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New York Islanders at Los Angeles Kings

FinalTV BSW, MSGSN·Crypto.com Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Los Angeles Kings beat the New York Islanders 5-2. The Islanders scored first; the Kings answered. The Kings led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Drew Doughty's goal at 6:06 of the second period, which took the Kings' chances from 54% to 71%. Expected goals favored the Kings, 4.5 to 2.8; shots on goal were NYI 28, LAK 37. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Kings win a replay of these chances 69% of the time. Ilya Sorokin stopped 32 of 36 (.889); Joonas Korpisalo stopped 26 of 28 (.929), 0.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Blake Lizotte (1 G), 2. Viktor Arvidsson (1 A), 3. Vladislav Gavrikov (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    LAK
    B. Lizotte1 G
  2. ★★
    LAK
    V. Arvidsson1 A
  3. ★★★
    LAK
    V. Gavrikov2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYINYI11216010228
LAKLAK014412111537

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. NYI
    snapxG 0.05win prob +14 pts
    1-0
    11:45

2nd period

  1. LAK
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +16 pts
    1-1
    1:54
  2. LAK
    A. Kopitar (37), A. Kempe (20)
    slapxG 0.12win prob +17 pts
    1-2
    6:06
  3. LAK
    A. Iafallo(10)PPG
    wristxG 0.04win prob +15 pts
    1-3
    7:06
  4. LAK
    snapxG 0.11win prob +8 pts
    1-4
    12:14
  5. NYI
    S. Aho (15), R. Pulock (19)
    deflectedxG 0.14win prob +7 pts
    2-4
    17:02

3rd period

  1. LAK
    M. Roy (15), V. Gavrikov (10)
    wristxG 0.51
    2-5
    19:07

Penalties

NYI 6 PIM·LAK 8 PIM

2nd

  • 4:40NYIMatt Martin · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Rasmus Kupari2 min
  • 4:40LAKRasmus Kupari · Roughingdrawn by Alexander Romanov2 min
  • 4:40NYIAlexander Romanov · Roughingdrawn by Rasmus Kupari2 min
  • 5:10NYIZach Parise · Kneeingdrawn by Gabriel Vilardi2 min
  • 15:00LAKQuinton Byfield · Interferencedrawn by Bo Horvat2 min

3rd

  • 4:09LAKVladislav Gavrikov · Hookingdrawn by Casey Cizikas2 min
  • 16:58LAKQuinton Byfield · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
LAK goalNYI goalFinal: LAK 100%

Biggest swing: Drew Doughty, 2nd 6:06 — LAK 54% → 71%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
Q. Byfield · Goal · xG 0.51G. Vilardi · Missed · xG 0.28A. Kaliyev · On goal · xG 0.28T. Moore · On goal · xG 0.23A. Kempe · Missed · xG 0.18R. Kupari · Missed · xG 0.15B. Lizotte · On goal · xG 0.14Q. Byfield · On goal · xG 0.14R. Kupari · On goal · xG 0.12A. Kempe · On goal · xG 0.12D. Doughty · Goal · xG 0.12P. Danault · Missed · xG 0.11P. Danault · On goal · xG 0.11T. Moore · Goal · xG 0.11C. Grundstrom · On goal · xG 0.11G. Vilardi · On goal · xG 0.11V. Arvidsson · Missed · xG 0.10V. Arvidsson · Missed · xG 0.10A. Kempe · On goal · xG 0.09V. Gavrikov · On goal · xG 0.09C. Grundstrom · On goal · xG 0.08B. Lizotte · Goal · xG 0.08P. Danault · On goal · xG 0.08B. Lizotte · Missed · xG 0.08B. Lizotte · On goal · xG 0.07B. Lizotte · Missed · xG 0.07C. Grundstrom · Missed · xG 0.07C. Grundstrom · Missed · xG 0.07P. Danault · Missed · xG 0.06V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.06D. Doughty · Missed · xG 0.06M. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.05A. Kaliyev · On goal · xG 0.05V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.05A. Iafallo · Goal · xG 0.04B. Lizotte · Missed · xG 0.04C. Grundstrom · Missed · xG 0.04D. Doughty · On goal · xG 0.03T. Moore · Missed · xG 0.03G. Vilardi · On goal · xG 0.03A. Kaliyev · On goal · xG 0.03A. Kempe · On goal · xG 0.02A. Kaliyev · On goal · xG 0.02Q. Byfield · On goal · xG 0.02P. Danault · On goal · xG 0.02V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.02A. Kempe · On goal · xG 0.02M. Roy · Missed · xG 0.01T. Moore · On goal · xG 0.01V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.01T. Moore · On goal · xG 0.01A. Kopitar · Missed · xG 0.01C. Grundstrom · Missed · xG 0.01A. Kopitar · On goal · xG 0.00A. Iafallo · On goal · xG 0.00A. Kempe · Missed · xG 0.00
LAK5 G · 4.5 xG · 56 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYIvsLAK
2.82 G
All situations
4 G4.5
2.72 G
Even strength
2 G3.2
0.10 G
Power play
2 G0.8

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 93 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYI31%69%LAK

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.70 – 3.92

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYIvsLAK
28
Shots on goal
37
44%
Faceoffs
56%
0/3
Power play
2/2
6
Penalty minutes
8
30
Hits
14
13
Blocked shots
19
3
Giveaways
8
3
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
New York Islanders skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
14B. HorvatC000-120.491005322:16
24S. MayfieldD000010.02140—21:45
27A. LeeL000-120.14200—20:37
28A. RomanovD000+100.02522—20:27
6R. PulockD022+100.01320—18:54
3A. PelechD000010.02100—18:34
25S. AhoD011-200.00010—18:11
8N. DobsonD000-230.15100—18:01
21K. PalmieriC000-210.07210017:27
29B. NelsonC000-130.210004416:50
12J. BaileyR000010.21000—15:50
18P. EngvallL101+140.2210010015:30
53C. CizikasC000030.162104313:49
44J. PageauC101010.211203113:39
11Z. PariseL000000.04002—12:12
20H. FaschingR000040.49000—11:42
15C. ClutterbuckR000010.18600—11:23
17M. MartinL000010.16402—11:14
New York Islanders goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30I. Sorokin(L)36324.8894.02+0.0258:17

Season series

LAK leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).