Washington Capitals

FinalTV NBCSWA, BSMW·Capital One Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The St. Louis Blues beat the Washington Capitals 5-2. The Blues scored first and never trailed. The Blues led 4-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jordan Kyrou's goal at 4:51 of the second period, which took the Blues' chances from 64% to 81%. Expected goals favored the Capitals, 3.0 to 2.4; shots on goal were STL 22, WSH 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Capitals win a replay of these chances 70% of the time. Joel Hofer stopped 32 of 34 (.941), 1.0 goals saved above expected; Darcy Kuemper stopped 17 of 21 (.810), 2.1 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Joel Hofer (32 saves, .941), 2. Sammy Blais (2 G), 3. Martin Fehérváry (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    STL
    J. Hofer32 saves, .941
  2. ★★
    STL
    S. Blais2 G
  3. ★★★
    WSH
    M. Fehérváry1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
STLSTL1731114522
WSHWSH011010213234

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. STL
    B. Saad (11), B. Schenn (33)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    1:54

2nd period

  1. STL
    snapxG 0.23win prob +17 pts
    2-0
    4:51
  2. STL
    slapxG 0.05win prob +10 pts
    3-0
    9:25
  3. STL
    T. Krug (22), B. Saad (12)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +4 pts
    4-0
    14:36

3rd period

  1. WSH
    snapxG 0.17win prob +1 pts
    4-1
    5:47
  2. WSH
    wristxG 0.10win prob +1 pts
    4-2
    17:14
  3. STL
    B. Schenn(18)EN
    wristxG 0.51win prob +1 pts
    5-2
    18:21

Penalties

STL 8 PIM·WSH 2 PIM

1st

  • 6:58STLNick Leddy · Trippingdrawn by T.J. Oshie2 min
  • 15:56WSHAliaksei Protas · Holdingdrawn by Nick Leddy2 min

2nd

  • 17:37STLKasperi Kapanen · Holdingdrawn by Martin Fehérváry2 min

3rd

  • 11:31STLColton Parayko · High stickingdrawn by Tom Wilson2 min
  • 16:35STLJustin Faulk · Slashingdrawn by Tom Wilson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WSH goalSTL goalFinal: WSH 0%

Biggest swing: Jordan Kyrou, 2nd 4:51 — STL 64% → 81%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.20M. Fehérváry · Goal · xG 0.17T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.15S. Milano · Missed · xG 0.14T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.13D. Strome · On goal · xG 0.13G. Carlsson · On goal · xG 0.13T. Oshie · Missed · xG 0.12D. Strome · Missed · xG 0.11A. Protas · On goal · xG 0.11T. Oshie · Missed · xG 0.10T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.10N. Backstrom · Goal · xG 0.10D. Strome · Missed · xG 0.10N. Backstrom · Missed · xG 0.09A. Protas · On goal · xG 0.09C. Sheary · On goal · xG 0.09E. Kuznetsov · Missed · xG 0.08A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.07N. Backstrom · On goal · xG 0.07A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.06R. Sandin · On goal · xG 0.05C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.05S. Milano · On goal · xG 0.05E. Kuznetsov · On goal · xG 0.04T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.04C. Sheary · Missed · xG 0.04M. Fehérváry · Missed · xG 0.04A. Protas · On goal · xG 0.04A. Protas · On goal · xG 0.03A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.03M. Fehérváry · On goal · xG 0.03E. Kuznetsov · On goal · xG 0.03E. Kuznetsov · On goal · xG 0.03A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.02T. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.02T. van Riemsdyk · Missed · xG 0.02C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.02D. Strome · On goal · xG 0.02A. Alexeyev · Missed · xG 0.01N. Dowd · On goal · xG 0.01M. Irwin · On goal · xG 0.01T. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.01A. Alexeyev · On goal · xG 0.01C. Sheary · On goal · xG 0.01M. Fehérváry · On goal · xG 0.00
WSH2 G · 3.0 xG · 46 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

STLvsWSH
2.44 G
All situations
2 G3.0
1.84 G
Even strength
1 G2.2
0.10 G
Power play
1 G0.9

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 75 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
STL30%70%WSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.84 – 2.99

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

STLvsWSH
22
Shots on goal
34
36%
Faceoffs
64%
0/1
Power play
1/4
8
Penalty minutes
2
16
Hits
20
23
Blocked shots
7
6
Giveaways
17
9
Takeaways
14

Box score

every player line
St. Louis Blues skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
72J. FaulkD000+220.15012—24:17
6M. ScandellaD000+100.00250—22:21
55C. ParaykoD011+110.03132—22:10
4N. LeddyD022+100.07012—20:25
89P. BuchnevichL011010.161004118:59
18R. ThomasC000+100.050002918:46
42K. KapanenR101030.11102—17:23
13A. ToropchenkoR000010.10130—16:57
10B. SchennC112+220.540003616:31
41R. BortuzzoD000000.00150—15:20
20B. SaadL022+320.12020—15:17
25J. KyrouR101+230.37000—14:12
47T. KrugD011+300.00020—14:01
79S. BlaisL202+240.32310—13:29
15J. VranaL011+120.34100—13:25
17J. LeivoL000000.00000—10:52
26N. WalkerL000000.00400—09:47
22L. BrownC000+110.011005009:09
St. Louis Blues goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30J. Hofer(W)34322.9413.01+1.0160:00

Season series

STL leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).